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Barbie vs Oppenheimer Box Office Odds & Prediction: Which Movie Will Make More Money?

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in Entertainment

Updated Jul 14, 2023 · 5:01 PM PDT

Margot Robbie plays Barbie in 2023 Greta Gerwig movie
Jan 10, 2023; Beverly Hills, CA, USA; Margot Robbie at the 80th Annual Golden Globe Awards at the Beverly Hilton Hotel in Beverly Hills, Calif.. Mandatory Credit: Dan MacMedan-USA TODAY
  • Barbie vs Oppenheimer box office is the talk of the 2023 summer movie season
  • Sportsbooks have released hypothetical odds for which film will make more money
  • See the Barbie vs Oppenheimer box office odds, plus our prediction below

It’s Barbie vs Oppenheimer for all the marbles at the 2023 Summer Movie Box Office. Greta Gerwig’s live-action Barbie film and Christopher Nolan’s biopic about the man who made the atomic bomb are both set to release in theatres on July 21st.

With both summer blockbusters dropping on the same exact day, there’s been plenty of talk about which film will be more successful. Sportsbooks are joining in on the fun by offering hypothetical odds for which of Barbie vs Oppenheimer will make more money on opening weekend.

Let’s analyze the box office odds for Barbie vs Oppenheimer and provide you with our prediction for which film will come out on top.

Barbie vs Oppenheimer Box Office Odds

Film Odds
Barbie +105
Oppenheimer -120

Hypothetical odds released by BetMGM Sportsbook on July 14, 2023. They are currently for informational purposes only.

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The Barbie vs Oppenheimer box office odds tell us that Christopher Nolan’s film is expected to make more money on opening weekend. The -120 odds imply it has a 55% chance to edge out Barbie at the box office.

Greta Gerwig’s film is listed as the +105 underdog, meaning it has a 49% implied chance to beat out Oppenheimer. This is certainly expected to be a close race, as neither film has overly favorable odds.

Barbie vs Oppenheimer Box Office Analysis

While Oppenheimer is favored to make more money at the box office, it’s hard to bet against Barbie given the social media marketing and star power of Margot Robbie. This isn’t even touching on her co-star Ryan Gosling, who is being deemed a “scene stealer” in early Barbie movie reviews.

According to The Hollywood Reporter’s new box office projections, Barbie’s opening weekend box office is expected to be more than double that of Oppenheimer. Barbie is projected to open between $70 million to $80 million or more, while Oppenheimer is expecting only a $40 million opening weekend.

Christopher Nolan is the big-name director here, but he’s facing an uphill battle against Barbie at the Box Office. What’s hurting Nolan’s film is its R-rating, which is the director’s first since 2002’s Insomnia. This limit’s the audience size for Oppenheimer, while Barbie is more family-friendly with a PG-13 rating.

We don’t like doubting Christopher Nolan at the box office given his impressive track record, but it’s important to remember his previous filmTenet left a sour taste in some moviegoers’ mouths due to its confusing nature. Oppenheimer also has a three-hour runtime, which makes it a tough sell, especially when compared to Barbie’s tighter runtime of 1h 54m.

Barbie vs Oppenheimer Box Office Prediction

The early box office predictions for Barbie and Oppenheimer suggested it would be a tight race, but it’s now clear that one film has pulled away from the other. Gerwig’s film has seen its box office projections nearly double from the original estimates of $70 million to $80 million to a staggering $93 million. This race might not even be close.

According to the latest reports, “Barbie” has more than double the projected opening of “Oppenheimer,” which is expected to debut with around $40 million. Nolan’s film could still have staying power at the box office, similar to his previous film “Interstellar,” which grossed over $700 million globally. But it’s not taking down Barbie opening weekend.

All the social media hype around Barbie and the latest box office projections have us confident it will be Gerwig’s film that comes out on top when all is said and done. If you can find a sportsbook that is actually offering odds on this prop, we recommend betting Barbie to beat Oppenheimer at the box office.

  • Prediction: Barbie (+105)


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