Best Longshot Bets and Sleeper Picks for RBC Heritage
- There’s great value in betting on longshots and sleepers to lift the trophy at this week’s RBC Heritage from Hilton Head, South Carolina
- We’ve picked out some of the best golfers outside the top of the board who can compete at Harbour Town
- See their odds and our picks for the tournament within the story below
The PGA Tour heads to Hilton Head, South Carolina for the RBC Heritage with the top five players in the world competing for the second straight week. Despite an uncharacteristically poor final round last Sunday, Rory McIlroy remains the betting favorite to win at Harbour Town.
In recent years the field wasn’t overly strong at this tournament due to its slot on the schedule immediately following the Masters. That has allowed many unheralded players to claim their first Tour title, with each of the last four champions making this tournament their maiden win.
With the COVID-19 pandemic shifting the schedule, the game’s elite are descending upon the RBC Heritage, so there might not be a surprising champion like C.T. Pan was last year, though it won’t stop us trying to unearth some value picks that could snatch the trophy come Sunday.
2020 RBC Heritage Sleeper Player Odds
| Golfer | Odds To Win | Odds To Finish in Top 5 | Odds To Finish in Top 10 | Odds To Finish in Top 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kokrak | +6600 | +1200 | +650 | +275 |
| J.T. Poston | +6600 | +1200 | +600 | +250 |
| Shane Lowry | +8000 | +1600 | +700 | +300 |
| Joel Dahmen | +8000 | +1600 | +700 | +300 |
| Corey Conners | +10000 | +2000 | +800 | +330 |
| Luke Donald | +15000 | +2800 | +1100 | +500 |
Odds taken June 16th
Kokrak and Poston Coming off Strong Outings
Though he’s still looking for that elusive first victory, Jason Kokrak is coming off a T-3rd finish at Colonial where he finished a shot out of a playoff.
It’s probably asking too much for him to break through against such a deep field, but a top-twenty finish isn’t asking too much at a place where he’s done just that four out of the last six years.
Pick: Top 20 (+275)
Man did it feel good to get back out there with my man @AaronFlener!!! Fun and solid week back in Fort Worth @CSChallengeFW! Looking forward to the next few weeks on the @pgatour pic.twitter.com/m7hbg3zbiL
— J.T. Poston (@JT_ThePostman) June 15, 2020
In his last outing at the Charles Schwab Challenge, 2019 Wyndham Championship winner J.T. Poston finished T-10th.
Making his tournament debut last year, Poston was strong at Harbour Town, resulting in a tie for sixth.
Pick: Top 10 (+600) and Top 20 (+250)
Shane Lowry Led This Tournament Late Last Year
Last year’s Open Champion Shane Lowry nearly won this event before completing his heartwarming run to the Claret Jug later on that summer. He led with nine holes to play before a double bogey on 12 knocked him out of contention before settling for a T-3.
Stingers 💪🏻☘️ pic.twitter.com/aECJJ2veZd
— Shane Lowry (@ShaneLowryGolf) June 16, 2020
He’s 21st in strokes gained off the tee, which is pertinent for success at the tight track.
Pick: Top 10 (+700) and Top 20 (+300)
Dahmen Could Be Fifth Straight First Time Winner
This event has been a breeding ground in recent years for golfers earning their first victory, something that has eluded Joel Dahmen – but he seems to be getting closer and closer to turning into a reality.
Last Five RBC Heritage Winners
| Year | Winner |
|---|---|
| 2019 | C.T. Pan |
| 2018 | Satoshi Kodaira |
| 2017 | Wesley Bryan |
| 2016 | Branden Grace |
| 2015 | Jim Furyk |
Dahmen had T-5 finishes in both the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Genesis Invitational before the hiatus, and finished T-19th at Colonial. He was also T-16th in his RBC Heritage debut last year.
He has a runner-up finish in each of the last two years (2019 Wells Fargo Championship and 2018 John Deere Classic), and he’d continue the trend of first time winners at this venue.
Pick: Outright win (+8000), Top 5 (+1600), Top 10 (+700), Top 20 (+300)
Another player who succeeds on tight tracks is Canadian, Corey Conners, who has already racked up seven top 20 finishes on Tour this season. He’s coming off a T-19th at Colonial where he was on the periphery of contention entering Sunday.
He’s third in greens in regulation percentage and 15th in strokes gained: off the tee this season which is paramount for success at this track.
Pick: Top 20 (+330)
Luke Donald a Deep Dive With Huge Potential Upside
Though his best years are behind him and he’s no longer a world class #1 player in the world like he was in 2011, Luke Donald is a horse for this course.
Amazingly he’s never won here considering the slew of chances he’s had – five runner-up finishes (including three in a four year span in 2014, 2016 and 2017) and a pair of third place results.
In his last event he hovered around the leaders before settling for a T-11th at the Honda Classic. With these outstanding odds, you can make a killing on Donald.
Pick: Top 5 (+2800), Top 10 (+1100) and Top 20 (+500)
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.
