Upcoming Match-ups

Tiger Woods Falls Behind at BMW Championship, Maintains Short Odds

Alex Kilpatrick

by Alex Kilpatrick in Golf

Updated Mar 27, 2020 · 12:43 PM PDT

Xander Schauffele
Xander Schauffele took over the lead from Tiger Woods, but hasn't closed off the BMW Championship yet. Photo by Stefantast [CC License].
  • Tiger Woods shot 62 on the first day of the BMW Championship
  • How did Tiger do on the second day?
  • What are his odds to win the BMW Championship?

As you might have heard, Tiger Woods had an excellent first round at the BMW Championship. His opposition had good days too, and now (after the second day of play) we can really take a look at the odds sheet.

BMW Championship Odds

Player Odds
Xander Schauffele +400
Justin Rose +400
Hideki Matsuyama +800
Rickie Fowler +1000
Rory McIlroy +1100
Justin Thomas +1200
Alex Noren +1600
Tiger Woods +1600
Jason Day +1800

Tiger Woods’ Fantastic First Day

Tiger Woods shot 62 on the first day. After a bunch of disappointing starts, in which he almost always finished over par, he rocketed to the top of the leaderboard (and the odds sheet) by shooting six-under on the front nine.

He hit every green in regulation. He left himself with seven putts inside 20 feet. It was video game golf.

Much was made of the fact that Tiger switched back to the putter he won 13 majors with before this tournament. He said after the round: “It felt good. My body remembered the feel of that putter and how it swings. I was just letting it rip on the greens.”

I would bet a significant amount of money that he’ll play with a different putter before the end of the year. Tiger Woods is a notorious gear nerd, and has practiced with three different putters in the last four weeks.

On the leaderboard, Tiger’s first-day performance put him tied for the lead with Rory McIlroy. Rory’s also hoping for a shot at redemption, after an up-and-down season and inconsistent results.

Tiger’s Not-Fantastic Second Day

Tiger shot 70 on the second day, which was a big let-down.

He’s now T12, and five strokes back from some excellent golfers. Winning will require a Herculean effort, as the course is playing favorably and the golfers ahead of Woods will likely continue to lower their score to par.

You won’t find a lot of video from Tiger’s second day, as it was mostly forgettable. Woods bogeyed the last two holes and didn’t make much of an impression otherwise. One day Tiger will put together four days of good play and win a tournament, but probably not this weekend.

Sticking to +1600 after falling five strokes back from the lead is something only Tiger Woods can do. It’s probably smart to look elsewhere if you’re interested in a smart bet.

Who to watch at the BMW Championship

Xander Schauffele is criminally underrated. Even with a two-stroke lead, and now rounds over 64, he’s listed at the same odds as Justin Rose.

It’s also a little curious that Keegan Bradley isn’t further up the odds sheet, he’s tied with Rickie Fowler on the course, has just one fewer PGA Tour win (and a major) to his name, and he’s listed at +2800.

Tony Finau is tied with Tiger Woods and listed at +2800. He’s also competing for the last spot on the Ryder Cup squad, and should go for broke on the weekend.

If you like watching aggressive, nothing to lose golf played by absurdly talented young men, keep your eye on Finau. He’s not scared of anything and needs to be Schauffele if he wants to go to Paris.

Author Image