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Updated 2019 Valspar Championship Odds After the Cut

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Apr 9, 2020 · 1:01 PM PDT

Paul Casey PGA Tour
Paul Casey enters the weekend with the lead at the Valspar Championship. Photo from @BBCSport (Twitter)
  • Defending champ Paul Casey and Austin Cook tied for the lead after 36 holes
  • Big names like Dustin Johnson and Jon Rahm lurking
  • See the updated live odds entering Saturday of the 2019 Valspar Championship

There’s something about the Copperhead Course that brings out the best in Paul Casey.

Last year he clipped Tiger Woods by one shot for his second PGA Tour title and he’s back in contention again in 2019, tied with Austin Cook after 36 holes.

Other luminaries are within shouting distance with Dustin Johnson just two off the lead and Jon Rahm a further shot back. This event is anyone’s ball game with the leaders and those who made the cut (+1) separated by just seven strokes.

2019 Valspar Championship Odds Entering 3rd Round

Golfer Position Score Rounds Book 1 Odds Book 2 Odds
Paul Casey T-1st -6 70, 66 +400 +400
Austin Cook T-1st -6 69, 67 +1600 +1400
Sung-Jae Im T-3rd -5 70, 67 +1100 +1100
Luke Donald T-3rd -5 67, 70 +1600 +2000
Scott Stallings T-3rd -5 69, 68 +1800 +1800
Dustin Johnson T-6th -4 69, 69 +350 +300
Curtis Luck T-6th -4 70, 68 N/A +4000
Joel Dahmen T-6th -4 66, 72 +3300 +3300
Jon Rahm T-9th -3 71, 68 +800 +800
Lucas Glover T-9th -3 72, 67 +2200 +2000

*Odds taken March 22nd

Casey entered the tournament with odds of +2200, seen as one of the top seven contenders at both online sports betting sites.

Should You Bet on DJ or Rahm?

Simply put, you can’t go wrong with wagering on either of these guys, because something catastrophic would have to occur for them to not be in the hunt late in the final round.

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If I had to pick one of them, I’d select Jon Rahm, who’s looking to avenge his Players Championship collapse last weekend.

Rahm ranks seventh this week in strokes gained tee-to-green, which is imperative on a course that demands precision.

As for DJ, there’s never an easy argument to be made to not bet on him. After all, he’s the best player in golf and has already racked up 20 career victories.

If you’re looking to be nitpicky, this was his first made cut at Innisbrook in three attempts (albeit missed cuts were in 2008 and 2010), so he hasn’t previously had much success at this venue.

Pass on Betting for Paul Casey or Luke Donald

Casey won last year coming from way behind on Sunday.

He’s shown time and time again an inability to convert leads into victories. He’s obviously capable of going back-to-back but until he can prove he can win from out in front, it has to be a pass.

Luke Donald is a tremendous feel-good story as the former world #1 and 2012 champ is just one back, but he’s missed a ton of time due to injury and hasn’t won since emerging victorious at the Valspar in 2012.

So the prudent play would be hold off on betting for him.

Best Live Value Picks at 2019 Valspar Championship

  1. Lucas Glover (+2200): In ten events this season, the 2009 US Open champ has eight top-25 finishes. Model of consistency primed to break through for first victory since 2011.
  2. Curtis Luck (+4000): 2016 US Amateur champion has loads of talent, if not experience. Hasn’t put it all together yet as a professional but tremendous odds for someone just two strokes off the lead.
  3. Danny Willett (+6600): Four shots back, the 2016 Masters Champ has fought off the major hangover and won in Dubai late in November.
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