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Team USA Heavily Favored to Win 2018 Ryder Cup

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Apr 15, 2020 · 10:30 AM PDT

Tiger Woods
Tiger Woods leads Team USA in hopes of retaining the Ryder Cup at Le Golf National in France. Photo by US Army (Flickr) CC License
  • Can USA be stopped in their bid to repeat?
  • Should Europe really be this big of an underdog?
  • See the odds and best prop bets here

After years of falling short in the biennial Ryder Cup matches, the United States will look to build off their 2016 victory, when they decimated Team Europe by six points.

This USA team is absolutely stacked and online sports betting sites are taking notice. The US is listed as heavy favorites to win the 2018 Ryder Cup, which will take place on European soil – a place the US haven’t won since 1993 (five straight losses).

Odds to win 2018 Ryder Cup

Team Odds to Win 2018 Ryder Cup
USA -135
Europe +145
TIE +1100

*Odds taken 9/25/18

If you’re wondering why the US are so favored, just take a look at the rosters.

2018 Ryder Cup Teams

Team USA Team Europe
Brooks Koepka Francesco Molinari
Dustin Johnson Justin Rose
Justin Thomas Rory McIlroy
Patrick Reed Tommy Fleetwood
Bubba Watson Jon Rahm
Jordan Spieth Tyrrell Hatton
Rickie Fowler Alex Noren
Webb Simpson Thorbjorn Olesen
Tiger Woods* Sergio Garcia*
Phil Mickelson* Henrik Stenson*
Bryson DeChambeau* Ian Poulter*
Tony Finau* Paul Casey*

*Denotes Captain’s Pick

But Team Europe has to be feeling a large measure of disrespect given that they’ve recently dominated at home, and have hoisted the trophy in eight of the previous eleven occasions at this prestigious event.

Experience on the Course Could be Crucial

Despite being underdogs on home soil, the Europeans boast a considerable advantage in that all 12 players have history on this golf course (Le Golf National), having competed in the Open de France.

By contrast, only Justin Thomas competed in the tournament this year from the American side, finishing in a tie for eighth.

Don’t Fall for the Odds on a Tie

A tie is super unlikely, even though +1100 odds are awfully juicy.

In the 41 all-time matches, only twice has the event ended in a draw: 1969 and 1989.

Past Ryder Cup Results

Team USA
Team Europe
Won by 6 pts 2016
2014 Won by 5 pts
2012 Won by 1 pt
2010 Won by 1 pt
Won by 5 pts 2008

American PGA Tour Dominance

Despite Europe’s edge in recent years, this does reek of the potential for another dominant American performance.

Seven of the previous nine majors have been awarded to Americans, and nine of their twelve players are brandishing major championship hardware – five for Europe.

Should this become a blowout, can we at least get more awkward celebrations like this one from Bubba Watson and company?

YouTube video

2018 Ryder Cup Betting Advice

As nice as it would be to take the extra value with Team Europe, this USA team is so stacked that it seems implausible they’ll lose.

Bet the Americans with confidence.

2018 Ryder Cup Props

Prop bet #1: Top Wild Card

Player Odds to be Top Wild Card
Tiger Woods +300
Henrik Stenson +550
Ian Poulter +550
Bryson DeChambeau +600
Sergio Garcia +600
Paul Casey +600
Phil Mickelson +750
Tony Finau +900

There is one name that immediately stands out above the rest in terms of value, and that is Bryson DeChambeau.

He may be a Ryder Cup rookie, but he has serious pedigree, winning the first two legs of the FedEx Cup playoffs, not to mention he was victorious at the US Amateur match play event three years ago.

What is most appealing here is if reading the tea leaves proves correct, DeChambeau will be paired with Tiger Woods this week.

Pick: Bryson DeChambeau +600

Prop bet #2: Top USA player

Player Odds
Dustin Johnson +500
Justin Thomas +600
Brooks Koepka +650
Tiger Woods +750
Jordan Spieth +750
Patrick Reed +800

Coming off an emotional win at the Tour Championship, Woods is tempting to bet on. But, surprisingly, he has a rather pedestrian 13-17-3 all-time record at these matches.

Still, he’s arguably the best player to ever live, so that’s not the reason I’ll pass on him. There’s a chance captain Jim Furyk will rest Tiger in one or two matches so he doesn’t get fatigued and/or tweak his back.

So Tiger may find himself benched in order to stay fresh.

YouTube video

I love that Patrick Reed has just the sixth-shortest odds.

There’s a reason he’s known as “Captain America”. (Spoiler alert: it’s not because he wins popularity contests.) The 2018 Masters champ flexed his muscle in the last two Ryder Cups, posting an incredible 6-1-2 record.

Who could forget his epic 2016 singles match duel (and victory) against Rory McIlroy?

Pick: Patrick Reed +800

Prop bet #3: Top Rookie

Player Odds
Justin Thomas +250
Jon Rahm +400
Tommy Fleetwood +450
Bryson DeChambeau +550
Alex Noren +800
Tony Finau +1100
Thorbjorn Olesen +1400
Tyrrell Hatton +1400

Just in case Europe exceeds expectations, it’s good to spread the wealth a little bit.

For that reason, I’m thinking about two European golfers for top rookie: Alex Noren and Tommy Fleetwood.

These two have ripped up the European Tour in the last three years, with Noren hoisting six trophies and Fleetwood victorious three times. Both have come oh so close to tasting victory in the States as well.

The kicker is that Noren and Fleetwood are the previous two champions at this golf course so they’ve got great history at Le Golf National which should give them an edge.

Pick: Tommy Fleetwood +450

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