Men’s 100 Meter Final Odds, Picks & Predictions for Gold at Paris 2024

• The men’s 100 meter final takes place on Sunday at 3:50 pm ET at Stade de Paris
• American Noah Lyles is currently the second-favorite to Jamaica’s Kishane Johnson
• See the Paris 2024 men’s 100 meter odds, picks, and predictions

The men’s 100 meter semifinals and finals at the 2024 Paris Olympics both take place on Sunday, August 4. The semifinal heats commence at 2:05 pm ET with the final shortly thereafter at 3:50 pm ET at the Stade de Paris.

Reigning world champion Noah Lyles didn’t impress in yesterday’s heats and finds himself the second-favorite heading into the final day of the competition, behind up-and-coming 23-year-old Jamaican Kishane Johnson.

Men’s 100 Meter Odds – Paris 2024

Johnson enters Sunday as the -155 favorite to win gold with Lyles at +130. No other runner is shorter than +1200.

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Odds as of August 4 at DraftKings. See the full list of DraftKings states where you can bet on the 2024 Olympics. 

Johnson has the fastest time in the world this year, winning the Jamaican Olympic trials in a time of 9.77 less than six weeks ago. The only other runner who’s posted a time under 9.80 is Kenyan Ferdinand Omanyala, who ran 9.79 in mid-June. Lyles has the third-fastest time this year at 9.81 while Oblique Seville (9.82) is fourth and Akani Simbine (9.86) is tied for fifth.

Lyles Struggles in 100M Qualification

Lyles looked a little out of sorts in his qualification heat on Saturday, finishing second behind Great Britain’s Louie Hinchliffe (9.98) in a time of 10.04 seconds. Only five runners finished with a sub-10-second time in Saturday’s heats. Johnson won his heat in a time of ten flat.

American’s Kenneth Bednarek and Fred Kerley tied for the fastest qualifying times at 9.97. Kerley won silver at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics (which took place in 2021 due to COVID).

Lyles is the reigning world champion after winning the men’s 100 meters in Budapest in 2023 in a time of 9.83 seconds. Letsile Tebogo, Zharnel Hughes, and Oblique Seville all clocked times of 9.88 in  a near dead-heat for second-place.

Reigning Champion Jacobs Not in Top Form

Italian Lamont Marcell Jacobs stunned the world when he captured gold in Tokyo three years ago in a personal-best time of 9.80, four-tenths ahead of silver-medalist Kerley.

Still among the top runners in Europe, Jacobs really hasn’t made any noise on the world stage since his run to glory in Tokyo. At last year’s world championships in Budapest, Jacobs thoroughly disappointed by failing to reach the final. He had to withdraw from the 2022 edition in Oregon after the preliminary heats due to injury.

Men’s 100 Meter Final Predictions & Best Value Picks

The rising star that is Kishane Johnson is hard to bet against – he may be the dominant talent in the sport for years to come – but I see very little value on the untested 23-year-old at -155, which amounts to a 60.78% implied win probability. I also have no interest in Lyles at +130 (43.48%) and the vig on the odds at DraftKings is astronomical at this point. (It should decrease once the field is narrowed down.)

My favorite bet on the board is currently at FanDuel, where Fred Kerley is priced at +2400 (4% implied win probability). Kerley has consistently brought his best in the biggest moments and is only two years removed from a world championship gold. I was very hesitant to back the reigning silver medalist heading into the Olympics, but his meet-leading time of 9.97 yesterday is a good indication that he’s regained his form.

PICK: Fred Kerley (+2400 at FanDuel)

Sascha Paruk’s Olympics betting record: 4-1 (+2.66 units). All wagers 1 unit unless expressly stated otherwise.