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Astros vs Blue Jays Predictions, Odds & Props (June 5)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 4, 2023 · 7:25 PM PDT

Houston Astros third baseman Alex Bregman at the plate swinging
Jun 3, 2023; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Astros third baseman Alex Bregman (2) hits a grand slam against the Los Angeles Angels in the fourth inning at Minute Maid Park. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Blue Jays are -135 home favorites over the Astros on Monday night
  • Brandon Bielak (2-2, 3.19) will start for the Astros against Alek Manoah (1-6, 5.46)
  • A look at the Astros vs Blue Jays matchup and odds can be found below with a pick

The Toronto Blue Jays will try to stay hot when they host the Houston Astros at 7:07 p.m. ET Monday at Rogers Centre to open a four-game series.

The Blue Jays (33-27, 15-10 home) are on a four-game winning streak and have won six of their last seven games following a 6-4 road victory over the New York Mets on Sunday that completed a three-game series sweep. The Astros (35-24, 17-10 road) had their three-game winning streak end with a 2-1 loss to the Los Angeles Angels at home.

Astros vs Blue Jays Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Houston Astros +115 +1.5 (-170) Over 9.5 (-120)
Toronto Blue Jays -135 -1.5 (+143) Under 9.5 (-100)

The Blue Jays are -135 favorites on the moneyline over the Astros on Monday night in the MLB odds, giving them a 57.45% implied win probability. Houston has +700 World Series championship odds and Toronto is listed at +1900.

The roof will likely be closed at Rogers Centre as there is a 60% percent chance of showers in the weather forecast.

 

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Astros vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers

Brandon Bielak (2-2, 3.19) is expected to pitch for the Astros against Alek Manoah (1-6, 5.46). Bielak will be working on five days of rest and Manoah on four.

Bielak vs Manoah

Brandon Bielak
VS
Alek Manoah
2-2 Record 1-6
3.19 ERA 5.46
5.48 xERA 6.43
1.45 WHIP 1.77
2.33 SO/W 1.17

Bielak allowed one run and three hits over 5.2 innings to beat the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday in Houston. He matched a career-high with six strikeouts while walking three.

This will be Bielak’s first career start against the Blue Jays.

Bielak has started five times this season without notching a quality start and the Astros have a 2-3 record in those games. He is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA in three starts on the road but has a 2-0 record and 2.49 ERA in four games (three starts) at night.

Manoah is coming off a rough May in which he was 0-5 with a 6.16 ERA in six starts. Manoah has lost his last six decisions since notching his lone win of the season on April 5 against the Royals at Kansas City.

In his most recent start Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers at Rogers Centre, Manoah took the loss as he allowed two runs and three hits in four innings. He had three walks and two strikeouts.

Manoah won his lone career start against the Astros, limiting them to two runs in six innings last season.

Manoah is winless in six starts at home this season, going 0-3 with a 6.83 ERA. He is 1-4 with a 4.50 ERA in seven starts in night games.

The Blue Jays are 4-8 when Manoah takes the mound and he has just two quality starts in 12 outings. Nevertheless, he is still listed in the American League Cy Young odds, albeit at +10000.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Astros Batters Batting Average vs Alek Manoah
Kyle Tucker .667
Alex Bregman .333
Jose Abreu .143
Yordan Alvarez .000
Jeremy Pena .000
Martin Maldonado .000
Blue Jays Batters Batting Average vs Brandon Bielak
Daulton Varsho .500
Brandon Belt .000
Matt Chapman .000

Astros first baseman Jose Abreu is 1 for 7 against Manoah with three strikeouts. Active Blue Jays hitters are a combined 1 for 8 with four strikeouts against Bielak.

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Astros vs Blue Jays Betting Trends

Brandon Belt hit a tie-breaking two-run home run in the seventh inning Sunday to lift the Blue Jays over the Mets. He is hitting .347 (25 of 72) in his last 25 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr, whose AL MVP odds are +3000, hit a solo home run and Whit Merrifield had a two-run double. Each finished with two hits.

Yanier Diaz accounted for the Astros’ lone run in Sunday’s loss to the Angels with a solo homer. Diaz had two hits as did Alex Bregman, who ran his hitting streak to 11 games.

Second baseman Jose Altuve missed his second straight game with an oblique issue and is questionable for Monday.

Astros vs Blue Jays Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
4/19/23 Astros Blue Jays HOU, 8-1
4/18/23 Astros Blue Jays TOR, 4-2
4/17/23 Astros Blue Jays HOU, 9-2
5/1/22 Blue Jays Astros TOR, 3-2
4/30/22 Blue Jays Astros TOR, 2-1
4/29/22 Blue Jays Astros HOU, 11-7
4/24/22 Astros Blue Jays HOU, 8-7
4/23/22 Astros Blue Jays TOR, 3-2
4/22/22 Astros Blue Jays TOR, 4-3
6/6/21 Blue Jays Astros HOU, 6-3

The Astros took two of three from the Blue Jays in Houston in April as center fielder Jake Meyers went 4 for 11 with a double, a home run and five RBIs. The Astros hold a 20-14 edge in the series since 2017.

Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction

As talented as Manoah is, it’s difficult to back him against a quality team considering his current struggles. The Astros are the pick here. Let’s also go with the hot-hitting Bregman to go over 1.5 total bases in a prop wager.

Picks:

  • Astros moneyline (+115)
  • Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Season Record: 25-10 (+13.0 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 1-0 (+2.0) player props; 30-14 (+15.0 units) overall

 

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