Braves vs Mets Odds and Picks (May 3)
- The Atlanta Braves and Mets play a traditional doubleheader Tuesday in New York
- The Mets are -114 favorites on the moneyline today against the Braves
- A look at the matchups and odds is below with picks
Two National League East rivals get together for a traditional doubleheader when the division-leading New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves at 3:10 pm ET Tuesday at Citi Field.
The Braves (11-13/5-6 road) won the opener of the four-game series 5-2 on Monday night as they snapped a two-game losing streak. The Mets (16-8/7-4 home) has lost two of their last three games.
Braves vs Mets Odds 1st Game
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | -103 | -1.5 (+170) | Over 7 (-125) |
| New York Mets | -114 | +1.5 (-220) | Under 7 (+105) |
Odds as of May 3rd at Barstool Sportsbook.
The forecast is mostly cloudy with a high of 63 degrees on Tuesday afternoon in Queens. Wind will be from the east at 8-10 mph.
The Braves are given +1200 World Series odds in their attempt to repeat as champions while the Mets’ are +1100.
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Braves vs Mets Probable Pitchers
Charlie Morton (1-2, 7.00) will pitch for the Braves against Carlos Carrasco (1-2, 4.09) in Game 1. Both will have five days off since their last start.
Morton vs Carrasco 1st Game
| 1-2 | Record | 1-1 |
| 7.00 | ERA | 4.09 |
| 6.32 | xERA | 2.80 |
| 1.78 | WHIP | 0.95 |
| 1.36 | SO/W | 5.75 |
Returning from a broken leg sustained in last year’s World Series, Morton has struggled in 2022, including going 0-2 with an 8.53 ERA in his last three starts. He had a no-decision against the Chicago Cubs last Wednesday at home when he lasted just two innings and allowed three runs on four hits while walking four and striking out one.
Morton is 3-3 with a 3.27 ERA lifetime against the Mets in 14 games (13 starts). At Citi Field, he has a 2-1 record and 2.60 ERA in six starts.
Last night, Charlie Morton suffered a leg fracture in the second inning.
He went on to get three outs, including two Ks. Unbelievable. pic.twitter.com/rEhLnKrvcz
— MLB (@MLB) October 27, 2021
Morton has lost both road starts this season while compiling a 7.84 ERA. He has one start in the day, losing to the Dodgers on April 20 in Los Angeles when he got touched for four runs in 5.1 innings.
The Mets’ Francisco Lindor is just 2 for 24 (.083) with eight strikeouts against Morton and Eduardo Escobar is 1 for 11 (.091) with five strikeouts.
Carrasco had his worst outing of the season last Wednesday, getting rocked in a loss to the Cardinals at St. Louis. He was tagged for eight runs (seven earned) in 3.2 innings while giving up eight hits and two walks and striking out three. Carrasco allowed just three runs in 18.1 innings in his first three outings of the season.
In two career games (one start) versus the Braves, Carrasco is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA. He has a 1-0 record and 1.42 ERA in two starts at Citi Field this season and all four of his starts have been in day games.
Carlos Carrasco exits the game after giving up 6 runs (5 earned) across 3.2 IP pic.twitter.com/oKXsVrNdb3
— SNY (@SNYtv) April 27, 2022
The Braves’ Orlando Arcia and Guillermo Heredia are both 1 for 7 versus Carrasco.
Braves vs Mets Odds 2nd Game
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | -121 | -1.5 (+140) | Over 7.5 (-106) |
| New York Mets | -104 | +1.5 (-177) | Under 7.5 (-113) |
The forecast calls for a low 52 degrees on Tuesday nights with clouds and southeast winds at 8-11 mph.
In the nightcap, the Braves’ Kyle Wright (3-0, 1.13) will oppose David Peterson (0-0, 0.64), who the Mets will recall from Triple-A Syracuse.
Wright vs Peterson 2nd Game
| 3-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 1.13 | ERA | 0.64 |
| 1.89 | xERA | 3.95 |
| 0.83 | WHIP | 1.00 |
| 5.67 | SO/W | 2.00 |
Wright has won his last two starts, including beating the Cubs last Thursday when he allowed one run in seven innings. Chicago managed just three hits off Wright, who struck out eight and walked four.
Wright, who has +3500 NL Cy Young odds has struggled against the Mets, going 1-2 with a 7.16 ERA in five career games (four starts). At Citi Field, he is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in three games (two starts).
absolutely disrespectful stuff from Kyle Wright pic.twitter.com/WsIwZTzjrP
— Gaurav (@gvedak) April 16, 2022
All four of Wright’s starts in 2022 have been at night. He had his lone no-decision in his only road start, giving up two runs in five innings on April 15 against the San Diego Padres
The Mets’ Jeff McNeil is 5 for 9 with two doubles off Wright. However, Pete Alonso is hitless in five at-bats.
Peterson began the season with the Mets and allowed one run in 14 innings in three games (two starts). However, his outing with Syracuse last Thursday was a disaster as he allowed nine runs (seven earned) and nine hits in 4.2 innings with five strikeouts and one walk.
.@_David_Peterson had things working. 💪 pic.twitter.com/03pTaovaJM
— New York Mets (@Mets) April 23, 2022
Peterson will be making his fifth start against the Braves, and he has a 1-2 record with a 5.95 ERA against them. Peterson has no decisions and a 0.93 ERA in two games (one start) at night. His lone outing at home was April 17 when he pitched 4.1 shutout innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Adam Duvall has given Peterson major problems, going 4 for 5 with two doubles and a home run. Austin Riley is 4 for 8 with three doubles but Marcell Ozuna in hitless in seven at-bats while striking out three times.
Braves vs Mets Betting Outlook
Austin Riley homered to lead the Braves to victory on Monday night while Travis d’Arnaud had three hits and three RBIs against his former team.
D’Arnaud’s two-run double in the eighth inning finished the scoring, making it 5-2 and giving the Braves breathing room. Riley and Ozzie Albies had two hits each.
d'ouble your pleasure, d'ouble your fun#ForTheA pic.twitter.com/V0wkjCRSvq
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) May 3, 2022
Mark Canha hit his first home run for the Mets after signing a two-year, $26-million contract as a free agent in the offseason. Canha and Starling Marte had two hits each for the Braves.
JD Davis played third base for the Mets in his first action since being hit by a pitch on the ankle last Wednesday.
New York released infielder Robinson Cano on Monday after he hit .195 with one home run in 12 games. Should the eight-time All-Star clear waivers, as expected, the Mets will have to eat nearly $45 million in salary.
Steve Cohen told Billy Eppler to make the best baseball decision and not factor in the financial aspect when it came to the roster crunch and Robinson Canó: pic.twitter.com/XlBFmZxLLY
— SNY (@SNYtv) May 2, 2022
Monday marked the first of 19 meetings between the teams this year. The Braves are 42-26 against the Mets since the start of 2018 season.
Braves vs Mets Last 10 Meetings
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/2/22 | Mets | Braves | ATL, 5-2 |
| 10/3/21 | Braves | Mets | ATL, 5-0 |
| 10/2/21 | Braves | Mets | ATL, 6-5 |
| 10/1/21 | Braves | Mets | NYM, 4-3 |
| 7/29/21 | Mets | Braves | ATL, 6-3 |
| 7/28/21 | Mets | Braves | NYM, 2-1 |
| 7/27/21 | Mets | Braves | ATL, 12-5 |
| 7/26/21 (2) | Mets | Braves | NYM, 1-0 |
| 7/26/21 (1) | Mets | Braves | ATL, 2-0 |
| 7/1/21 | Braves | Mets | ATL, 4-3 |
Braves vs Mets Prediction
Carrasco has pitched much better this season after being hampered by hamstring and elbow problems last season. Morton, by his own admission, feels a little lost on the mound so far this year. Thus, the Mets in Game 1 are the play here.
On the hander, the Braves are the choice in Game 2 with Wright on the mound and pitching great.
Picks: Mets ML -114 (Game 1); Braves ML -121 (Game 2)
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John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
