Cardinals vs Blue Jays Picks & Odds (July 26)

• The Toronto Blue Jays are -220 home favorites over the St Louis Cardinals in an MLB inter-league game slated for Tuesday, July 26
• The two teams split a pair of games earlier this season at St Louis
• St Louis is 5-2 straight up in the past seven games against Toronto

It’s a cross-border, cross-league battle of the birds as the Toronto Blue Jays (53-43, 30-19 home) play host to the St Louis Cardinals (51-46, 22-26 away) in a two-game MLB inter-league series.

They played a two-game set earlier this season at Busch Stadium and each club came away with a win. Overall, St Louis is 3-1 straight up in the past four and 5-2 SU over the last seven games against Toronto. The winning team in 11 of the past 12 Cardinals-Blue Jays meetings also covered the run line.

It’s the hometown Blue Jays who oddsmakers are setting as the -220 favorites in this game. The Cardinals are 5-4 SU all-time at Toronto.

First pitch at Rogers Centre is set for 7:07pm ET on Tuesday, July 26. Clear skies with 5 mph wind and a temperature of 80 degrees are in the weather forecast.

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Odds

Odds as of July 25 at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo codes. 

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At odds of -220, the Blue Jays are offering an implied probability of victory of 68.75% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Toronto would deliver a payout of $14.50.

The public is siding with the oddsmakers in the MLB betting trends. There’s 60% of moneyline and runline money backing the Blue Jays. Also, 60% of total bets favor the over. Four of the last five St Louis-Toronto games have gone over the established total for this game of 9.0 runs.

In the MLB Division odds, the betting line is displaying Toronto as the +285 second betting choice in the AL East. St Louis is the +280 second betting choice to win the NL Central. The MLB pennant odds show the Blue Jays at +600 and the Cardinals at +2700. In the World Series odds, Toronto is +1500 and St Louis is +4000.

St Louis vs Toronto Probable Pitchers

Cardinals rookie right-hander Andre Pallante is making his 27th appearance of the season but just his ninth start. He moved into the starting rotation at the beginning of June and promptly lost four of his first five decisions.

You can’t convince me that there isn’t a secret lab beneath Busch Stadium that churns out players named “Andre Pallante” who inexplicably have a low-3’s ERA despite a K/9 below 6.0.

Where do the #Cardinals keep finding these guys?

— Reds in Four (@RedsInFour) July 15, 2022

Pallante is 1-1 in his last three starts but he’s allowed 13 earned runs in 14.1 innings over that span for an ERA of 8.16. He’s surrendered six home runs in his last seven starts.

Pallante faced Toronto in relief on May 23, walking two batters in one-third of an inning. He’s 0-2 with a 3.70 ERA in 11 road appearances. As a reliever, Pallante showed a 1.63 ERA in 18 appearances. In eight starts, his ERA is 4.46.

Pallante vs Berrios Stats

In his first full season with the Blue Jays, the won-loss record of veteran right-hander Jose Berrios is solid (7-4), even if the rest of his data is somewhat gruesome.

I'm not sure I've ever seen anybody weave back and forth from looking like an ace to looking like a guy who's tossing balls at the home run derby quite as much as Jose Berrios has this season

— Blue Jays Nation (@thejaysnation) July 17, 2022

Among MLB hurlers, Berrios rates in the bottom 4% in xSLG (.490), the bottom 8% in xBA (.276) and the bottom 10% in xwOBA (.353), xwOBAcon (.424), hard hit percentage (44.8) and xERA (5.30). He’s also served up an MLB-high 20 home runs.

Berrios appears to be finding a groove in July. He’s 2-0 in four starts with a 3.08 ERA. In three career starts against the Cardinals, Berrios is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Brendan Donovan of the Cardinals is 2-for-3 (.667) with an RBI when facing Berrios. Corey Dickerson is 5-for-11 (.455) with a home and two RBI. Albert Pujols is 3-for-6 (.500) with an RBI. Tyler O’Neill and Andrew Knizner are also batting .500. Both are 1-for-2.

Corey Dickerson since coming back from the IL on July 9th

12.5% BB%
4.2 K%
.238/.333/.476/.801
.351 wOBA
131 wRC+

Elite 4th outfielder?

— Chris (@Chriftopher) July 24, 2022

No Toronto batter has a hit off of Pallante, though both George Springer and Santiago Espinal drove in runs off of him in the one-third of an inning he’s faced Toronto.

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction

Berrios is unbeaten against the Cardinals (2-0) and he’s unbeaten at home this season (5-0) with a 3.33 ERA.

St Louis will be playing without sluggers Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado. Neither is vaccinated for COVID-19 and thus are ineligible to enter Canada.

Goldschmidt and Arenado have hit 40.3% of the #StlCards homers, lashed 31.3% of the doubles, driven in 32% of the RBI, and scored 25% of the runs.

— The Todd Squad (@todsqd) July 26, 2022

Between them they’ve slugged 40 homers. Goldschmidt is the +110 favorite in the NL MVP odds.

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays ML (-220)