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Cubs vs Brewers Picks, Odds & Starting Pitchers (July 6)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 5, 2023 · 9:12 PM PDT

Chicago Cubs players head onto the field
Jun 30, 2023; Chicago Cubs right fielder Mike Tauchman (40) and center fielder Cody Bellinger (24) celebrate the Cubs win against the Cleveland Guardians at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Cubs are -120 road favorites over the Brewers on Thursday
  • Marcus Stroman (9-6, 2.76) will pitch for the Cubs against the Brewers’ Freddy Peralta (5-7, 4.67)
  • The Cubs vs Brewers odds and predictions can be found below 

The Chicago Cubs visit the Milwaukee Brewers in the finale of a four-game series at 2:10 p.m. ET Thursday at American Family Field.

The Cubs (40-45, 19-23 road) have won the past two games of the series, including 4-3 on Wednesday, after losing seven of their previous eight games. The Brewers (46-41, 23-20 home) had won seven of nine games before the back-to-back losses.

The game will be broadcast on MLB Network.

Cubs vs Brewers Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Chicago Cubs -120 -1.5 (+155) Over 8.5 (-105)
Milwaukee Brewers +100 +1.5 (-180) Under 8.5 (-115)

The Cubs are -120 moneyline favorites over the Brewers on Thursday in the MLB odds. Milwaukee has +2500 World Series odds while Chicago is listed at +15000.

The American Family Field roof will likely be open with the weather forecast calling for partly sunny skies, a high of 74 and north wind at 10 mph.



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Odds as of July 5th at BetMGM. Claim a BetMGM promo code to wager on Cubs vs Brewers on Thursday. 

Cubs vs Brewers Probable Pitchers

Marcus Stroman (9-6, 2.76) is scheduled to start for the Cubs against Freddy Peralta (5-7, 4.67). Stroman will be pitching on four days of rest and Peralta on five.

Stroman vs Peralta

Marcus Stroman
Freddy Peralta
9-6 Record 5-7
2.76 ERA 4.67
3.71 xERA 4.06
1.09 WHIP 1.30
2.49 SO/W 2.77

Stroman has lost his last two starts with an 8.00 ERA. Against the Cleveland Guardians last Saturday in Chicago, Stroman pitched 5.2 innings and allowed five runs, five hits and two walks while striking out seven.

Stroman will be facing the Brewers for the seventh time in his career. He has a 3-1 record and 2.01 ERA against them.

In nine starts on the road this season, Stroman is 4-2 with a 2.70 ERA. He is 4-4 with a 3.27 ERA in eight starts in the day. Stroman, who has NL Cy Young odds of +2000, has registered 14 quality starts in 18 outings, but the Cubs are 10-8 when he pitches.

Peralta is 0-4 with a 5.45 ERA in his last seven starts. Peralta had a no-decision his last time out, giving up three runs and three hits in 5.1 innings against the Pirates in Pittsburgh last Friday while striking out eight and walking two.

In 14 career games (nine starts) versus the Cubs, Peralta is 5-1 with a 3.17 ERA.

Peralta has eight quality starts in 16 outings this season and the Brewers are 7-9 when he takes the mound. Peralta has made nine starts both at home and in the day this season, going 4-3 with a 3.75 ERA at American Family Field and 4-4 with a 4.06 ERA in day games.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Cubs Batters Batting Average vs Freddy Peralta
Yan Gomes .500
Seiya Suzuki .333
Tucker Barnhart .294
Nico Hoerner .273
Christopher Morel .250
Patrick Wisdom .200
Ian Happ .053
Dansby Swanson .000
Cody Bellinger .000
Brewers Batters Batting Average vs Marcus Stroman
Willy Adames .533
Brian Anderson .500
Brice Turang .500
Christian Yelich .222
Victor Caratini .200
Raimel Tapia .167
Jesse Winker .111
William Contreras .000

Cubs right fielder Seiya Suzuki is 2 for 6 with a home run off Peralta while left fielder Ian Happ is just 1 for 19 (.053) with nine strikeouts. Brewers shortstop Willy Adames has been tough on Stroman, going 8 for 15 (.533) with two homers but designated hitter Jesse Winker is 1 for 9 with three strikeouts.

Cubs vs Brewers Betting Trends

Mike Tauchman hit a two-run double and scored on a throwing error by third baseman Brian Anderson during a three-run rally in the top of the ninth inning as the Cubs rallied for a victory over the Cubs on Wednesday night.

Suzuki had three hits for the Cubs and Cody Bellinger added two. Shortstop Dansby Swanson left the game in the seventh inning with a left heel contusion and is unlikely to play in a day game Thursday following a night game.

Christian Yelich, Anderson and Andruw Monasterio had two hits apiece for the Brewers. Adames homered.

The Brewers made a slew of roster moves before the game, including activating Anderson from the paternity list and placing first baseman Rowdy Tellez (right forearm inflammation) on the injured list. The bullpen was also shuffled as right-handers J.C. Mejia and Tyson Miller were called up from Triple-A Nashville and left-hander Clayton Andrews and right-hander J.B. Bukauskas were sent to the same club.

Cubs vs Brewers Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
7/5/23 Brewers Cubs CHC, 4-3
7/4/23 Brewers Cubs CHC, 7-6
7/3/23 Brewers Cubs MIL, 8-6
4/2/23 Cubs Brewers MIL, 9-5
4/1/23 Cubs Brewers MIL, 3-1
3/30/23 Cubs Brewers CHC, 4-0
8/28/22 Brewers Cubs MIL, 9-7
8/27/22 Brewers Cubs MIL, 7-0
8/26/22 Brewers Cubs CHC, 4-3
8/21/22 Cubs Brewers MIL, 5-2

The Cubs hold a slight 13-12 edge in the series since the start of last season after the Brewers won 15 of 19 in 2021.

Cubs vs Brewers Prediction

Stroman is having an All-Star season but has struggled lately and is a good fade candidate as a road favorite.

Pick: Brewers ML (+100)

Season Record: 35-12 (+20.7 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 2-2 (+3.6) player props; 40-17 (+24.3 units) overall



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