Cubs vs Brewers Picks, Odds & Starting Pitchers (July 6)
- The Cubs are -120 road favorites over the Brewers on Thursday
- Marcus Stroman (9-6, 2.76) will pitch for the Cubs against the Brewers’ Freddy Peralta (5-7, 4.67)
- The Cubs vs Brewers odds and predictions can be found below
The Chicago Cubs visit the Milwaukee Brewers in the finale of a four-game series at 2:10 p.m. ET Thursday at American Family Field.
The Cubs (40-45, 19-23 road) have won the past two games of the series, including 4-3 on Wednesday, after losing seven of their previous eight games. The Brewers (46-41, 23-20 home) had won seven of nine games before the back-to-back losses.
The game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
Cubs vs Brewers Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | -120 | -1.5 (+155) | Over 8.5 (-105) |
| Milwaukee Brewers | +100 | +1.5 (-180) | Under 8.5 (-115) |
The Cubs are -120 moneyline favorites over the Brewers on Thursday in the MLB odds. Milwaukee has +2500 World Series odds while Chicago is listed at +15000.
The American Family Field roof will likely be open with the weather forecast calling for partly sunny skies, a high of 74 and north wind at 10 mph.
Odds as of July 5th at BetMGM. Claim a BetMGM promo code to wager on Cubs vs Brewers on Thursday.
Cubs vs Brewers Probable Pitchers
Marcus Stroman (9-6, 2.76) is scheduled to start for the Cubs against Freddy Peralta (5-7, 4.67). Stroman will be pitching on four days of rest and Peralta on five.
Stroman vs Peralta
| 9-6 | Record | 5-7 |
| 2.76 | ERA | 4.67 |
| 3.71 | xERA | 4.06 |
| 1.09 | WHIP | 1.30 |
| 2.49 | SO/W | 2.77 |
Stroman has lost his last two starts with an 8.00 ERA. Against the Cleveland Guardians last Saturday in Chicago, Stroman pitched 5.2 innings and allowed five runs, five hits and two walks while striking out seven.
Stroman will be facing the Brewers for the seventh time in his career. He has a 3-1 record and 2.01 ERA against them.
In nine starts on the road this season, Stroman is 4-2 with a 2.70 ERA. He is 4-4 with a 3.27 ERA in eight starts in the day. Stroman, who has NL Cy Young odds of +2000, has registered 14 quality starts in 18 outings, but the Cubs are 10-8 when he pitches.
Peralta is 0-4 with a 5.45 ERA in his last seven starts. Peralta had a no-decision his last time out, giving up three runs and three hits in 5.1 innings against the Pirates in Pittsburgh last Friday while striking out eight and walking two.
Freddy Peralta, Wicked 83mph Slider. 🤢 pic.twitter.com/BNWl6h65FO
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 1, 2023
In 14 career games (nine starts) versus the Cubs, Peralta is 5-1 with a 3.17 ERA.
Peralta has eight quality starts in 16 outings this season and the Brewers are 7-9 when he takes the mound. Peralta has made nine starts both at home and in the day this season, going 4-3 with a 3.75 ERA at American Family Field and 4-4 with a 4.06 ERA in day games.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Cubs Batters | Batting Average vs Freddy Peralta |
|---|---|
| Yan Gomes | .500 |
| Seiya Suzuki | .333 |
| Tucker Barnhart | .294 |
| Nico Hoerner | .273 |
| Christopher Morel | .250 |
| Patrick Wisdom | .200 |
| Ian Happ | .053 |
| Dansby Swanson | .000 |
| Cody Bellinger | .000 |
| Brewers Batters | Batting Average vs Marcus Stroman |
| Willy Adames | .533 |
| Brian Anderson | .500 |
| Brice Turang | .500 |
| Christian Yelich | .222 |
| Victor Caratini | .200 |
| Raimel Tapia | .167 |
| Jesse Winker | .111 |
| William Contreras | .000 |
Cubs right fielder Seiya Suzuki is 2 for 6 with a home run off Peralta while left fielder Ian Happ is just 1 for 19 (.053) with nine strikeouts. Brewers shortstop Willy Adames has been tough on Stroman, going 8 for 15 (.533) with two homers but designated hitter Jesse Winker is 1 for 9 with three strikeouts.
Cubs vs Brewers Betting Trends
Mike Tauchman hit a two-run double and scored on a throwing error by third baseman Brian Anderson during a three-run rally in the top of the ninth inning as the Cubs rallied for a victory over the Cubs on Wednesday night.
Suzuki had three hits for the Cubs and Cody Bellinger added two. Shortstop Dansby Swanson left the game in the seventh inning with a left heel contusion and is unlikely to play in a day game Thursday following a night game.
That's what we're tauchin' about! 😤
Tie ballgame! pic.twitter.com/czSTiUT3oA
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) July 6, 2023
Christian Yelich, Anderson and Andruw Monasterio had two hits apiece for the Brewers. Adames homered.
The Brewers made a slew of roster moves before the game, including activating Anderson from the paternity list and placing first baseman Rowdy Tellez (right forearm inflammation) on the injured list. The bullpen was also shuffled as right-handers J.C. Mejia and Tyson Miller were called up from Triple-A Nashville and left-hander Clayton Andrews and right-hander J.B. Bukauskas were sent to the same club.
Cubs vs Brewers Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5/23 | Brewers | Cubs | CHC, 4-3 |
| 7/4/23 | Brewers | Cubs | CHC, 7-6 |
| 7/3/23 | Brewers | Cubs | MIL, 8-6 |
| 4/2/23 | Cubs | Brewers | MIL, 9-5 |
| 4/1/23 | Cubs | Brewers | MIL, 3-1 |
| 3/30/23 | Cubs | Brewers | CHC, 4-0 |
| 8/28/22 | Brewers | Cubs | MIL, 9-7 |
| 8/27/22 | Brewers | Cubs | MIL, 7-0 |
| 8/26/22 | Brewers | Cubs | CHC, 4-3 |
| 8/21/22 | Cubs | Brewers | MIL, 5-2 |
The Cubs hold a slight 13-12 edge in the series since the start of last season after the Brewers won 15 of 19 in 2021.
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction
Stroman is having an All-Star season but has struggled lately and is a good fade candidate as a road favorite.
Pick: Brewers ML (+100)
Season Record: 35-12 (+20.7 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 2-2 (+3.6) player props; 40-17 (+24.3 units) overall
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John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
