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Cubs vs Pirates Odds and Picks – Kilian vs Brubaker

Blair Johnson

by Blair Johnson in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 19, 2022 · 9:23 PM PDT

Chicago Cubs catcher Willson Contreras and relief pitcher Chris Martin celebrate a win
Jun 18, 2022; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Cubs catcher Willson Contreras (40) and relief pitcher Chris Martin (58) celebrate their win against the Atlanta Braves at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates face off at PNC Park on Monday, June 20th
  • David Ross’ club has been scuffling of late in this rebuilding year, as has Derek Shelton’s group
  • Read below for the Cubs vs Pirates odds and betting preview

The Chicago Cubs (25-41) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (26-39) on Monday at PNC Park. The series opener of a four-game set has a scheduled first pitch of 7:05pm ET. The North Siders will send Caleb Kilian to the mound, while the Buccos counter with JT Brubaker.

The Pirates are a slight favorite in this one and have +30000 odds to win the NL Central.

Meantime, the Cubs have +10000 odds to win the division. Pittsburgh is projected to win 64.5 games in 2022, while Ross’ squad is expected to win 74.5 games in the MLB win totals.

Cubs vs Pirates Odds

Team Runline Moneyline Total
Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+164) -104 Ov 8 (-120)
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-200) -112 Un 8 (-102)

Odds as of June 19th at FanDuel Sportsbook. See available FanDuel Sportsbook promo codes.

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Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Probable Pitchers

The 25-year-old Kilian — who was acquired by Chicago in the Kris Bryant trade deadline deal with San Francisco last season — will make the third start of his rookie campaign in this one. The 6-foot-4 Texas Tech product had a 2.51 ERA through ten starts at Triple-A Iowa before making his big league debut against the Cardinals on June 4 in an eventual 7-4 loss that saw him go five innings, surrender three hits, three earned runs and two walks while striking out six.

The Southern California native got roughed up in his last start against the Padres last Wednesday, allowing five runs in only four innings of work in what turned out to be a 19-5 loss. But after facing a pair of playoff contenders, Kilian faces a weaker Pittsburgh lineup in this one.

Meantime, Pittsburgh has gone 5-8 in the 28-year-old Brubaker’s starts. Two of them have been of the quality vintage, with each coming in the last month. The 6-foot-3 righty went 5.1 innings in his most recent start on Tuesday, allowing seven hits, two earned runs and two walks while striking out five in a 3-1 loss to the Cardinals.

That’s the good news. The bad news? Brubaker is winless in his 13 starts, posting an 0-7 record this season.

Kilian vs Brubaker Stats

Caleb Kilian
VS
JT Brubaker
0-1 Record 0-7
8.00 ERA 4.50
3.10 xERA 3.83
14.5% K% 22.3%

The Cubs enter the Steel City with a bit of momentum after taking two of three from the defending World Series champion Braves. But that’s not telling the whole story. The North Siders were shut out 6-0 at home on Sunday as Atlanta salvaged the series. And prior to the modest two-game win streak, Ross’ crew had lost ten straight.

Not surprisingly, the team’s best offensive player — Willson Contreras — has been its best player over the last week. Contreras — who could be dealt in the next month to a contender — has a slash line of .379/.400/.690 and smashed five extra base hits (two homers, three doubles) while driving in four runs in that timeframe.

The Buccos come in scuffling, having lost 11 of their last 13. The Pirates beat the Giants in dramatic fashion on Sunday, thanks to Jack Suwinski. The outfielder became the first rookie in MLB history to hit three homers — including a walk-off — in the same game to salvage the series against San Fran.

The Cardinals currently have +3300 odds to win the Fall Classic, while the Padres are at +17000 in the World Series odds.

CHC vs PIT Last 10 Meetings

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/18/22 Cubs Pirates PIT, 3-2
5/17/22 Cubs Pirates CHC, 7-0
5/16/22 Cubs Pirates CHC, 9-0
4/24/22 Cubs Pirates PIT, 4-3
4/23/22 Cubs Pirates CHC, 21-0
4/22/22 Cubs Pirates PIT, 4-2
4/21/22 Cubs Pirates PIT, 4-3
4/13/22 Pirates Cubs PIT, 6-2
4/12/22 Pirates Cubs CHC, 2-1
9/30/21 Pirates Cubs CHC, 9-0

Cubs vs Pirates Prediction

Neither one of those teams have a distinct advantage in this spot as each lineup is underwhelming.

The starting pitching could be the difference here. Kilian probably has better stuff than Brubaker, so i’ll lean toward the Chicago.

Pick: Cubs ML (-104)

 

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