Dodgers vs Phillies Player-Prop Picks & Best Bets (Jul 22)

• The Dodgers and Phillies conclude their 3-game set this evening in Philadelphia
• Aaron Nola’s elite strikeout rate at home offers massive plus-money value
• Keep reading for the Dodgers vs Phillies player-prop picks and best bets for July 22, below

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (64-38) and Philadelphia Phillies (56-46) square off tonight in their series finale at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET, with the MLB weather forecast predicting a perfect night for baseball on deck.

The road favorites in the MLB odds hand the ball to left-hander Eric Lauer, hoping he can keep the home underdogs at bay. Philadelphia counters with veteran right-hander Aaron Nola. He faces a terrifying lineup featuring Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman.

I’m bypassing any side or total wager for this evening’s matchup, instead choosing to get my action in the player props market. Below, you’ll find my favorite Dodgers vs Phillies player-prop picks and best bets for July 22.

Dodgers vs Phillies Player-Prop Odds

Here is a look at the hitting props for tonight’s game. I am incorporating Kalshi prices here, as their cents-per-share model currently offers much better payouts on home runs and hits than traditional sportsbooks. Don’t forget to claim the Kalshi referral code to score a bonus to bet on MLB.

Ohtani leads the charge on the prop boards. Grabbing him at 29 cents a share on Kalshi for a home run translates to massive plus-money value (+244 equivalent). Schwarber is right behind him at 30 cents to go deep. If you want to avoid the long ball, backing Harper for a base hit at 66 cents is a mathematically sound wager.

Odds as of July 22, 2026. Claim your BetMGM promo now to get involved in tonight’s action.

As for the pitching props, Nola takes the mound with his strikeout prop set at 5.5. You can find excellent plus-money value on the over at Bet365. Conversely, Lauer’s strikeout numbers have fallen off a cliff on the road. Backing Lauer for a high strikeout total right now is like eating a dead cap penalty—it just restricts your bankroll. He has gone under 3.5 strikeouts in 3 of his last 4 road games (75%).

Dodgers vs Phillies Player-Prop Picks and Best Bets

Finding an edge in the MLB player props market often comes down to identifying situational trends and exploiting mispriced lines. Based on recent performance and home/away splits, I have identified three standout bets for this high-profile matchup of World Series odds contenders.

Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+123 at Bet365)

I am leading off with significant plus-money value on the Phillies veteran right-hander. While Los Angeles possesses a star-studded lineup that can intimidate opposing pitchers, Nola misses bats reliably in his own ballpark. Nola has gone over 5.5 strikeouts in 6 of his last 8 home games (75%).

Over 103.0 innings pitched this year, he holds a strong 9.44 K/9 ratio. At +123 odds, the implied probability is just 44.8%, giving us a tremendous edge against his 75% recent home hit rate.

Max Muncy Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115 at Caesars)

Max Muncy has been a reliable source of power and extra bases for Los Angeles, particularly when playing away from his home stadium. On the season, Muncy boasts a robust .506 slugging percentage with 36 extra-base hits per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats.

Muncy is 6-1 versus a total bases over/under of 1.5 in his last 7 road games, a staggering 86% success rate. Getting plus-money on a trend hitting at nearly 90% in away environments is an absolute steal. I will happily lock this Total Bases Props ticket in.

Shohei Ohtani Under 1.5 Total Bases (-114 at Bet365)
Fading the frontrunner for the MLB MVP odds is rarely a comfortable position. While Ohtani has consistently lit the lamp for this offense, hitting home runs at a staggering pace, the situational data points to serious value on the under here. Ohtani is 1-6 versus a total bases over/under of 1.5 in his last 7 road games.

He has drawn 50 walks this season, taking his free passes regularly. Walks do not count toward total bases props. Against Nola, Ohtani is likely to see carefully sequenced pitches, increasing the chances of a walk-heavy outcome.