Upcoming Match-ups

Astros vs Athletics Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers (Sep.25)

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in MLB Baseball

Updated Sep 24, 2021 · 10:28 PM PDT

Houston Astros celebrate
Houston Astros' Jose Altuve, right, celebrates his two-run home run with Yuli Gurriel (10) during the fifth inning of a baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels Tuesday, Sept. 21, 2021, in Anaheim, Calif. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
  • The Astros and Athletics continue their three-game set on Saturday afternoon
  • Framber Valdez and Sean Manaea will battle it out on the mound
  • Read on for the odds, preview, and prediction

The AL West-leading Houston Astros (91-63, 44-35 away) visit the Oakland Athletics (83-71, 41-38 home) on Saturday afternoon in the Bay Area, with first-pitch scheduled for 4:10 pm EST. It will be two lefties on the mound, with Framber Valdez starting for Houston, while Sean Manaea gets the call for Oakland.

Prior to dropping the series opener on Friday, the Astros have won four of five against the A’s.

Astros vs Athletics Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Houston Astros -110 -1.5 (+145) Ov 8.5 (+100)
Oakland Athletics -110 +1.5 (-165) Un 8.5 (-120)

Odds as of September 24th at DraftKings

Probable Pitchers

Valdez has been the ace of the Astros staff this season, posting a rotation-best 3.07 ERA in 20 starts. In the process, he’s gone 11-5 while striking out 115 in 123 innings of work.

Command has been an issue for the southpaw at times though, allowing 52 walks in 2021. But, it hasn’t necessarily come back to haunt him. Last time out, Valdez was utterly dominant, tossing seven scoreless frames against the Angels while also striking out six batters.

The Dominican did get hit around during his first two outings in September however, surrendering four runs to the Angels and the Padres. Valdez’s lone start against the Athletics this year was rough, lasting just five innings and giving up five earned runs.

However, he does have a 2.72 ERA in day games this season and Oakland has been struggling with the bats.

Valdez vs Manaea

Framber Valdez
VS
Sean Manaea
11-5 Record 10-10
3.07 ERA 4.05
123 Innings Pitched 166.2
115 SO 180
52 BB 39

Manaea hasn’t been great for the A’s this season, going 10-10 with a 4.05 ERA in 30 starts. His strikeout to walk ratio is impressive, but the lefty has been hit around at times.

In his most recent outing, Manaea gave up four runs to the Mariners as he took the loss. The start before that, he allowed five earned to Kansas City. Manaea always comes out and pounds the strike zone, it’s just a matter of locating his pitches and limiting the mistakes.

The Astros are one of the most potent offenses in baseball and they’ve hit him well this season. Manaea boasts a 4.63 ERA against Houston and has gone winless in four appearances. He also pitches slightly worse at home, compiling a 4.10 ERA compared to 3.99 on the road.

With Oakland’s Wild Card hopes slowly slipping away, they desperately need a quality start out of the southpaw here.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Athletics Hitters Batting Average vs Valdez Astros Hitters Batting Average vs Manaea
Elvis Andrus .333 Jose Altuve .244
Seth Brown .000 Yordan Alvarez .100
Mark Canha .600 Alex Bregman .313
Matt Chapman .333 Jason Castro .500
Khris Davis .200 Carlos Correa .200
Josh Harrison .000 Aledmys Diaz .250
Jed Lowrie .667 Marwin Gonzalez .167
Starling Marte .000 Yuli Gurriel .282
Sean Murphy .000 Martin Maldonado .353
Matt Olson .200 Chas McCormick .000
Chad Pinder .375 Kyle Tucker .333

The Astros have yet another AL West title locked up, currently sitting nine games ahead of the Athletics. Houston has been winning lots of ballgames lately as well, going 7-3 in their last 10 after taking three of four from the Angels. The bats continue to stay hot for this team, sitting first in runs, hits, average, and OBP.

From top to bottom, they have so many weapons who can get it done and are certainly a serious contender once again come playoff time. As a lineup, they have close to 200 at-bats combined against Manaea. Needless to say, the Astros are extremely familiar with the lefty. Alex Bregman in particular is raking off the A’s starter, hitting .313 with four homers in 32 AB’s.

The A’s are playing bad baseball at the worst possible time. The American League Wild Card race is heating up immensely, with Oakland falling farther back of the final spot. They also just lost four straight to the Mariners in what was a crucial series because Seattle is also fighting for their postseason lives.

The Athletics’ offense was non-existent in the series, scoring only 10 runs combined. It also won’t get any easier, with six of their last nine against Houston along with another three-game set versus Seattle.

Astros vs Athletics Prediction

To be honest, the A’s looks absolutely deflated right now and the Astros are raking. On top of that, they swing the bats very well against Manaea. Valdez has also been solid all year for them, despite his lone start vs. Oakland turning out to be poor. Take Houston.

Pick: Houston Astros moneyline -110

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