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LA Dodgers vs Minnesota Twins Odds, Picks & Predictions for April 10

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball

Updated Apr 10, 2024 · 12:49 PM PDT

Los Angeles Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman warming up
Apr 8, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman (5) looks on during pre game batting practice before a game against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
  • The LA Dodgers and Minnesota Twins close out their three-game set at Target Field on Wednesday afternoon
  • The Twins have lost four in a row, including two to LAD
  • Below, find the Dodgers vs Twins odds, predictions, and expert picks for April 10

Two teams trending in opposite directions meet again on Wednesday afternoon when the Los Angeles Dodgers (10-4, 4-2 away, 9-4-1 O/U) aim for a three-game sweep of the Minnesota Twins (3-6, 0-4 home, 3-6-0 O/U) at Target Field in Minneapolis at 12:10 pm CT/1:10 pm ET.

Coming off a 6-3 win last night, the Dodgers are -175 favorites to complete the sweep on Wednesday.

LA Dodgers vs Minnesota Twins Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Los Angeles Dodgers (Miller) -175 -1.5 (-105) O 8.5 (-125)
Minnesota Twins (Paddack) +150 +1.5 (-115) U 8.5 (+105)

The Twins, who have lost four straight at home to start the season, come back as +150 underdogs to pick up their first victory at Target Field. The over/under is sitting at 8.5. LAD has been one of the best over bets so far this season (9-4-1 over/under) while the Twins are at the opposite end of the spectrum (3-6).


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Minnesota started the season as the odds-on favorite to win the AL Central (-122) in the MLB division odds, but has already faded to +190, level with Cleveland at most sportsbooks. The Dodgers were prohibitively short -560 favorites to win the NL West on Opening Day and have only grown shorter during their 9-4 start, which has already placed them four games up on the rest of the division.

Dodgers Dominate First Two Games Against Twins

Los Angeles has outscored Minnesota 10-5 in the first two games of the series (4-2, 6-3), racking up 19 hits to just nine for the Twins. Yesterday, Tyler Glasnow pitched seven shutout innings with 14 strikeouts, already improving to 3-0 on the season with a 2.25 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. Glasnow, who started the year eighth in the NL Cy Young odds, has jumped into the top-four favorites.

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The Twins will lineup against 6’5 righty Bobby Miller in the series finale on Wednesday. The 25-year-old was exceptional in his first start of the season, going six scoreless innings against the Cardinals on March 29 with 11 strikeouts, two hits, and a walk. But he was rocked by the Cubs in his second and most-recent start, giving up five runs on four hits and two walks over just 1.2 innings in a 9-7 Chicago victory at Wrigley Field.

As a rookie last season, Miller was mostly solid. He posted a 3.76 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, averaging 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings.

Bobby Miller vs Chris Paddack

1-1 Record 0-0
5.87 ERA 4.50
2.97 xERA 7.09
1.17 WHIP 1.25
43.8% SO% 11.1%

Minnesota starter Chris Paddack was lucky to escape with a no decision in his first and so far only start of the season. The 6’5 righty allowed six hits and two walks over just 4.0 innings, but limited the damage to just two runs in a 7-3 win over Milwaukee. The once-promising prospect only managed to pitch 27.1 innings combined during his first two seasons in a Minnesota uniform but does have an xERA in the mid threes during his brief tenure with the Twins.

The former Padre has a sizable history against the Dodgers lineup, and it’s not promising for Twins fans. In 51 total at-bats, LA’s 2024 lineup is slashing .275/.315/.549 with a .864 OPS. Mookie Betts is 5-for-6 with a home run, two doubles, and four RBI, while Max Muncy has also taken him yard.

Only one Minnesota hitter (Carlos Santana) has ever faced Miller before, going 1-for-5 with a strikeout.

Dodgers vs Twins Prediction

While Miller was roughed up in his last start, the hard-throwing righty – whose average four-seam velocity is 99 mph – is projected by ZiPs to post an ERA 3.77 this season and be a key contributor to the Dodgers formidable rotation. In his rookie season, his home/road splits actually heavily favored road starts, in which he posted a 3.09 in 67 innings compared to a 4.55 ERA in 57.1 innings at Chavez Ravine.

Minnesota’s hitters have scored just 26 runs in nine games this season, second-fewest in all of baseball, and only Ryan Jeffers has more than one home run. (Royce Lewis remains on the 10-day IL.) Meanwhile the Dodgers and their sky-high payroll lead the majors with 79 runs scored, and have a good chance to feast on Paddack once again on Wednesday afternoon.

There is little reason to back the Twins in this spot.

LAD vs MIN pick: Dodgers moneyline (-175) – two units

Sascha Paruk’s 2024 MLB betting record: 8-1 (+6.05 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise.


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