Mariners vs Astros Odds, Picks & Predictions (July 31)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Astros are -136 home favorites over the Mariners on Sunday
- Rookie George Kirby (2-3, 3.50) will start for Seattle against Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 4.25)
- A look at the matchups and odds can be found below with a pick
The visiting Seattle Mariners will try to gain a split of a four-game series with the Houston Astros when the teams meet at 2:10 p.m. ET Sunday at Minute Maid Park.
The Mariners (55-47/28-24 road) rallied for a 5-4 victory on Saturday night after losing the first two games of the series and have won four of their last six games overall. The Astros (66-36/32-15 home) have dropped four of their last six.
Mariners vs Astros Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | +117 | +1.5 (-195) | Over 8.5 (-103) |
| Houston Astros | -136 | -1.5 (+155) | Under 8.5 (-117) |
Odds as of July 30th at Barstool Sportsbook.
The Astros are -136 home favorites, giving them a 57.63% implied win probability. Houston has +475 World Series odds and the Mariners are listed at +5000.
Mariners vs Astros Probable Pitchers
Rookie George Kirby (2-3, 3.50) is expected to pitch for the Mariners against Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 4.25). Kirby, who has +6500 AL Cy Young Award odds, will be working on four days of rest and Odorizzi on five.
Kirby vs Odorizzi
| 2-3 | Record | 4-3 |
| 3.50 | ERA | 4.25 |
| 3.79 | xERA | 4.15 |
| 1.20 | WHIP | 1.23 |
| 6.60 | SO/W | 2.53 |
Kirby returned to the Mariners on Tuesday and pitched five scoreless innings against the Texas Rangers at home in a no-decision. He spent the previous 17 days at Triple-A Tacoma to help manage his innings.
Kirby allowed just two hits. He struck out four and walked one.
George Kirby's new two-seam fastball has wowed his rotation mates.
Here's Robbie Ray on this K last night: "A left-handed hitter can't swing at that pitch because it's like, 'That ball is going to hit me.' And then all of a sudden, it's on the plate." pic.twitter.com/ZZVQ6r6RZE
— Daniel Kramer (@DKramer_) July 27, 2022
This will be Kirby’s first career appearance against the Astros. He is 2-1 with a 2.67 ERA in five starts on the road this season and has no decisions and a 1.42 ERA in the daytime in three starts.
The Mariners are 8-5 when Kirby starts.
Odorizzi had his four-game winning streak, which covered seven starts, snapped Monday night with a loss to the Athletics at Oakland. He was torched for six runs and seven hits in five innings with two strikeouts and a walk.
In 15 career starts against the Mariners, Odorizzi has a 4-6 record and 3.99 ERA.
He can field his position.
Jake Odorizzi going through some fielding practice pic.twitter.com/QFZFMhDz0T
— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) June 17, 2022
Odorizzi is 2-1 at home in five starts this season with a 4.57 ERA. He is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA in four starts in the day. The Astros are 6-5 when he takes the mound.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Mariners Batters | Batting Average vs Jake Odorizzi |
|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez | .667 |
| Ty France | .357 |
| Adam Frazier | .333 |
| Luis Torrens | .250 |
| Abraham Toro | .200 |
| Jesse Winker | .200 |
| J.P. Crawford | .188 |
| Carlos Santana | .177 |
| Eugenio Suarez | .000 |
| Dylan Moore | .000 |
| Cal Raleigh | .000 |
The Mariners’ Ty France is 5 for 14 (.357) against Odorizzi, though all the hits have been singles. Eugenio Suarez is hitless in nine at-bats.
Mariners vs Astros Betting Outlook
Pinch hitter Abraham Toro hit a two-run single with two outs in the top of the ninth inning to rally the Mariners past the Astros on Saturday night.
BACK. IN. FRONT. pic.twitter.com/OhDGup7utw
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) July 31, 2022
Adam Frazier had two hits for the Mariners.
Toro pinch hit for rookie center fielder Julio Rodriguez, who was hit on the back of the hand by a pitch in the eighth inning. Rodriguez was scheduled to undergo X-rays and is questionable for Sunday.
Left fielder Dylan Moore is also questionable after leaving the game with back spasms.
Left-handed reliever Tommy Milone was placed on the injured list before the game with a cervical muscle strain. Lefty Brennan Bernardino was called up from Triple-A Tacoma.
The Astros’ Aledmys Diaz went 3-for-3 with a home run and two RBIs. Martin Maldonado added two hits.
Aledmys gets one back. pic.twitter.com/F0meRraaVO
— Houston Astros (@astros) July 31, 2022
The Astros lead the season series 12-6, including going 6-3 at home. Since 2015, Houston is 93-49 against the Mariners.
Mariners vs Astros Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/30/22 | Astros | Mariners | SEA, 5-4 |
| 7/29/22 | Astros | Mariners | HOU, 11-1 |
| 7/28/22 | Astros | Mariners | HOU, 4-2 |
| 7/24/22 | Mariners | Astros | HOU, 8-5 |
| 7/23/22 | Mariners | Astro | HOU, 3-1 |
| 7/22/22 | Mariners | Astros | HOU, 5-2 |
| 6/8/22 | Astros | Mariners | SEA, 6-3 |
| 6/7/22 | Astros/td> | Mariners | HOU, 4-1 |
| 6/6/22 | Astros | Mariners | SEA, 7-4 |
| 5/29/22 | Mariners | Astros | HOU, 2-1 |
Mariners vs Astros Prediction
The Astros have had their way against the Mariners in recent years. However, Kirby has never faced Houston and the talented youngster could prove to be a tough matchup and a good underdog choice.
Pick: Mariners +117 ML
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
