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Mariners vs Astros Odds, Picks & Predictions (July 31)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Jul 31, 2022 · 3:34 AM PDT

Abraham Toro
Jul 30, 2022; Houston, Texas, USA; Seattle Mariners left fielder Jesse Winker (27) and Abraham Toro (13) and second baseman Adam Frazier (26) celebrate after the Mariners defeated the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Astros are -136 home favorites over the Mariners on Sunday
  • Rookie George Kirby (2-3, 3.50) will start for Seattle against Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 4.25)
  • A look at the matchups and odds can be found below with a pick

The visiting Seattle Mariners will try to gain a split of a four-game series with the Houston Astros when the teams meet at 2:10 p.m. ET Sunday at Minute Maid Park.

The Mariners (55-47/28-24 road) rallied for a 5-4 victory on Saturday night after losing the first two games of the series and have won four of their last six games overall. The Astros (66-36/32-15 home) have dropped four of their last six.

Mariners vs Astros Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Seattle Mariners +117 +1.5 (-195) Over 8.5 (-103)
Houston Astros -136 -1.5 (+155) Under 8.5 (-117)

Odds as of July 30th at Barstool Sportsbook.

The Astros are -136 home favorites, giving them a 57.63% implied win probability. Houston has +475 World Series odds and the Mariners are listed at +5000.



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Mariners vs Astros Probable Pitchers

Rookie George Kirby (2-3, 3.50) is expected to pitch for the Mariners against Jake Odorizzi (4-3, 4.25). Kirby, who has +6500 AL Cy Young Award odds, will be working on four days of rest and Odorizzi on five.

Kirby vs Odorizzi

George Kirby
Jake Odorizzi
2-3 Record 4-3
3.50 ERA 4.25
3.79 xERA 4.15
1.20 WHIP 1.23
6.60 SO/W 2.53

Kirby returned to the Mariners on Tuesday and pitched five scoreless innings against the Texas Rangers at home in a no-decision. He spent the previous 17 days at Triple-A Tacoma to help manage his innings.

Kirby allowed just two hits. He struck out four and walked one.

This will be Kirby’s first career appearance against the Astros. He is 2-1 with a 2.67 ERA in five starts on the road this season and has no decisions and a 1.42 ERA in the daytime in three starts.

The Mariners are 8-5 when Kirby starts.

Odorizzi had his four-game winning streak, which covered seven starts, snapped Monday night with a loss to the Athletics at Oakland. He was torched for six runs and seven hits in five innings with two strikeouts and a walk.

In 15 career starts against the Mariners, Odorizzi has a 4-6 record and 3.99 ERA.

He can field his position.

Odorizzi is 2-1 at home in five starts this season with a 4.57 ERA. He is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA in four starts in the day. The Astros are 6-5 when he takes the mound.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Mariners Batters Batting Average vs Jake Odorizzi
Julio Rodriguez .667
Ty France .357
Adam Frazier .333
Luis Torrens .250
Abraham Toro .200
Jesse Winker .200
J.P. Crawford .188
Carlos Santana .177
Eugenio Suarez .000
Dylan Moore .000
Cal Raleigh .000

The Mariners’ Ty France is 5 for 14 (.357) against Odorizzi, though all the hits have been singles. Eugenio Suarez is hitless in nine at-bats.

Mariners vs Astros Betting Outlook

Pinch hitter Abraham Toro hit a two-run single with two outs in the top of the ninth inning to rally the Mariners past the Astros on Saturday night.

Adam Frazier had two hits for the Mariners.

Toro pinch hit for rookie center fielder Julio Rodriguez, who was hit on the back of the hand by a pitch in the eighth inning. Rodriguez was scheduled to undergo X-rays and is questionable for Sunday.

Left fielder Dylan Moore is also questionable after leaving the game with back spasms.

Left-handed reliever Tommy Milone was placed on the injured list before the game with a cervical muscle strain. Lefty Brennan Bernardino was called up from Triple-A Tacoma.

The Astros’ Aledmys Diaz went 3-for-3 with a home run and two RBIs. Martin Maldonado added two hits.

The Astros lead the season series 12-6, including going 6-3 at home. Since 2015, Houston is 93-49 against the Mariners.

Mariners vs Astros Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
7/30/22 Astros Mariners SEA, 5-4
7/29/22 Astros Mariners HOU, 11-1
7/28/22 Astros Mariners HOU, 4-2
7/24/22 Mariners Astros HOU, 8-5
7/23/22 Mariners Astro HOU, 3-1
7/22/22 Mariners Astros HOU, 5-2
6/8/22 Astros Mariners SEA, 6-3
6/7/22 Astros/td> Mariners HOU, 4-1
6/6/22 Astros Mariners SEA, 7-4
5/29/22 Mariners Astros HOU, 2-1

Mariners vs Astros Prediction

The Astros have had their way against the Mariners in recent years. However, Kirby has never faced Houston and the talented youngster could prove to be a tough matchup and a good underdog choice.

Pick: Mariners +117 ML


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