MLB Picks & Best Bets (Sep. 18): Padres’ Paddack Seeks Bounce-Back Vs. Mariners
By Jordan Horrobin in MLB Baseball
Updated: March 9, 2021 at 1:32 pm ESTPublished:
- The Tampa Bay Rays look to even their season series with the Baltimore Orioles on Friday, Sept. 17
- Padres’ Chris Paddack gets another crack at the Mariners after recent struggles
- Get a head start on the early odds and picks for MLB’s Friday slate (Sep. 18th) in the article below
San Diego Padres pitcher Chris Paddack entered the majors with an electric fastball last year that turned a lot of heads, but he has struggled at times to maintain consistency in his second season.
He’ll have an opportunity to turn the page on Friday, Sept. 18th, on the road against the Seattle Mariners in a matchup that could be interesting for the underdogs. Here’s a look at that matchup, and several others that have their odds out early.
NB:Â The table below displays all Sep. 18th games open for betting as of 10:00 pm ET, Sep. 17th. It may not contain all games scheduled for Sep. 18th.
MLB Odds: Sep. 18th
| Team (Starter) | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox (J. Stiever) | +100 | +1.5 (-205) | Over 9.0 (-125) | 7:10 pm |
| Cincinnati Reds (TBD) | -153 | +1.5 (TBD) | Under 10.0 (-120) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Cleveland Indians (Z. Plesac) | -182 | -1.5 (-125) | Over 9.0 (-110) | 7:10 pm |
| Detroit Tigers (M. Fulmer) | +167 | +1.5 (+105) | Under 9.0 (-110) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Boston Red Sox (M. Perez) | +157 | +1.5 (-105) | Over 10.5 (-120) | 7:30 pm |
| NY Yankees (TBD) | -170 | -1.5 (-115) | Under 10.5 (+100) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Tampa Bay Rays (T. Glasnow) | -195 | -1.5 (-125) | Over 8.5 (-120) | 7:35 pm |
| Baltimore Orioles (A. Cobb) | +179 | +1.5 (+105) | Under 8.5 (+100) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Kansas City Royals (D. Duffy) | +134 | +1.5 (-155) | Over 9.0 (-110) | 8:10 pm |
| Milwaukee Brewers (A. Houser) | -145 | -1.5 (+135) | Under 9.0 (-110) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Arizona Diamondbacks (Z. Gallen) | +147 | +1.5 (-140) | Over 8.0 (-110) | 8:10 pm |
| Houston Astros (Z. Greinke) | -159 | -1.5 (+120) | Under 8.0 (-110) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Minnesota Twins (R. Hill) | +116 | TBD (TBD) | Over TBD (TBD) | 8:15 pm |
| Chicago Cubs (K. Hendricks) | -126 | TBD (TBD) | Under TBD (TBD) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Texas Rangers (W. Benjamin) | +142 | +1.5 (-140) | Over 9.0 (-115) | 9:10 pm |
| LA Angels (J. Barria) | -154 | -1.5 (+120) | Under 9.0 (-105) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| San Diego Padres (C. Paddack) | -170 | -1.5 (-110) | Over 8.5 (-110) | 9:40 pm |
| Seattle Mariners (Y. Kikuchi) | +157 | +1.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110) |
Odds as of Sept. 17th.
Pick 1: Rays Moneyline (-195) vs Orioles
Reasoning: Tale of two pitchers favors Tampa.
Tyler Glasnow hasn’t been his sharpest self lately for the Tampa Bay Rays, but he has been good enough to have a 3-1 record (and 4.78 ERA) in his past seven starts. More importantly, he is 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA against Baltimore in his career, including two meetings this season.
Tyler Glasnow is FILTHY. 🤢
A career-high 13 punch outs for the righty. pic.twitter.com/p4715135VA
— MLB (@MLB) August 26, 2020
On the other side, Baltimore’s Alex Cobb is 0-4 in his past seven starts — and 0-3 in his past five against Tampa.
The Rays are losing the season series, 3-2, but have won the past two matchups.
Pick 2: Mariners Moneyline (+157) vs Padres
Reasoning: Padres have been pedestrian on the road.
The San Diego Padres are a playoff team this year and the Seattle Mariners are (almost certainly) not. But there’s some value in the underdog Mariners in this one.
Despite their stellar 32-19 record this season, San Diego is only 13-11 on the road. The Mariners, meanwhile, are just 22-27 this year — but 12-9 at home.
press f to pay respects to that baseball pic.twitter.com/SCS35potAf
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) August 26, 2020
Looking closer, the pitching matchup is a bit concerning for the Padres. They start Chris Paddack, who is 1-4 with a 5.85 ERA in his past seven starts. That includes a loss to the Mariners last month, in which he allowed eight hits and six runs in just five innings.
A two-team parlay on the Rays and Mariners at -195 and +157, respectively, would pay out at +288.
Sports Writer
Jordan Horrobin is a sports journalist whose MLB, NHL, NFL and NCAA work has appeared in outlets such as The Athletic, MLB.com, the Detroit Free Press and more. He is currently based in Toronto, also working as a contributor for Forbes.com and a freelance editor for Sportsnet.
