Predictions & Props to Target in Red Sox vs Dodgers (Aug 1)

• Boston and LA meet in a 2018 World Series rematch
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto toes the rubber for the Dodgers
• Keep reading for my Red Sox vs Dodgers predictions and props to target

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I’m sizing up an intriguing interleague clash as the Boston Red Sox (58-51) continue their series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (69-41). Following an impressive 9-4 upset victory in the series opener, Boston aims to bite at the apple again as a road underdog. First pitch is slated for 9:10 PM ET on August 1, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

The moneyline currently sits at -172 for Los Angeles and +130 for Boston, courtesy of bet365. The total is flat at 8 runs (-116 on both sides). Early bettors backed the Red Sox, shifting the Dodgers down from an opening -185 moneyline.

Both dugouts are riddled with injuries right now. The Dodgers are missing huge arms like Tyler Glasnow and Blake Snell, plus catcher Will Smith. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are navigating long-term absences from Trevor Story and Tanner Houck. With rotations decimated, let’s dive into the MLB player props to find some value.

Red Sox vs Dodgers Lineup History vs Opposing Starter

Usually, I love to dive into the meat and potatoes of batter-vs-pitcher data. However, given the interleague nature of this matchup, there is currently limited historical data between Boston batters and Los Angeles starting pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The same goes for the Dodgers’ lineup against Red Sox pitcher Payton Tolle.

Without any sample size of career head-to-head at-bats, I have to rely on current season form and broader metrics.

UNIQLO Field ranks 22nd in runs per game (8.50) and tends to suppress overall run production. This environment generally favors starting pitchers. However, the venue still yields a respectable 2.46 home runs per game.

Yamamoto (11-6) will need his swing-and-miss stuff to silence Boston’s hot bats, while Tolle (6-6) must navigate a potent Los Angeles lineup that can still clear the fences despite dealing with a multitude of injuries.

Red Sox vs Dodgers Player-Prop Odds

If you are looking to get action on individual performances, check out the MLB odds available for this prime-time matchup. Here are the latest prop numbers from bet365 for tonight’s game.

Shohei Ohtani predictably headlines the MLB home run props market at +210 to go deep. His hit and total bases numbers are heavily juiced, forcing you to lay -290 just for a single base hit.

For Boston, Wilyer Abreu offers solid plus-money upside at +350 to leave the yard and +105 to eclipse 1.5 total bases. On the Los Angeles side, Teoscar Hernandez (+450 for a HR) and Kyle Tucker (+470 for a HR) present appealing odds for anyone pulling the trigger on some power props.

In the MLB pitcher strikeout props department, Yamamoto faces a total of 6.5, with the Under slightly favored at -125. He possesses elite wipeout stuff, making the -102 Over intriguing for backers expecting him to pitch deep into the game.

Tolle stares down a 5.5 strikeout threshold. While the Under is the heavy -156 favorite, bold bettors might grab the +122 payout on the Over if they think the southpaw can rack up early punchouts against this Los Angeles roster.

Red Sox vs Dodgers Player-Prop Picks

When identifying my favorite MLB total hits props and RBI angles, I always look past the surface-level data to find a mathematical edge. Here are my top predictions for tonight’s contest based on clear situational trends.

Pick 1: Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 RBIs (+125)

Finding plus-money value on Ohtani can be a tall task, but the RBI market offers a glaring edge I plan to attack. He has exceeded 0.5 hits in eight of his last nine home games, translating to an 89% success rate.

More importantly, Ohtani is cashing this specific RBI prop at an 80% clip over his last five games at Dodger Stadium. During this recent home stretch, he is averaging a robust 1.2 RBIs per contest. Getting +125 odds at BetMGM for a focal point of the offense in his own ballpark is incredible value.

Pick 2: Connor Wong Over 0.5 Hits (-140)

Boston catcher Connor Wong provides an excellent foundational parlay piece. You are paying a reasonable -140 price at bet365 for a batter who consistently puts the ball in play against Los Angeles pitching.

Wong carries a .261 batting average and a .352 on-base percentage for the 2026 season. The situational trend is hard to ignore: he is 4-1 versus a hits over/under of 0.5 in his last five games against the Dodgers. Averaging 0.8 hits per game in that span makes this a solid investment.

Pick 3: Teoscar Hernandez Over 0.5 Hits (-175)

If you want a reliable straight-up trend to anchor your card, look no further than Teoscar Hernandez. He has gone over 0.5 hits in seven of his last eight overall matchups, translating to a dominant 88% success rate.

During this hot streak, Hernandez is producing 1.25 hits per game. While laying -175 at Caesars requires a bit more upfront risk, his consistency at the plate more than justifies pulling the trigger. He continues to be a massive catalyst for this lineup.

While Hernandez has performed worse than normal against lefties this season, his career batting average is 16 points higher against lefties than righties.