Rays vs Orioles Odds, Lines & Spread (July 28)
- The Orioles are -117 home favorites over the Rays on Thursday
- Lefty Ryan Yarbrough (0-5, 5.61) will pitch; for Tampa Bay against Jordan Lyles (6-8, 4.79)
- A look at the odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction
The Tampa Bay Rays will try to salvage a split of their four-game series with the host Baltimore Orioles at 12:35 pm ET Thursday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Rays (53-45/22-27 road) ended a four-game losing streak Wednesday night a 6-4 victory in 10 innings. The Orioles (49-49/28-20 home) had won three of their previous four games.
Rays vs Orioles Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | +100 | -1.5 (+160) | Over 9 (-121) |
| Baltimore Orioles | -117 | +1.5 (-195) | Under 9 (+102) |
Odds as of July 28th at Barstool Sportsbook
The Orioles are -117 favorites, giving them an implied win probability of 53.92%. As far as World Series odds, the Rays are listed at +2800 and the Orioles at +4500.
Despite a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, it should be a scorcher in Baltimore with a forecasted high of 93 degrees and a heat index of 103 under partly cloudy skies with a west wind at 5-9 mph.
Rays vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
Left-hander Ryan Yarbrough (0-5, 5.61) will start for the Rays against Jordan Lyles (6-8, 4.79). Both will be pitching on four days of rest.
Yarbrough vs Lyles
| 0-5 | Record | 6-8 |
| 5.61 | ERA | 4.79 |
| 5.22 | xERA | 5.12 |
| 1.52 | WHIP | 1.45 |
| 2.00 | SO/W | 2.58 |
Yarbrough will again seek his first win of the season in his 11th game and eighth start.
Shohei Ohtani is red-hot right now.
414 ft., 110.6 mph exit velocity on a center-cut Ryan Yarbrough sinker. pic.twitter.com/9gLFDD6WJo
— Fabian Ardaya (@FabianArdaya) June 13, 2019
In a relief outing last Saturday, Yarbrough took the loss against the Royals at Kansas City. He worked four innings and gave up three runs on six hits with two strikeouts and two walks.
Yarbrough has a 5-2 career record against the Orioles with a 3.89 ERA in 15 games (eight starts). At Oriole Park, he is 2-1 with a 3.65 ERA in seven games (four starts).
Yarbrough is winless on the road this season, going 0-3 with a 5.27 ERA in six games (three starts). He is 0-1 with a 6.00 in three starts during the day.
The Rays are just 1-6 when Yarbrough starts in 2022.
Lyles has gone 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts and did not factor in the decision against the New York Yankees on Saturday at home. He pitched five innings and allowed three runs, eight hits and two walks while striking out two.
You never know what he is up to in the dugout.
Can someone tell me what the hell Jordan Lyles is holding and what he’s doing with it pic.twitter.com/uRA1dD1I8z
— Orioles Fan Problems (@OriolesFanProbz) July 27, 2022
Lyles is 0-2 against the Rays with a 6.08 ERA in five career games (four starts).
Camden Yards has been friendly to Lyles in his first season with the Orioles as he has a 2-2 record with a 3.00 ERA in eight starts. Lyles is 2-3 with a 4.53 ERA in eight starts during the day and Baltimore has gone 8-12 overall when he takes the mound.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Rays Batters | Batting Average vs Jordan Lyles |
|---|---|
| Josh Lowe | .600 |
| Ji-Man Choi | .500 |
| Christian Bethancourt | .500 |
| Brett Phillips | .400 |
| Brandon Lowe | .286 |
| Randy Arozarena | .250 |
| Taylor Walls | .000 |
| Yandy Diaz | .000 |
| Yu Chang | .000 |
| Isaac Paredes | .000 |
| Luke Raley | .000 |
| Orioles Batters | Batting Average vs Ryan Yarbrough |
| Tyler Nevin | .500 |
| Trey Mancini | .379 |
| Ramon Urias | .333 |
| Jorge Mateo | .286 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | .235 |
| Anthony Santander | .211 |
| Austin Hays | .211 |
| Cedric Mullins | .177 |
| Rougned Odor | .000 |
| Ryan McKenna | .000 |
| Robinson Chirinos | .000 |
The Rays’ Josh Lowe is 3 for 5 with a double and triple off Lyles.
Against Yarbrough, Trey Mancini is a .379 (11 for 29) hitter with four doubles and three home runs while Ramon Urias is 4 for 12 (.333) with two doubles. On the other hand, Robinson Chirinos is hitless in nine at-bats.
Rays vs Orioles Betting Outlook
Randy Arozarena’s two-run double in the 10th inning snapped a 4-4 tie and gave the Orioles the win on Wednesday night. That came after Jorge Mateo forced extra innings with a one-out solo home run in the bottom of the ninth.
Yandy Diaz had three hits for the Rays and Arozarena – who has +20000 American League MVP odds — and Luke Raley added two each. Raley and Ji-Man Choi hit home runs.
R A K E S pic.twitter.com/w2X1vF8YF4
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) July 28, 2022
For the Orioles, Mateo, Rougned Odor and Mancini had two hits each.
The Rays lead the season series 8-7 but the Orioles have won six of nine in Baltimore. Tampa Bay is 66-35 against the Orioles since 2017.
Rays vs Orioles Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/27/22 | Orioles | Rays | TB 6-4 |
| 7/26/22 | Orioles | Rays | BAL, 5-3 |
| 7/25/22 | Orioles | Rays | BAL, 5-1 |
| 7/17/22 | Rays | Orioles | TB, 7-5 |
| 7/16/22 | Rays | Orioles | BAL, 6-4 |
| 7/15/22 | Rays | Orioles | TB, 5-4 |
| 6/19/22 | Orioles | Rays | BAL, 2-1 |
| 6/18/22 | Orioles | Rays | TB, 7-6 |
| 6/17/22 | Orioles | Rays | BAL, 1-0 |
| 5/22/22 | Orioles | Rays | BAL, 7-6 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction
This is a pretty unappealing pitching matchup. Fading Yarbrough seems the way to go.
Pick: Orioles -117 ML
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John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
