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Rays vs Orioles Odds, Lines & Spread (July 28)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Jul 28, 2022 · 7:58 AM PDT

Rays vs Orioles
Jul 16, 2022; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Rays left fielder Randy Arozarena (56) celebrates as he crosses home plate after hitting a home run in the third inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Dave Nelson-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Orioles are -117 home favorites over the Rays on Thursday
  • Lefty Ryan Yarbrough (0-5, 5.61) will pitch; for Tampa Bay against Jordan Lyles (6-8, 4.79)
  • A look at the odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays will try to salvage a split of their four-game series with the host Baltimore Orioles at 12:35 pm ET Thursday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The Rays (53-45/22-27 road) ended a four-game losing streak Wednesday night a 6-4 victory in 10 innings. The Orioles (49-49/28-20 home) had won three of their previous four games.

Rays vs Orioles Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Tampa Bay Rays +100 -1.5 (+160) Over 9 (-121)
Baltimore Orioles -117 +1.5 (-195) Under 9 (+102)

Odds as of July 28th at Barstool Sportsbook

The Orioles are -117 favorites, giving them an implied win probability of 53.92%. As far as World Series odds, the Rays are listed at +2800 and the Orioles at +4500.

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Despite a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, it should be a scorcher in Baltimore with a forecasted high of 93 degrees and a heat index of 103 under partly cloudy skies with a west wind at 5-9 mph.

Rays vs Orioles Probable Pitchers

Left-hander Ryan Yarbrough (0-5, 5.61) will start for the Rays against Jordan Lyles (6-8, 4.79). Both will be pitching on four days of rest.

Yarbrough vs Lyles

Ryan Yarbrough
Jordan Lyles
0-5 Record 6-8
5.61 ERA 4.79
5.22 xERA 5.12
1.52 WHIP 1.45
2.00 SO/W 2.58

Yarbrough will again seek his first win of the season in his 11th game and eighth start.

In a relief outing last Saturday, Yarbrough took the loss against the Royals at Kansas City. He worked four innings and gave up three runs on six hits with two strikeouts and two walks.

Yarbrough has a 5-2 career record against the Orioles with a 3.89 ERA in 15 games (eight starts). At Oriole Park, he is 2-1 with a 3.65 ERA in seven games (four starts).

Yarbrough is winless on the road this season, going 0-3 with a 5.27 ERA in six games (three starts). He is 0-1 with a 6.00 in three starts during the day.

The Rays are just 1-6 when Yarbrough starts in 2022.

Lyles has gone 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts and did not factor in the decision against the New York Yankees on Saturday at home. He pitched five innings and allowed three runs, eight hits and two walks while striking out two.

You never know what he is up to in the dugout.

Lyles is 0-2 against the Rays with a 6.08 ERA in five career games (four starts).

Camden Yards has been friendly to Lyles in his first season with the Orioles as he has a 2-2 record with a 3.00 ERA in eight starts. Lyles is 2-3 with a 4.53 ERA in eight starts during the day and Baltimore has gone 8-12 overall when he takes the mound.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Rays Batters Batting Average vs Jordan Lyles
Josh Lowe .600
Ji-Man Choi .500
Christian Bethancourt .500
Brett Phillips .400
Brandon Lowe .286
Randy Arozarena .250
Taylor Walls .000
Yandy Diaz .000
Yu Chang .000
Isaac Paredes .000
Luke Raley .000
Orioles Batters Batting Average vs Ryan Yarbrough
Tyler Nevin .500
Trey Mancini .379
Ramon Urias .333
Jorge Mateo .286
Ryan Mountcastle .235
Anthony Santander .211
Austin Hays .211
Cedric Mullins .177
Rougned Odor .000
Ryan McKenna .000
Robinson Chirinos .000

The Rays’ Josh Lowe is 3 for 5 with a double and triple off Lyles.

Against Yarbrough, Trey Mancini is a .379 (11 for 29) hitter with four doubles and three home runs while Ramon Urias is 4 for 12 (.333) with two doubles. On the other hand, Robinson Chirinos is hitless in nine at-bats.

Rays vs Orioles Betting Outlook

Randy Arozarena’s two-run double in the 10th inning snapped a 4-4 tie and gave the Orioles the win on Wednesday night. That came after Jorge Mateo forced extra innings with a one-out solo home run in the bottom of the ninth.

Yandy Diaz had three hits for the Rays and Arozarena – who has +20000 American League MVP odds — and Luke Raley added two each. Raley and Ji-Man Choi hit home runs.

For the Orioles, Mateo, Rougned Odor and Mancini had two hits each.

The Rays lead the season series 8-7 but the Orioles have won six of nine in Baltimore. Tampa Bay is 66-35 against the Orioles since 2017.

Rays vs Orioles Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
7/27/22 Orioles Rays TB 6-4
7/26/22 Orioles Rays BAL, 5-3
7/25/22 Orioles Rays BAL, 5-1
7/17/22 Rays Orioles TB, 7-5
7/16/22 Rays Orioles BAL, 6-4
7/15/22 Rays Orioles TB, 5-4
6/19/22 Orioles Rays BAL, 2-1
6/18/22 Orioles Rays TB, 7-6
6/17/22 Orioles Rays BAL, 1-0
5/22/22 Orioles Rays BAL, 7-6

Rays vs Orioles Prediction

This is a pretty unappealing pitching matchup. Fading Yarbrough seems the way to go.

Pick: Orioles -117 ML

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