Upcoming Match-ups

Reds vs Nationals Odds, Picks & Predictions (July 4)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 3, 2023 · 10:43 PM PDT

Joey Votto and Elly De La Cruz posing in the dugout
Jul 3, 2023; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto (19) poses with shortstop Elly De La Cruz (44) after hitting a two run home run against the Washington Nationals during the fourth inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Reds are -130 road favorites over the Nationals on Monday in an Independence Day game
  • Brett Kennedy will make his first start of the season for the Reds and face Nationals lefty Patrick Corbin (5-9, 4.84)
  • See the Reds vs Nationals odds and predictions 

The Cincinnati Reds visit the Washington Nationals in an Independence Day matinee game at 11:05 a.m. ET Tuesday in the second game of a four-game series at Nationals Park.

The Reds (46-39, 23-18) won the series opener 3-2 on Monday night for their fifth win in the last six games to remain tied with the Milwaukee Brewers for the National League Central lead. The Nationals (34-50, 13-28 home) had won four of their previous five games.

The game will be televised on MLB Network.

Reds vs Nationals Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Cincinnati Reds -130 -1.5 (+120) Over 9.5 (-115)
Washington Nationals +110 +1.5 (-140) Under 9.5 (-105)

The Reds are -130 moneyline favorites over the Nationals on Monday in the MLB odds, giving them an implied win probability of 56.52%. Cincinnati has +11000 World Series championship odds and Washington is an even bigger longshot at +100000.

The weather forecast calls for a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Otherwise, sunny skies are expected with a high of 89 and west wind at 6-8 mph.



Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets Instantly!

BET $5
GET $150


Odds as of July 3rd at DraftKings. Claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on Reds vs Nationals on July 4. 

Reds vs Nationals Probable Pitchers

The Reds plan to call up Brett Kennedy from Triple-A Louisville to make his first major-league start of the season. Left-hander Patrick Corbin (5-9, 4.84) is scheduled to start for the Nationals.

Both will be pitching on five days of rest.

Kennedy vs Corbin

Brett Kennedy
Patrick Corbin
0-0 Record 5-9
ERA 4.84
xERA 6.20
WHIP 1.54
SO/W 2.28

Kennedy has not pitched in the major leagues since 2018 when he broke in with the San Diego Padres and had a 1-2 record and 6.75 ERA in six starts.

In eight starts with Louisville, Kennedy is 2-2 with a 3.71 ERA. He had a no-decision in his last start last Wednesday against Indianapolis when he was touched for six runs (five earned) and eight hits in 5.1 innings with four strikeouts and one walk.

Kennedy began the season with independent Long Island and went 1-0 with a 3.09 ERA over three starts.

Corbin ended his four-start losing streak in impressive fashion by pitching seven shutout innings to beat the Mariners last Wednesday in Seattle. He allowed five hits, struck out nine and walked none.

Corbin is 5-4 with a 3.87 ERA against the Reds in 13 career games (12 starts).

The Nationals are 8-9 when Corbin pitches this season, and he has turned in nine quality starts. He is 2-5 with a 4.38 ERA in nine starts at Nationals Park and 3-5 with a 3.98 ERA in 11 starts during the day.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Reds Batters Batting Average vs Patrick Corbin
Curt Casali 1.000
Tyler Stephenson .600
Stuart Fairchild .500
Jonathan India .400
Nick Senzel .400
Joey Votto .286
Kevin Newman .100
TJ Friedl .000

Reds catcher Tyler Stephenson is 3 for 5 against Corbin with a double. No Nationals hitters have ever faced Kennedy in the big leagues.

Reds vs Nationals Betting Trends

Joey Votto hit a two-run to snap a 0-for-21 slump and lift the Reds over the Nationals on Monday night. Stephenson had two hits and drove in the Reds’ other run.

Jeimer Candelario homered for the Nationals. Lane Thomas and Corey Dickerson had two hits each.

The Nationals placed rookie right-handed reliever Thaddeus Ward (right shoulder inflammation) on the 15-day injured list before the game to clear a roster spot for Corbin, who was activated from the bereavement list.

Reds vs Nationals Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
7/3/23 Nationals Reds CIN, 3-2
8/28/22 Nationals Reds WAS, 3-2
8/27/22 Nationals Reds CIN, 6-2
8/26/22 Nationals Reds CIN, 7-3
6/5/22 Reds Nationals WAS, 5-4
6/4/22 Reds Nationals WAS, 10-8
6/3/22 Reds Nationals WAS, 8-5
6/2/22 Reds Nationals CIN, 8-1
9/26/21 Reds Nationals CIN, 9-2
9/25/21 Reds Nationals CIN, 7-6

Monday’s game was the first of the season between the teams. The Nationals have a 27-15 advantage in the series since 2016.

Reds vs Nationals Prediction

Corbin pitched great his last time out but it’s hard to ignore his losses in each of his previous four stars. Time to go with the hot team here against a foe that struggles at home.

Pick: Reds -130 ML

Season Record: 34-12 (+19.7 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 2-2 (+3.6) player props; 39-17 (+23.3 units) overall.



Author Image