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How to Use Prediction Markets for UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues

By Paul Lebowitz in Mixed Martial Arts News

Published:


how to use prediction markets for ufc fight night
Feb 21, 2026; Houston, Texas, USA; Sean Strickland (red gloves) fights Anthony Hernandez (blue gloves) in a middleweight bout during UFC Fight Night at Toyota Center. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-Imagn Images
  • UFC Fight Night is upon us tonight at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California, headlined by middleweight contenders Anthony Hernandez and Gregory Rodrigues
  • Five other bouts are featured on the main card, plus a litany of preliminary fights; the action gets underway at 8:00 PM EDT on Paramount+
  • Find out how to use various prediction markets for UFC Fight Night and know the benefits provided by each

It’s another exciting night of UFC action with contenders trying to rise to title contention and other fighters trying to work their way toward main event status. This headlining bout features middleweights Anthony Hernandez (ranked #6) taking on Gregory Rodrigues (ranked #11).

Hernandez, nicknamed “Fluffy,” has a 15-3-0 record with 3 wins by KO, 9 by submission, and 5 first-round finishes. Rodriguez, known as “Robocop,” is 19-6-0 with 12 wins by KO, 3 by submission, and 9 first-round finishes. Hernandez is currently a heavy favorite.

In other notable action, the #6 ranked heavyweight Serghei Spivac takes on Vitor Petrino.

While no titles are on the line, this is a prime opportunity to enjoy a full night of octagon battles and perhaps take part in the action by using available prediction markets.

Kalshi

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Kalshi is available in more than 40 states across the nation and offers users the chance to jump in on UFC Fight Night. In the Hernandez vs Rodrigues bout, for example, there are several ways to profit.

Currently, users are heavily tilted toward the up-and-coming Hernandez, garnering more than 60%, and Rodrigues sitting at just under 40%. Market volume is approaching $240,000.

Kalshi makes it easy to trade. The options are not limited to the winners and losers. It extends to the method of victory, when the fight will end, and more. Of course, there are markets for the other bouts on the docket.

The Kalshi referral code offers new users a $25 bonus once they complete $25 in trades.

Polymarket

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Polymarket is also available in over 40 states. Essentially, the entire card for UFC Fight Night is posted. For example, options available include the Moneyline, over/under on the number of rounds, if the fight will go the distance, how it will end, and more.

To predict UFC Fight Night, it is simple to sign up using the Polymarket promo code to score a $20 bonus once $10 in trades have been completed.

Novig

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For traders looking for an alternative, Novig offers many advantages. It too is open to customers in more than 40 states, including locations where sports betting is not yet allowed. A benefit with Novig is the peer-to-peer trading system. That gives users the benefit of not worrying about a house trying to profit, as is customary with betting sites. Odds are maximized using this system.

The Novig promo code unlocks $25 in trade credits once new users deposit $10 to the platform.

For UFC Fight Night, most bouts are available for prediction. In the main event, Rodrigues is a relatively heavy underdog with Hernandez at over 63%. Users can also weigh in on the number of rounds.

Novig markets are not limited to UFC Fight Night, with the chance to trade on a seemingly limitless number of sports and events.

Paul Lebowitz

Paul Lebowitz is a novelist, columnist, social commentator, and the author of eight published books on baseball โ€“ one novel and seven baseball guide/previews. He covers sports, politics, and pop culture. Paul graduated from Hunter College with a degree in English. He lives in New York City.

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