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UFC Fight Night Louisville Odds, Picks & Predictions: Cannonier vs Imavov & More

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in Mixed Martial Arts News

Updated Jun 11, 2024 · 12:38 PM PDT

UFC Fight Nights odds
Jul 2, 2022; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Israel Adesanya (red gloves) and Jared Cannonier (blue gloves) fight in a bout during UFC 276 at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports
  • UFC Fight Night goes down this weekend in Kentucky (June 8)
  • Jared Cannonier vs Nassourdine Imavov headlines the main card
  • Read below for UFC Fight Knight Louisville odds, picks and predictions

The UFC returns to Louisville, Kentucky this Saturday, June 8 for an exciting Fight Night event headlined by a pivotal middleweight clash between top contenders Jared Cannonier and Nassourdine Imavov. The main card kicks off at 8pm ET / 5pm PT and will be broadcast live on ESPN and ESPN+.

In the co-main event, former light heavyweight title challenger Dominick Reyes looks to snap a three-fight losing skid against the dangerous Dustin Jacoby. Rising bantamweight star Raul Rosas Jr. also returns to take on The Ultimate Fighter winner Ricky Turcios.

Let’s break down the UFC Fight Night odds for the main card and determine where the betting value lies.

UFC Fight Night Louisvulle Odds – Main Card

Fighter Odds Over/Under Rounds
Miguel Baeza -192 O 1.5 -115
Punahele Soriano +160 U 1.5 -115
Fighter Odds Over/Under Rounds
Julian Marquez -142 O 1.5 +135
Zach Reese +120 U 1.5 -175
Fighter Odds Over/Under Rounds
Brunno Ferreira -278 O 1.5 +100
Dustin Stoltzfus +225 U 1.5 -130
Fighter Odds Over/Under Rounds
Raul Rosas Jr. -218 O 2.5 -166
Ricky Turcios +180 U 2.5 +130
Fighter Odds Over/Under Rounds
Dominick Reyes +200 O 2.5 +114
Dustin Jacoby -245 U 2.5 -145
Fighter Odds Over/Under Rounds
Jared Cannonier +102 O 4.5 -140
Nassourdine Imavov -122 U 4.5 +110

In the UFC Fight Night Louisville odds, there is no overly massive favorite, although Brunno Ferreira has the shortest odds of any fighter. Ferreira is -278 in his bout with Dustin Stoltzfus.

 

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UFC Fight Night odds as of June. 6, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Check out top betting apps for UFC Fight Night Kentucky.

Jared Cannonier vs Nassourdine Imavov Prediction

In the main event, #4 ranked middleweight Jared Cannonier (16-6) takes on #7 Nassourdine Imavov (12-3). The 40-year-old Cannonier is coming off an impressive decision win over Marvin Vettori and will look to make one more run at the title.

However, the 28-year-old Imavov presents a stiff test with his technical striking and solid takedown defense. The Frenchman is 4-1 in the UFC with his lone loss coming to Sean Strickland.

While Imavov opened as a slight -120 favorite, the line has since flipped with Cannonier now sitting at -110. I believe there is still value on the veteran here. Cannonier has fought a much higher level of competition and his power and wrestling could be the difference over five rounds. Back Cannonier to get the win.

  • Pick: Jared Cannonier (-110)

Dominick Reyes vs Dustin Jacoby Picks

Former title challenger Dominick Reyes (12-4) desperately needs a win after suffering three straight knockout losses. Unfortunately, he faces a tough out in kickboxer Dustin Jacoby (19-8-1).

Reyes has been finished in the first round in his last two fights and his chin is a major concern here. Jacoby will have a 3-inch reach advantage and is the far more technical striker.

At -230, there isn’t much value straight up on Jacoby. Instead, look for the fight to end inside the distance. Jacoby wins by KO at +120 or the fight to end under 2.5 rounds at -110 are the plays.

  • Pick: Dustin Jacoby wins by KO (+120)

Raul Rosas Jr. vs Ricky Turcios Odds

20-year-old phenom Raul Rosas Jr. (8-1) looks to continue his ascent up the bantamweight rankings against TUF winner Ricky Turcios (12-3). Rosas is coming off a dominant TKO win over Terrence Mitchell.

Turcios is a scrappy veteran but Rosas’ grappling should be the difference here. The youngster averages over 4 takedowns per 15 minutes and has a dangerous submission game. Lay the juice on Rosas to get the win at -230.

  • Pick: Raul Rosas Jr. (-230)

Brunno Ferreira vs Dustin Stoltzfus Prediction

Brazilian knockout artist Bruno Ferreira (11-1) takes on Dustin Stoltzfus (14-5) in a middleweight bout. 10 of Ferreira’s 11 wins have come by knockout, including a vicious finish of Phil Hawes in his last fight.

YouTube video

Stoltzfus is 2-4 in the UFC and has been finished in 3 of those losses. He’ll have a 5-inch reach advantage but Ferreira’s power will be too much. Take Ferreira to win by KO at -120.

  • Pick: Bruno Ferreira wins by KO (-120)

Julian Marquez vs Zach Reese Pick

Middleweights Julian Marquez (9-4) and Zach Reese (7-1) both look to rebound from losses. Marquez has dropped two straight, while Reese was knocked out in 23 seconds in his UFC debut by Jim Miller.

This feels like a loser leaves town match and I give Marquez the edge based on his UFC experience. His submission skills could also be a factor against Reese. Take Marquez to get back on track.

  • Pick: Julian Marquez (-135)

Punahele Soriano vs Miguel Baeza Best Bet

Punahele Soriano (9-4) moves down to welterweight to take on Miguel Baeza (10-4) who hasn’t fought in over two years. Soriano has lost 4 of his last 5, while Baeza has dropped 3 straight.

I’m siding with Baeza here, as I believe the time off has done him good. He’s the better overall striker and will have a 3-inch reach advantage. Baeza’s submission skills also give him more paths to victory. Take Baeza to win at -192.

  • Pick: Miguel Baeza (-192)

 

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