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Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 2 Predictions, Odds & Props (April 23)

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Updated Apr 23, 2024 · 7:08 AM PDT

Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards celebrates a basket
Apr 20, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards (5) reacts after making a three point shot against the Phoenix Suns in the second half during game one of the first round for the 2024 NBA playoffs at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves can take a 2-0 lead on the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday night
  • The T-Wolves routed the Suns 120-95 on Saturday, their first win over Phoenix this season
  • See the Suns vs Timberwolves predictions, odds, and player props for Game 2 on April 23

After going 0-3 against Kevin Durant and company in the regular season, the Minnesota Timberwolves (57-26, 31-11 home, 41-40-2 ATS) made a big statement in the opener of their best-of-seven series with the Phoenix Suns (49-34, 24-18 away, 35-46-2 ATS) on Saturday, running away with a 120-95 win.

Oddsmakers took notice and the odds for Game 2, which tips at 6:40 pm CT/7:40 pm ET on Tuesday night, have moved significantly in Minnesota’s favor.

Suns vs Timberwolves Odds (Game 2)

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Phoenix Suns +1.5 (-110) -100 Over 211.5 (-110)
Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5 (-110) -120 Under 211.5 (-110)

The first game was a near pick’em, with Minnesota at -120 on the moneyline. But the Suns vs T-Wolves Game 2 odds list Minny as a -155 favorite with the Suns coming back at +130. The spread favors the Timberwolves by three while the game total has come down from 214.5 to 211.5, despite the first game going over by half a point.

 

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Odds as of April 23 at Fanatics. Claim this Fanatics Sportsbook promo code to wager on PHX vs MIN Game 2. 

The Suns were slight -115 favorites to win the best-of-seven series before Game 1. Heading into Game 2, the T-Wolves are now -150 chalk to advance in the NBA playoff bracket, where they would face the winner of the Lakers/Nuggets series.

T-Wolves Run Away With Series Opener

The Suns kept Game 1 close for a quarter but the final 36 minutes were all Timberwolves on Saturday night. A 34-23 second quarter allowed Minnesota to take a ten-point lead into halftime and that grew to 20 points by the end of the third quarter.

Minnesota dominated almost every facet of the game. Not only did the T-Wolves shoot considerably better from the floor (50% vs 44%), they absolutely embarrassed the Suns on the glass, winning the rebounding battle 52-28, including 13-3 at the offensive end. Minnesota center Rudy Gobert grabbed 16 boards (six offensive rebounds) while Phoenix center Jusuf Nurkic finished with just four (none on offense).

Anthony Edwards, who failed to score more than 17 points against the Suns in three regular-season meetings, had a game-high 33 points on 14-of-26 shooting.

YouTube video

Kevin Durant was the only Sun who looked ready to play in Game 1. KD finished with 31 points on 11-of-17 shooting along with a team-high seven rebounds, but he also committed five turnovers and was -20 while on the court (the worst +/- of the game).

The horrendous performance on the glass was out of character for the Suns, who finished seventh in the NBA in rebound percentage (51.4%), which was actually one spot ahead of the Timberwolves (50.8%)

PHX vs MIN Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Anthony Edwards (MIN) 25.5 (Ov -112 | Un -108) 5.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) 5.5 (Ov -102 | Un -118) 2.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)
Bradley Beal (PHX) 17.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) 4.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) 4.5 (Ov -148 | Un +124) 1.5 (Ov -148 | Un +124)
Devin Booker (PHX) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) 3.5 (Ov -148 | Un +124) 6.5 (Ov -112 | Un -108) 2.5 (Ov +114 | Un -135)
Grayson Allen (PHX) 12.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) 3.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) OFF 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115)
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) 10.5 (Ov +105 | Un -125) 3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) OFF 1.5 (Ov +170 | Un -205)
Jusuf Nurkic (PHX) 8.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) 10.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) 3.5 (Ov -142 | Un +120) OFF
Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) 17.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) 7.5 (Ov +120 | Un -142) 3.5 (Ov +124 | Un -148) 1.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114)
Kevin Durant (PHX) 26.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) 6.5 (Ov -105| Un -115) 3.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) 2.5 (Ov +124 | Un -148)
Mike Conley (MIN) 11.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) 2.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) 5.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) 2.5 (Ov  +140 | Un -166)
Naz Reid (MIN) 10.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) 4.5 (Ov +124 | Un -148) OFF 1.5 (Ov -130 | Un +110)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker (MIN) 7.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) OFF OFF 1.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120)
Rudy Gobert (MIN) 13.5 (Ov -118 | Un -102) 12.5 (Ov -122 | Un +102) OFF OFF

NBA player props from DraftKings Sportsbook on April 23.

Edwards’s point total for Game 2 remains at 25.5 O/U. Durant’s, however, has been moved up two full points from 24.5 to 26.5. After his awful performance on the glass, Nurkic still has a rebound total of 10.5, identical to Game 1.

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Bettors can expect a better effort from the Suns, who looked lethargic in Game 1. But I don’t see that resulting in a 25-point turnaround for Phoenix. Gobert absolutely dominated his matchup with Nurkic in the post. The Frenchman was bigger, stronger, and faster, and he’s still going to be bigger, stronger, and faster in Game 2. Minnesota also has better perimeter defenders and, if Edwards continues attacking the basket like he did on Saturday, should be able to muster more than enough offense to take a 2-0 lead in the series.

PHX vs MIN  picks:

  • Timberwolves moneyline (-152) at FanDuel
  • Nurkic under 10.5 rebounds (-115)

 

 

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