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Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors NBA Finals Game 6 Odds & Betting Preview

Fred VanVleet
Fred VanVleet and the Raptors will try to finish off the Warriors in Game 6. Photo by Keith Allison (Wikimedia Commons) [CC License].
  • The Warriors will live to fight another day after claiming a gusty 106-105 win on Monday night
  • Golden State shot 47.6% from beyond the arc in Game 5, while holding the Raptors to just 25% shooting
  • Game 6 is scheduled to tip off on Thursday, June 13th at 9:00 p.m. ET

The Warriors will get one last chance to end their run at Oracle Arena with a win. Golden State staved off elimination on Monday night and will host Game 6 of the NBA Finals on Thursday, June 13th at 9:00 pm ET in Oakland.

The Warriors opened as 3.0 favorites with the game total set at just 211. Learn more about this eagerly anticipated matchup by reading our full preview and betting guide below.

NBA Finals Game 6 Odds

Team 2019 NBA Finals Odds at Bovada Win Total
Toronto Raptors +3.0 (-110) +130 O 211.0 (-105)
Golden State Warriors -3.0 (-110) -150 U 211.0 (-115)

*Odds taken 06/11/19

Warriors Displayed Championship Mettle in Game 5

We all have that one that got away. For many of us it’s a high school girlfriend. For the Raptors it was Game 5 of the NBA Finals. Toronto found itself up by six points with 3:05 remaining in the fourth quarter before Nick Nurse called a full time out that ruined the Raptors’ rhythm.

Toronto went 1-for-6 after the break and allowed Golden State to hit a trio of backbreaking three-pointers, thereby erasing what should have been a comfortable lead. Despite their blunders, Kyle Lowry still had a chance to win the game – and secure his spot in Raptors lore – but his corner three rimmed out as time expired.

The Warriors now limp back to Oracle Arena, where they were 30-11 during the regular season and have won 84% of their games over the last three years.

Durant Not Expected to Return for Remainder of Series

When is a win not a win? When you lose your best player in the process. Kevin Durant was forced to exit Game 5 early in the second quarter after re-injuring his right leg while attempting to move past Serge Ibaka.

The two-time Finals MVP looked outstanding in limited court time prior to the incident, nailing all three of his three-point attempts and grabbing a pair of rebounds in 12 minutes.

The extent of Durant’s injury won’t be fully known until Tuesday evening, but an MRI is expected to confirm that KD tore his Achilles tendon. Warriors players and staff were still visibly shaken after the game and appear to be bracing for the worst.

#StrengthInNumbers

The Warriors proved on Monday night that #StrengthInNumbers is more than just a catchy hashtag. Playing without Kevin Durant and Kevin Looney in the fourth quarter, Golden State got big contributions from little-used reserves Jordan Bell and Quinn Cook.

Cook, in particular was crucial down the stretch, grabbing a defensive rebound, setting up Bell, and hitting a cold-blooded three to bring the Warriors within striking distance. Both players will have to  step up again in Game 6 if Golden State hopes to extend their series.

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors  Playoff Statistical Comparison

OFFENSE

Warriors
VS
Raptors

114.6 (1st) Offensive Rating 109.4 (8th)
114.3 (2nd) Points 106.3 (9th)
28.4 (1st) Assists 22.4 (9th)
47.7 (1st) Field-Goal Percentage 44.3 (7th)
37.3 (1st) Three-Point Percentage 34.4 (6th)
+3.7 (3rd) Plus/Minus +5.5 (2nd)

DEFENSE

Warriors
VS
Raptors

111.1 (11th) Defensive Rating 103.7 (4th)
110.6 (11th) Points 100.7 (2nd)
44.4 (8th) Field-Goal Percentage 42.2 (3rd)
35.9 (9th) Three-Point Percentage 32.8 (3rd)
41.4 (6th) Points In The Paint 37.9 (3rd)

 

Technically Speaking

Draymond Green picked up his sixth technical of the postseason on Monday night after losing his cool in the second quarter. The demonstrative forward is now just one more tech away from being suspended for a full game.

Green’s situation is notable because it could have a profound impact on his approach to Game 6. The three-time All-Star is at his best when he plays with a barely-contained fire, but he’ll have to keep his emotions in check to ensure he’s able to lace ’em up for a potential Game 7.

Golden State and Toronto Betting Trends

Golden State Trends Toronto Trends
Golden State is 29-39-2 ATS after a win this season Toronto is 15-16-0 ATS after a loss this season
Golden State is 9-11-1 ATS in the 2019 NBA Playoffs Toronto is 13-10-0 ATS in the 2019 NBA Playoffs
Golden State has gone OVER the projected point total 57.1% of the time in the 2019 NBA Playoffs Toronto has gone UNDER the projected point total 65.2% of the time in the 2019 NBA Playoffs
Golden State is 6-4 SU at home this postseason Toronto is 9-3 SU on the road this postseason
Golden State is 19-30-1 ATS as the home favorite this season Toronto is 13-8-0 ATS as the road underdog this season

Toronto may be coming off a loss, but they’re still in command of the series. Teams that lead a best-of-seven playoff series 3-2 go on to win the series nearly 85% of the time.

Take Toronto to Win and Cover the Spread

The Warriors hit 20 three-pointers and still won by just one point on Monday night. It’s unlikely they be able to replicate that expert marksmanship in Game 6, particularly with Durant unable to contribute.

Unlike in years past, these Raptors have also shown they don’t get rattled on the road, as evidenced by their sparkling 3-0 record at Oracle Arena this year. Expect Toronto to play suffocating defense and to claim the franchise’s first NBA championship on Thursday night.

Pick: Toronto Raptors +3.0 (-110) to cover and +130 to win 

 

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