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Wizards vs Heat Odds, Lines & Picks (Nov. 23)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball

Nov 22, 2022 · 8:15 PM PST

Kyle Kuzma dunk versus Charlotte
Nov 20, 2022; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Wizards forward Kyle Kuzma (33) dunks the ball against the Charlotte Hornets during the first half at Capital One Arena. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
  • Miami is a 1.5-point favorite over Washington in the Wizards vs Heat odds on Wednesday (Nov. 23)
  • Jimmy Butler (knee) is out for the Heat, while Tyler Herro (ankle) could make his return after an eight game absence
  • The latest Wizards vs Heat odds are listed below, plus injury news, analysis and a bet to target

When Heat fans, or possibly travelling Wizards fans, bought their Washington vs Miami tickets for Wednesday night, they expected to be treated to a show featuring Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Bradley Beal among others. Those fans might want to ask for a refund.

That’s because there’s a chance none of those three players are on the court on Wednesday night. Butler has already been ruled out, while Herro and Beal are just two of the many names with a questionable tag heading into this contest.

Amidst all the injury news, online sportsbooks are slightly more bullish on the Heat in the NBA odds. Miami has been pegged as the chalk for this matchup, but the line is moving away from them.

Wizards vs Heat Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Washington Wizards +1.5 (-110) +105 O 211.5 (-110)
Miami Heat -1.5 (-110) -125 U 211.5 (-110)

Odds as of November 22 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code to bet on the Wizards vs Heat game.

The Heat opened up as 3-point favorites, but that line is already down to -1.5. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 pm ET at the FTX Arena in Miami, FL, a building where Miami is 6-4 at this season.

 

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Miami Heat Betting Analysis

Here’s what we know so far about the Heat injury situation. Leading scorer Butler will miss his fourth straight game with a knee injury. There’s a chance that second leading scorer Tyler Herro returns after an eight game absence due to an ankle injury, while Dewayne Dedmon, Max Strus, and Gabe Vincent all sport questionable tags.

To make matters worse, third leading scorer and top rebounder Bam Adebayo also popped up on the injury report. He’s listed as probable with a knee bruise, and his absence would be devastating given Kristaps Porzingis’ presence on the other side.

Also ruled out for Wednesday’s game are Duncan Robinson, Victor Oladipo, Omer Yurtseven and Udonis Haslem.

Given all the injures they’ve suffered, it’s no surprise that Miami has struggled lately. They’ve dropped four straight overall, and six of their last nine.

Last year’s East Finals runner-up sits 12th in the the conference, and is fading fast in the NBA Championship odds.

Washington Wizards Betting Analysis

As or the Wizards injury outlook, Beal is questionable after leaving Sunday’s win with a knee bruise. It wasn’t thought to be serious initially, but it’s a little more murky now after he missed practice on Tuesday.

Beal just returned from a five-game absence due to health and safety protocols, and was fresh off a 26-point, five assist, five steal effort versus Charlotte. He poured in 27 when the Wizards beat the Heat 107-106 in OT on Friday, and leads the team with 23 points per game.

Aside from Beal, Monte Morris (ankle) and Rui Hachimura (ankle) are also questionable, while Delon Wright (hamstring) has already been ruled out.

The Wizards have posted back-to-back wins coming in, and sit fifth in the East, just half a game back of the fourth place Pacers. Washington has won six of seven overall, and are undervalued in this spot given the laundry list of Miami injuries.

Wizards vs Heat Prediction

The Heat have struggled when healthy this season, so asking them to cover even a small number at home seems like a tall task. Miami has covered just five times all season, which is the second lowest mark in the league. They’re 3-9 ATS this season as a favorite, and 2-8 against the spread at home.

NBA Bottom-5 ATS Teams

Team ATS Record Cover % Total +/-
Minnesota Timberwolves 6-11-0 35.3% -4.9
LA Lakers 5-10-0 33.3% -0.8
Golden State Warriors 6-12-0 33.3% -6.5
Miami Heat 5-13-0 27.8% -2.9
Dallas Mavericks 4-11-1 26.7% -2.4

Washington on the other hand is peaking, with or without Beal. The team went 4-1 during his five game absence, posting impressive 8+ point victories over Charlotte, Dallas, Utah and Memphis.

The Wizards grade out better in offensive and defensive rating than the Heat, while also posting a better true shooting and effective shooting percentage, along with a better rebounding rate.

Pick: Washington Wizards +1.5 (-110)

 

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