- No. 12 Villanova is a 4-point favorite at Marquette on Wednesday
- Marquette is 7-1 straight up, 8-0 ATS in its last eight
- Read below for Villanova vs Marquette odds, analysis, and betting prediction
No. 12 Villanova (16-5, 9-2 Big East) is a 4-point road favorite against Marquette in a Big East game at 10 pm ET Wednesday on FS1. The Wildcats have won three in a row since falling 57-54 to Marquette in the first meeting Jan. 19.
No. 24 Marquette (15-7, 7-4 Big East) had a seven-game winning streak broken in a 65-63 loss to No. 15 Providence the last time out, the Golden Eagles’ first loss since Jan. 1.
Villanova vs Marquette Odds
|Villanova||-182||-4 (-110)||Over 133.5 (-120)|
|Marquette||+150||+4 (-110)||Under 132.5 (-102)|
Odds from FanDuel on Feb. 1.
Villanova is a 4-point road favorite at Marquette, with the total set at 133.5. Villanova is -182 on the moneyline, which means the Wildcats have a 64.5% implied win probability. Marquette is +150 on the moneyline, which means the Golden Eagles have a 40% implied win probability.
First Meeting a Thriller
Marquette wing Justin Lewis’ three-pointer with 11.5 seconds remaining broke a tie and helped the Golden Eagles’ to a 57-54 victory over the Wildcats in the first meeting. between the two in Philadelphia.
Marquette ended Villanova’s 29-game winning streak at its campus home Finneran Pavilion while covering as 13.5-point underdog, a line shown to be way out of whack by the Golden Eagles’ recent play.
Lewis, who had five threes, bobbled a pass on the left wing before regaining control and rattling the game-winner through as the shot clock ran down. The Wildcats did not get a decent look on their last possession, Justin Moore’s long three-pointer failing to land.
Lewis had 21 points and spot-up shooter Greg Elliott added 14 points and four threes as Marquette was 13 of 29 from distance, 44.8 percent. Wildcats’ leading scorer Collin Gillespie had 10 points on 4 of 13 shooting, although he added eight rebounds and four assists.
Payback Is a Thing
These teams recover well. Villanova’s other Big East loss was at Creighton 79-59 on Dec. 17, when the Bluejays covered as a 7.5 underdog. The Wildcats pounded Creighton 75-41 in the rematch at home Jan. 5.
We have five teams ranked in the @AP_Top25 for the second straight week!
— BIG EAST MBB (@BIGEASTMBB) January 31, 2022
Marquette avenged an 80-71 loss at Xavier in the Big East opener Dec. 18 with a 75-64 home victory over the Musketeers on Jan. 23, the sixth victory in its seven-game streak.
Others can do that, too. Providence’s 65-63 home victory over Marquette on Saturday repaid its worst loss of the season, an 88-56 loss in Milwaukee on Jan. 4, the Golden Eagles’ largest margin of victory this season.
Villanova vs Marquette Head-to-Head Results
Villanova has a 27-13 series advantage and has won seven of the last 10 (5-5 ATS) and 16 of the last 20 (13-7 ATS) dating to the 2012-13 season. The Wildcats have been ranked in the top 15 of the AP Top 25 in 18 of the last 19 meetings in the series, four times ranked No. 1.
Marquette is 2-3 straight up and ATS in the last five at home. Villanova broke a two-game losing streak in Milwaukee with an 85-68 the last time here in 2020. The game was gone under the total in three of the last five at Marquette.
Both teams have been go-with this season — the Golden Eagles are 14-8 ATS and the Wildcats are 12-9. Villanova has won nine of its last 10 (7-3 ATS) and is 3-5 ATS on the road and 4-3 ATS against ranked opponents.
Marquette is 9-2 ATS in Big East games and 7-3 against ranked opponents, including a 68-67 non-conference home victory over Illinois (without Kofi Cockburn). The Golden Eagles won (and covered) three consecutive games against AP Top 25 teams for the first time in school history during their winning streak.
Big East POY Candidates
Collin Gillespie and Justin Lewis are the most likely Big East Player of the Year candidates, inasmuch as the award usually goes to a player who makes an impact on a winning team. Gillespie was always there. Lewis has emerged, especially lately.
— Villanova MBB (@NovaMBB) January 31, 2022
Gillespie is third in the league in scoring (17.1 points) and leads in three-point field goal percentage among qualifiers (43.1 percent on 69 makes) and in free throw percentage (90.5).
Second-year freshman 6’7 Lewis is averaging 16.5 points and 7.9 rebounds on the season, numbers that are creeping up. He has four 20-point games in the last eight, including a career-high 33 points in a win over Seton Hall last Wednesday, three weeks after a then-career high 23 in a win over Providence.
Villanova vs Marquette Pick
Both have trends here worth considering. The Wildcats hammered the only the only other team it has lost to this season in the rematch, while Marquette has consistently our-performed the linesmakers’ expectations with an 8-0 spread run. It says here Villanova should get its pay-back tonight.
The pick: Villanova -4 (-110)