- Joe Burrow’s Heisman odds continue to shorten after another strong showing in Week 4
- The LSU quarterback is now the co-favorite at some sportsbooks
- How should you bet on the Heisman odds after Week 4?
LSU quarterback Joe Burrow is now the second-favorite behind Tua Tagovailoa in the Heisman odds at some sportsbooks, and he’s the co-favorite at others.
Ohio State’s Justin Fields is also rising in the Heisman odds after a strong showing against Miami.
How should you bet on the Heisman odds after Week 4?
2019 Heisman Trophy Odds
|Player||Odds at Sportsbook 1||Odds at Sportsbook 2|
|Tua Tagovailoa (QB, Alabama)||+175||+400|
|Joe Burrow (QB, LSU)||+300||+300|
|Jalen Hurts (QB, Oklahoma)||+350||+300|
|Justin Fields (QB, Ohio State)||+900||+900|
|(Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson)||+2000||+1200|
|Jake Fromm (QB, Georgia)||+1400||+1500|
|Jonathan Taylor (RB, Wisconsin)||+1600||+650|
|D’Andre Swift (RB, Georgia)||+3300||+2000|
|Jerry Jeudy (WR, Alabama)||+3300||+5000|
|Justin Herbert (QB, Oregon)||+3300||+2000|
|Sam Ehlinger (QB, Texas)||+3300||+2000|
|Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson)||+5000||+5000|
|Adrian Martinez (QB, Nebraska)||+6600||+10000|
|Ian Book (QB, Notre Dame)||+5000||+5000|
Odds taken 09/23/19.
Joe Burrow Now Second-Favorite, at Worst
Joe Burrow (+300) is now listed as the second-favorite for the Heisman at some sportsbooks after he turned in another strong performance against Vanderbilt in Week 4. He’s listed as the co-favorite alongside Jalen Hurts at others.
The LSU QB tied a school record when he threw six TD passes in a 66-38 victory over the Commodores. Burrow went 25-of-34 for 398 yards with no interceptions to help LSU improve to 4-0 on the season.
Joe Burrow's first half would be a good game for most QBs.
18/24, 357 yards, 4 TD pic.twitter.com/l6BeNfAuWN
— ESPN College Football (@ESPNCFB) September 21, 2019
I mentioned after Week 3 that Burrow’s previous +1400 Heisman odds were great value. He’s not flying under the radar anymore. There’s more hype around Burrow this week because Jalen Hurts and Oklahoma had a bye week. The Sooners face a solid Texas Tech team in Week 5 and Hurts will have a chance to further strengthen his Heisman case.
I do believe Burrow is the second-best bet behind Hurts for the Heisman right now. The LSU QB has thrown for over 350 yards in three straight games and now ranks second in the nation in both passing yards (1,520) and passing efficiency (225.6 rating). The Tigers offense continues to impress and is now ranked third in the country with 2,254 total yards. LSU is a legit contender, and their starting QB is a legit Heisman candidate.
Justin Fields Also Climbing
Ohio State’s Justin Fields is also rising in the Heisman odds after an impressive Week 4 showing. The Buckeyes QB has now surpassed original co-favorite Trevor Lawrence with +900 odds to win across the board.
Fields went 14-of-21 for 223 yards and four touchdowns in a 76-5 blowout win over Miami. The Ohio State QB also ran for an two additional TDs to total six touchdowns in a single quarter.
Justin Fields is the first Ohio State quarterback with 6 TD responsible for in a quarter. pic.twitter.com/DuFOrf6UgR
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) September 21, 2019
Fields has been sensational, but we haven’t seen the Buckeyes face a tough opponent yet. Burrow helped lead LSU past Texas in Week 3, while both Fields and Hurts have yet to face tough competition.
With Michigan (2-1) struggling, I think Ohio State has a great chance to win the Big 10. Fields will get the opportunity to bolster his Heisman campaign with huge games against Wisconsin, Michigan and Penn State later in the season. If you’re looking to go outside of Hurts, Burrow or Tua Tagovailoa, I think Fields is the best bet at +900 odds.
Does Tagovailoa Deserve to Be Favorite?
After a good showing against Southern Miss in Week 4, Tua Tagovailoa (+175) remains the Heisman favorite at many books. I think his +400 odds at the others are a more accurate representation of where he lies in the Heisman race. He’s been excellent, but there is some very strong competition.
Tagovailoa passed for 293 yards and five touchdowns in three quarters to lead Alabama past the Golden Bears by a 49-7 score in Week 4. He’s now thrown 17 TD passes without an interception this season. Tagovailoa’s 225.3 pass efficiency rating is just shy of Joe Burrow’s (225.6).
Through four games, Tua Tagovailoa has almost as many touchdown passes (17) as he does incompletions (25)
— Matt Zenitz (@mzenitz) September 21, 2019
Tagovailoa has been impressive, but Alabama’s biggest games are yet to come. The promising prospect deserves to be near the top of this list right now, but we’ll see if Tagovailoa is truly a Heisman favorite when Alabama faces some actual competition in Texas A&M, LSU and Auburn.
Heisman Analysis After Week 4
Joe Burrow is getting plenty of hype after another impressive showing in Week 4, and rightfully so. But don’t forget about Hurts due to Oklahoma’s bye week.
Burrow continues to climb because he has that Texas performance on his resume, but Tagovailoa and Hurts have also put up great numbers and will get their chance to strengthen their cases with big games on the horizon.
I still think Hurts is the best bet for the Heisman right now, with Burrow second behind him. Tagovailoa is a safe pick, but I see better value with the other two players.
If Burrow leads LSU past Alabama on Nov. 9, his Heisman odds will skyrocket. Fields could also be worth taking a flier on right now, as his odds will significantly improve if he leads Ohio State to a Big Ten title.