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Next Alabama Football Coach Odds: Dan Lanning, Lane Kiffin Among Favorites

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in College Football

Updated Jan 11, 2024 · 10:31 AM PST

Dan Lanning sticks his tongue out to catch the rain
Oregon head coach Dan Lanning sticks his tongue out to catch the rain as the No. 6 Oregon Ducks host California Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023, at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Ore.
  • Who will be the next Alabama football coach?
  • The betting odds favor Dan Lanning and Lane Kiffin to replace Nick Saban
  • Below, see the full odds to be the next Alabama football coach, plus our analysis

The odds suggest Dan Lanning or Lane Kiffin will replace Nick Saban at Alabama. The legendary Crimson Tide head coach announced his retirement Wednesday night after 17 seasons in Tuscaloosa, causing shockwaves across the college football world.

Oddsmakers didn’t waste time releasing the next Alabama football coach odds following the big news. Sportsbooks put out their odds to be the next Alabama coach just hours after the announcement, with Dan Lanning and Lane Kiffin leading the way.

Who will be the next Alabama football coach? Let’s analyze the odds and determine the best bets.

Next Alabama Football Coach Odds

Name Odds
Dan Lanning +200
Lane Kiffin +350
Dabo Swinney +400
Kalen DeBoer +500
Steve Sarkisian +750
Mike Norvell +900
Pat Shurmur +1000
Urban Meyer +1400
Derek Dooley +1500
Billy Napier +1500
DeMeco Ryans +1600
Deion Sanders +1700
Sherrone Moore +1850
James Franklin +1900
Ryan Day +2100
Marcus Freeman +2500
Mike Shula +3000
Will Muschamp +3200
Mario Cristobal +3300
Mike Vrabel +4000

In the next Alabama football coach odds, Dan Lanning is the favorite to replace Nick Saban. At +200 odds, Lanning has 33% implied probability to become the next Alabama head coach.

SBD odds as of January 11th.

Dan Lanning the Frontrunner

The current favorite in the odds to be the next Alabama football coach is Dan Lanning. The 37-year-old Missouri native is the current head coach at Oregon, where he has led the Ducks to a 22-5 record over the past two seasons.

Prior to his time at Oregon, Lanning served as the defensive coordinator at Georgia, where he helped lead the Bulldogs to the national championship game in 2021. Lanning also has experience as a graduate assistant at Alabama, which could give him an edge in the hiring process.

Lanning offers plenty of what the Crimson Tide would be looking for, including a relentless mentality and strong track record in developing talent. He has helped players like Nakobe Dean, Troy Franklin, and Tez Johnson reach elite levels.

Lanning is also regarded as an excellent recruiter, already securing commitments from several five-star and four-star recruits in his first Oregon class. This is a pivotal element to consider, given how well Alabama has recruited in the Nick Saban era.

Lanning is reportedly very happy in Oregon, however, and is embracing the challenge of joining the Big Ten in 2024-25. The question becomes whether or not he would want to abandon what he’s building in Eugene and move his family to an entirely different part of the country.

UPDATE (Jan. 11): Dan Lanning has announced he will remain at Oregon. See the updated next Alabama football coach odds.

What About Lane Kiffin?

Another top contender to be the next Alabama football coach is Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin. Kiffin is no stranger to Alabama football, having served as the team’s offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach from 2014-2016, helping the Crimson Tide win a national championship in 2015.

Kiffin has since gone on to become the head coach at Ole Miss, where he has led the Rebels to an 11-2 record in 2023. Kiffin’s familiarity with Alabama and his success as a head coach make him a strong candidate for the job.

Kiffin helped influence Nick Saban to modernize Alabama’s offense during his time as OC there, and the two coaches maintain a strong relationship. We’d expect Saban would advocate for his friend if Alabama sought his advice on his potential replacement.

Recruiting ability is a question mark for Kiffin. His last three Ole Miss classes ranked in the mid-teens, below Alabama’s elite top-5 standard set by Saban. Furthermore, the culture fit is also uncertain given some of Kiffin’s past controversies.

While he may be controversial and a potential sideshow to the actual football game at times, Kiffin took the Rebels to a New Year’s Six bowl game this season. His resume may finally be backing up his bluster. Furthermore, Kiffin was noticeably quiet on Twitter following the Saban retirement news, raising many eyeballs.

Next Alabama Football Coach Longshots to Consider

When it comes to the next Alabama football coach odds, some of the names are completely unrealistic and just placed on the list to attract more eyeballs. For example, Deion Sanders isn’t coming to Alabama after just one season as a Power 5 coach with Colorado.

We also don’t see Urban Meyer returning to college football to coach Alabama football considering the off-field issues that have followed him during his NCAA and NFL tenures. The Tide likely won’t target a coach such as Meyer or Sanders due to the off-the-field distractions they would bring with them.

Washington’s Kalen DeBoer is a more reasonable longshot, given his recent success at Washington. The 49-year-old, who won three NAIA national titles at Sioux Falls, owns a career record of 104-12 and is 12-2 all-time against ranked opponents.

He has never worked in the SEC, which might give some at Alabama pause as that league is seen as a different animal, but DeBoer recently hired Jimmy Sexton, the same agent as Saban and many SEC coaches. DeBoer is a proven winner, and those are the types of personnel Alabama needs if they wish to keep their dynasty going.

Clemson’s Dabo Swinney is another interesting name, but we don’t see Alabama targeting the 54-year-old at this stage in his career despite his success. Swinney has been vocal in the past about wanting the Alabama job, but his struggles adapting to the transfer portal world will make those in Tuscaloosa hesitant to pull the trigger.

 

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