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Opening 2023 College Football Season Win Totals Released – See Projections for All Power 5 Teams

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in College Football

Updated Jun 9, 2023 · 1:07 PM PDT

Florida Gators quarterback Graham Mertz looks to throw
Florida Gators quarterback Graham Mertz (15) looks to throw during the second half during the Florida Gators Orange and Blue Spring Game at Steve Spurrier Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL on Thursday, April 13, 2023. [Matt Pendleton/Gainesville Sun] Ncaa Football Florida Gators Orange Blue Spring Game
  • Opening 2023 college football win totals have been posted for Power Five teams
  • Georgia, the two-time defending national champion, is favored to win the most games
  • Read below to see projected 2023 college football win totals, along with best bets

College football season doesn’t start until more than three months from now, but oddsmakers have posted win totals for every FBS team.

Two-time defending national champion Georgia has the highest win total at 11.5. Two Pac-12 teams, Colorado and Stanford, have the lowest totals with three each. Apparently, the oddsmakers aren’t as sure about new Buffaloes coach Deion Sanders as Coach Prime is of himself.

The table below sets out the college football win totals for all 69 P5 teams. Under the table, find my three best college football win totals bets.

Opening 2023 College Football Win Totals

Team Win Total
Alabama 10.5 (U -145/O +125)
Arizona 5 (O -120/U +100)
Arizona State 5 (O -140/U -120)
Arkansas 7 (O -120/U +100)
Auburn 6.5 (U -135/O +115)
Baylor 7.5 (U -145/O +125)
Boston College 5.5 (U -120/O +100)
BYU 5.5 (O -125/U +105)
California 4.5 (O -140/U +120)
Cincinnati 5 (U -120/O +100)
Clemson 9.5 (U -140/O +120)
Colorado 3 (O -110/U -110)
Duke 6.5 (O -135/U +115)
Florida 5.5 (U -115/O -105)
Florida State 10 (U -115/O -105)
Georgia 11.5 (U -150/O +130)
Georgia Tech 4.5 (U -140/O +120)
Houston 4.5 (O -110/U -110)
Illinois 6.5 (O -135/U +115)
Indiana 3.5 (O -135/U +115)
Iowa 7.5 (U -145/O +125)
Iowa State 5.5 (U -130/O +110)
Kansas 6.5 (U -120/O +100)
Kansas State 8.5 (U -130/O +110)
Kentucky 6.5 (O -130/U +110)
Louisville 7.5 (U -145/O +125)
LSU 9.5 (U -130/O +110)
Maryland 7 (U -115/O -105)
Miami 7.5 (U -140/O +120)
Michigan 10.5 (O -115/U -105)
Michigan State 5.5 (U -140/O +120)
Minnesota 6.5 (O -125/U +105)
Mississippi State 6.5 (U -135/ +115)
Missouri 6.5 (U -145/O +125)
Nebraska 6 (O -120/U +100)
North Carolina 8.5 (O -125/U +105)
North Carolina State 6.5 (O -145/U +125)
Northwestern 3.5 (O -115/U -105)
Notre Dame 9 (U -130/O +110)
Ohio State 10.5 (U -115/O -105)
Oklahoma 9.5 (O -115/U -105)
Oklahoma State 6.5 (U -120/O +100)
Ole Miss 7.5 (U -115/O -105)
Oregon 9.5 (U -120/O +100)
Oregon State 8 (O -135/U +115)
Penn State 9.5 (U -130/O +110)
Pittsburgh 6.5 (O -125/U +105)
Purdue 5.5 (O -110/U -110)
Rutgers 4.5 (U -120/O +100)
South Carolina 6.5 (U -115/O -105)
Stanford 3 (U -120/O +100)
Syracuse 6.5 (U -125/O +105)
TCU 7.5 (O -125/U +105)
Tennessee 9.5 (U -150/O +130)
Texas 9.5 (O -115/U -105)
Texas A&M 7.5 (O -130/U +110)
Texas Tech 7.5 (U -140/O +120)
UCF 6.5 (O -120/U +100)
UCLA 8.5 (U -130/O +110)
USC 9.5 (O -155/U +135)
Utah 8.5 (U -145/O +125)
Vanderbilt 3.5 (O -135/U +115)
Virginia 3.5 (O -110/U -110)
Virginia Tech 5 (U -115/O -105)
Wake Forest 6 (O -120/U +100)
Washington 9 (U -130/O +110)
Washington State 6.5 (O -120/U +100)
West Virginia 4.5 (O -140/U +120)
Wisconsin 9 (U -145/O +125)

Georgia is atop the National Championship odds. Leading the Heisman Trophy odds is USC quarterback Caleb Williams.

College football win totals don’t include conference championship games or the CFP. With that being said, let’s get into my three best CFB win total bets for the regular season.



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Odds as of May 11th at DraftKings. Browse the available US betting sites for CFB win totals. 

Don’t Sleep on Napier, Florida

Billy Napier’s first season as Florida’s coach in 2022 started promisingly enough with an upset of eventual Pac-12 champion Utah in its opener. However, the Gators lost five of their last seven games to finish 6-7 and were blown out by Oregon State 30-3 in the Las Vegas Bowl.

Napier went 40-12 in four seasons at Louisiana before coming to Gainesville and should put Florida on more solid ground in his second year on the job. Despite losing quarterback Anthony Richardson in the NFL Draft – he went No. 4 overall to the Indianapolis Colts – the Gators could be better off at the position with Wisconsin transfer Graham Mertz.

Richardson is very talented by wasn’t a productive college QB. Mertz, on the hand, started 32 games for the Badgers and completed 18 of 29 passes for 244 yards and a touchdown in Florida’s spring game.

  • Pick: Florida Over 5.5 Wins (-105)

Expectations Low for Michigan State

Michigan State took a sizeable tumble last season, going 5-7 after posting an 11-2 record in 2021. That made the school’s decision to give coach Mel Tucker a whopping 10-year, $95-million contract extension following the breakout season look problematic.

The quarterback situation is in flux after Payton Thorne transferred to Auburn earlier this month. Thorne, though, regressed in 2022, and the Spartans’ offense could get a boost from having a new QB as Noah Kim and Katin Houser will compete for the starting job in training camp.

Tucker likes to play power football, but Michigan State averaged just 113 rushing yards a game last season. Transfer running back Nate Carter from UConn should rectify that situation and help the Spartans exceed rather low expectations.

  • Pick: Michigan State Over 5.5 Wins (+120)

UCLA Will Likely Miss DTR

The running joke was that Dorian Thompson-Robinson was the successor to Gary Beban as UCLA’s quarterback. Beban won the Heisman Trophy in 1967.

Thompson-Robinson wasn’t around Westwood that long, but he did play in 49 games over five seasons for the Bruins. He helped UCLA finish eighth in the country in scoring last season at 39.2 points a game as the Bruins went 9-4.

Replacing Thompson-Robinson will be a big task and three players will compete for the job in August. Dante Moore was a five-star recruit in high school but has yet to throw a pass in a college game and Collin Schlee failed to win the QB1 job outright in the spring as many expected after transferring from Kent State.

That’s a little too much uncertainty.

  • Pick: UCLA Under 8.5 Wins (-130)


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