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Oregon State vs Washington Prediction, Odds, Spread and Picks

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in College Football

Updated Nov 1, 2022 · 11:05 AM PDT

Oregon State Beavers head coach Jonathan Smith
Oct 8, 2022; Stanford, California, USA; Oregon State Beavers head coach Jonathan Smith during the fourth quarter against the Stanford Cardinal at Stanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
  • Oregon State and Washington battle on Friday night in Week 10 on November 4th
  • The Huskies are currently 4.5-point betting favorites over the Beavers in the CFB odds
  • Read below for Oregon State vs Washington odds, spread and predictions for Week 10

This college “TGIF” football game after dark features Washington at home to battle against the Oregon State Beavers in a Pac-12 game on Friday, November 4. Kickoff is set for just after 10:30 PM ET at Husky Stadium (Alaska Airlines Field), and the game will be live on ESPN. Now, Washington and Oregon State are trying to keep themselves in the Pac-12 race.

Washington is currently a 4.5-point betting favorite and the total is set at 59.5 for this contest. The Huskies are modest home favorites.

Let’s go deeper into the Oregon State vs Washington odds and offer you our best bets and predictions.

Oregon State vs Washington Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Oregon State +4.5 (-110) +165 Over 59.5 (-110)
Washington -4.5 (-110) -200 Under 55.5 (-110)

Odds as of November 1st at BetMGM Sportsbook. Get the Bet MGM promo code for CFB betting.

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Washington is -200 on the moneyline in the college football odds, giving them 66.7% implied probability to win.

Washington’s Michael Penix Jr. Needs A Huge Game

Washington’s Michael Penix Jr. is the driver of their offense. The Junior signal-caller had an okay (by his standards) game last week against California. Penix Jr. tossed 374 yards through the air and two touchdowns. He helped Washington win 28-21 in what was an okay effort. Now, Oregon State is going to represent a different battle in a game both teams must win. The likely winner of this game depends on one thing. Can Michael Penix Jr. create opportunities and score against a good Beavers’ defense?

Simply, Penix Jr. has a chance to at least stay on the radar of the Heisman race with a big performance.

Now, Penix Jr. still leads the nation in passing yards per game but Washington did have some issues getting in the end zone against California and that should not have happened. There were a few throws in that game where the Washington quarterback looked not quite like himself.

The key may be the Huskies’ 1-2 punch at wide receiver. This could cause a few matchup problems for the Oregon State secondary. It will be vital for Penix Jr. tor progress through his reads quickly.

Washington’s defense was a little better last week but even then, the Huskies yielded 21 points and almost gave the game away in the second half. Oregon State’s offense is a bit more dynamic than it was with Chance Nolan turning the ball over at will.

The defense will be at home and should be able to hold the Beavers’ rushing attack somewhat. Washington allows just 3.3 yards per carry. That is one of the best marks in the Pac-12. Even with the three different running backs for Oregon State, the Huskies should be ready.

Oregon State Needs A W Here

Head coach Jonathan Smith knows the game against USC is the one that got away. The Beavers would be ranked right now if not for a few mistakes there and then again at Utah. If they split those two contests, they are 7-1 and right in the Pac-12 race.

Yes, even with all that, the Beavers still have a fighting chance. If Oregon State wins out, they would be 10-2 and in good position possibly for a Pac-12 championship game shot. Ben Gulbranson is not a game-breaker but he makes less mistakes than Chance Nolan and allows the offense to flow better.

This game boils down to the turnover battle. If Oregon State can keep their miscues down, the Beavers are capable of pulling off the mild road upset. Washington’s pass defense is still a little suspect but can Oregon State take advantage of the open looks? Better yet, can Deshaun Fenwick, Damien Martinez, and Jamious Griffin pokes holes in that front seven to set up the pass? UCLA was one of the teams that got to the second level often enough to make it matter via the run.

Oregon State’s preseason NCAAF win total of 6.5 is a lock to go over.

Oregon State vs Washington Prediction

Most pundits have Oregon State and Washington just below UCLA, USC, and Utah in the Pac-12. Yet, the winner here could still contend for the conference crown.

Honestly, Washington’s defense still can be attacked.

Washington giving up 4.5 points is a bit much and both teams might have issues scoring Friday night.

Picks: Under 59.5 (-110), Oregon State +4.5 (-110)

 

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