Texas vs Kansas Odds, Spread, Preview and Picks

• Texas and Kansas battle on Saturday afternoon in Week 12 on November 19th
• The Jayhawks are currently 9.5-point betting underdogs against the Longhorns in the CFB odds
• Read below for Texas vs Kansas odds, spread and predictions for Week 12

This afternoon game features Kansas at home to battle against the Texas Longhorns in a Big-12 game on Saturday, November 19. Kickoff is set for just after 3:30 pm ET at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, and the game will be live on FS1. Now, Texas is trying to bounce back after a tough home loss to the TCU Horned Frogs on Saturday

Texas is currently a 9.5-point betting favorite and the total is set at 63.5 for this contest. The Longhorns are significant road favorites.

Let’s examine the Texas vs Kansas odds and offer you our best bets and predictions.

Texas vs Kansas Odds

Odds as of November 16th at BetMGM Sportsbook. Get the BetMGM promo code for CFB betting.

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Texas is -350 on the moneyline in the college football odds, giving them 77.8% implied probability to win.

Texas’ Quinn Ewers Up And Down Nature Hooks Horns

Texas’ Quinn Ewers fires up a lot of passes but the problem has been consistency the past several weeks. The Freshman signal-caller had a miserable primetime game against TCU with his worst QBR of the season at 21.6. Completing 17 of 39 passes against the Horned Frogs raised eyebrows in the 17-10 loss. Also, experts pointed at Steve Sarkisian for putting his young quarterback in such a perilous spot. Others argued that Ewers keeps making the same mistakes over and over again.

Bluntly, Ewers fits in with how Texas plays. They are up one week and down the next. They are hooked for better or for worse.

Three things stand out here…draw your own conclusions.

1) Quinn Ewers has steadily declined in his last 50% of drop backs
2) Hudson Card has steadily improved in his last 50% of drop backs
3) Quinn Ewers has now fallen below Hudson's last PPA (predicted points added) pic.twitter.com/zI9nrX0RH4

— Nash (@NashTalksTexas) November 15, 2022

Now,  will Texas have a change of heart? Hudson Card makes fewer mistakes but arguably does not have the range of Ewers. Card is just a sophomore but has a little more experience.

The key may be Bijan Robinson and how much he gets the ball on Saturday afternoon. Kansas has more issues with pass defense than run defense (just four yards per carry allowed). However, Robinson is a special kind of running back with the ability to get into the secondary.

TCU’s defense never let Robinson get going but Texas also hamstrung their best offensive player. The Longhorn carried the ball just 12 times. That cannot happen again at all.

The problem last week was that Texas got drawn into an air battle instead of trying to control the ground. If that happens again this week, the same result is likely.

Kansas Needs This Win In A Big Way

Head coach Lance Leipold knows the game against Texas is a pivotal one for both teams. The Jayhawks are not just content with being bowl eligible. Their 5-0 start has lost a considerable amount of luster given the injury to Jalon Daniels. However, Kansas arguably came up with their best performance of the season at home against Oklahoma State.

First things first, the Jayhawks have to play with the balanced poise they possessed versus the Cowboys a few weeks ago. Kansas racked up 351 yards rushing with Devin Neal accumulating 224 of them. The offensive line just performs differently at home almost as if they are a young team.

Steve Sarkisian says Kansas' Devin Neal is a "fantastic player." Says the Jayhawk offense has triple option-like schemes run out of spread sets. https://t.co/trR1Pp3sQi

— Joe Cook (@josephcook89) November 14, 2022

This game boils down to the option formations and how they set up the passing game for Kansas. If the Longhorns cannot stop Neal and Bean, it will be a long afternoon and evening for Texas. If they do, Kansas will have problems containing Robinson and the Texas offense.

Kansas’s preseason NCAAF win total of 2.5 went over a long time ago. Now it is about getting to seven, maybe even eight wins.

Texas vs Kansas Prediction

Fortunately, most pundits have Texas winning this game but the 9.5-point spread looks like a huge number.

Honestly, both defenses will be attacked but Kansas just runs at a different speed when it comes to playing at home.

Finally, Texas laying 9.5 points is far from enticing, and the Longhorns got burned bad last week losing by seven points to TCU. Can anyone trust a Texas team that has already mucked up three games they arguably should have won? Simply, that answer is no.

Pick:  Kansas +9.5 (-110)