Baltimore Ravens vs New York Giants – Odds, Lines, Spread, and Picks NFL Week 6

• Baltimore is favored by 5.5 points in Week 6 in Ravens vs Giants odds on Sunday (Oct 16) at MetLife Stadium
• 54% of the spread bets and 68% of the ATS handle is on the Ravens in this matchup
• Keep reading for the complete Ravens vs Giants odds, plus analysis and our favorite bet to target

You can easily make the argument that the Ravens (3-2, 2-0 away) should be 5-0 right now. They let three score leads slip away in both of their losses, blowing a 95-plus percent win probability versus the Dolphins back in Week 2. Read on for some Ravens vs Giants analysis.

The Ravens are still the leader of the pack in the AFC North and head back to the Meadowlands on Sunday for a date with the Giants (4-1).

At 4-1, New York is off to its best start since 2008, but oddsmakers aren’t buying this flawed team. Baltimore opened as the road chalk in the NFL odds, and as of Friday afternoon, the Ravens are drawing the majority of the betting action.

Ravens vs Giants Odds

Odds as of October 14 at Barstool Sportsbook. Claim the ESPN Bet promo. 

The Ravens are currently 5.5-point favorites, in a contest that features a total of 45. 54% of the spread bets are backing Baltimore at that number, as is 68% of the ATS money.

Kickoff for this Week 6 tilt is scheduled for 1 pm ET at MetLife Stadium, a field the Ravens waxed the Jets on back in their season opener. CBS will have the broadcast, while the forecast is calling for sunshine and 59-degree game-time temperatures.

Baltimore Ravens Betting Analysis

Despite being 4-1, the Giants grade out as the 18th-best team per DVOA, and the 25th-ranked defense. That’s nowhere near the Ravens, who are third in total DVOA, and second on offense.

Lamar Jackson is once again a serious contender in the NFL MVP odds, throwing for 12 TD and rushing for two more already. Jackson will square off against his old defensive coordinator Wink Martindale, who loves nothing more than to bring the heat.

The Giants blitz on an NFL-high 43.3% of their defensive snaps, but they may want to alter their strategy. Jackson leads all QBs in passer rating when blitzed, throwing for 471 yards and 7 TD.

QBs with the best passer rating against the blitz

Lamar Jackson – 124.0
Patrick Mahomes – 122.1
Matthew Stafford – 119.5
Jacoby Brissett – 116.2
Joe Burrow – 116.1

The worst…

Trevor Lawrence – 73.5
Marcus Mariota – 72.6
Jalen Hurts – 66.4
Kirk Cousins – 64.8
Mac Jones – 29.5

— NFL Stats (@NFL_Stats) October 12, 2022

Mark Andrews has been on the receiving end of plenty of those throws, as he’s the clear-cut top weapon in the passing game. Andrews leads the team with 32 receptions, 349 receiving yards, and 4 TD.

Defensively, Baltimore is fresh off limiting the Super Bowl odds favorite Bills and last year’s AFC champion Bengals to 20 and 17 points respectively over the past two weeks. They rank 10th against the pass per DVOA and haven’t allowed more than 80 rushing yards in a game to anyone since the start of the 2021 season. Run defense will be key on Sunday, as Saquon Barkley is the lifeblood of the New York offense.

New York Giants Betting Analysis

Barkley is the only thing keeping this Giants offense afloat this season. He ranks second in the NFL with 533 yards rushing, while also leading the team in receptions. He’s accounted for 39% of New York’s total offense and that percentage will likely increase after Sunday’s game due to the Giants’ injuries.

Saquon Barkley: RB1 🔥 pic.twitter.com/O1K0Sjbdua

— PFF Fantasy & Betting (@PFF_Fantasy) October 12, 2022

Kadarius Toney and Kenny Golladay have already been ruled out, while rookie Wan’Dale Robinson’s status is up in the air. That potentially puts New York down three of its top-four receivers, leaving the cupboard bare for Daniel Jones in the passing game.

Jones enters play having thrown for 217 yards or fewer in all five games, with just three touchdowns against two interceptions. He’s been playing through an ankle injury and his mobility will be tested versus the Ravens. Baltimore ranks 10th in pass rush productivity per Pro Football Focus, recording 11 sacks.

Daniel Jones has 848 yards passing & 3tds for the Giants

The only full time starter that both #’s are better than is Fields.

He’s much better at not giving the ball away & is using his feet well. But the Giants are 4-1 because of their D and Saquon and 1/2 time adjustments

— Dan Orlovsky (@danorlovsky7) October 13, 2022

Defensively, the Giants have been equally as susceptible to the run as the pass, and their blitz-heavy scheme opens the door for a massive Jackson game both through the air and on the ground.

Ravens vs Giants Prediction

On paper, New York is one of the least impressive 4-1 teams you’ll ever see. They’re completely reliant on Barkley, while just one of their four wins has been against a team with an above .500 record when they met.

Yes, they’ve yet to allow more than 23 points in a game, but three of the four offenses they’ve faced rank 18th or worse per DVOA on that side of the ball.

The Ravens meanwhile, are a complete team. Jackson is playing as well as ever and he’s absolutely owned NFC teams throughout his career. Lamar is 12-0 as a starter versus the NFC, and 17-7-2 lifetime against the spread as a visitor.

Pick: Baltimore Ravens -5.5 (-110), 1 unit

2022 NFL Season Picks Record: 4-2, +1.52 units

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