Best Chargers vs Chiefs TNF Same-Game Parlay
- The Chargers vs Chiefs matchup kicks off Week 2 in the NFL on Thursday Night Football
- We’ve put together a +1500 same-game parlay for this AFC West showdown
- See the picks for our Chargers vs Chiefs TNF same-game parlay below
When it comes to sports betting, you typically want to zig when the public zags. Recreational gamblers are banking on a shootout tonight on Thursday Night Football, but we’re going to take a different approach with our Chargers vs Chiefs TNF same-game parlay.
Instead of banking on a repeat of Patrick Mahomes’ 5 TD Week 1 performance, our correlation is going to bet on the Chiefs once again playing from ahead, but this time with a heavier focus on the run game.
Chargers vs Chiefs TNF Same-Game Parlay Picks
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Under 54.5 Points | -115 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire 40+ Rushing Yards | -180 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire Anytime TD | +110 |
| Mike Williams Over 79.5 Receiving Yards | +150 |
| PARLAY ODDS | +1500 |
Odds as of September 15 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code.
This Thursday Night Football same-game parlay includes four separate legs, all of which must hit in order for the wager to cash. At first glance, under 54.5 points might surprise some, especially after the total in the Chiefs vs Chargers public betting trends opened at 52.5.
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Chargers vs Chiefs Under 54.5 Points
There’s a clear divide between sharps and squares on tonight’s total. 72% of the over/under bets are on the over, but those wagers represent just 37% of the total handle. The 28% of bets that are backing the under make up a whopping 63% of the money wagered on the total. That means big money bets are on the under, which is a strong indication of sharp money.
Since 2019, the under in Thursday Night Football games has hit 57% of the time 😳
In that time period, there have been 6 games that closed with a total of 53.5 points or higher…
The under cashed in all 6 of those games 👀 pic.twitter.com/qbuaacMdlh
— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) September 15, 2022
There’s also some historical data that suggests this game could underwhelm offensively. Since 2019 there have been six TNF games with a total north of 53.5, and all six have gone under the number.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 40+ Rushing Yards
KC is a 4-point favorite in the Chargers vs Chiefs picks, which suggests game script will be in their favor. That should give them more incentive to run the ball, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire looked great in his season debut.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire averaged 7.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (74 yards / 10 touches) in Week 1, 3rd-best among RBs.#ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/daBCLSx0f5
— Inside Edge NFL (@IE_NFL) September 15, 2022
CEH averaged 6.0 yards per carry in Week 1 versus the Cardinals and finished with 74 total yards from scrimmage. His workload would have been much heavier if the game had not been a blowout, so we should feel confident about his volume against a LA team that is much stronger than Arizona.
If there’s a weakness on the Chargers’ defense it’s versus the run, not necessarily due to personnel but more so as the result of their scheme. LA dares opponents to run the ball, which resulted in them yielding the third most rushing yards per game in 2021 (138.9).
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Anytime TD
CEH wasn’t featured in this week’s Chargers vs Chiefs props, but he is a serious TD threat. He was used creatively in the red zone in Week 1 not only on the ground, but in the passing game as well.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire has two touchdowns…through the air, that’s a HUGE development
He also just played on a fourth down, a role that used to belong to Darrel Williams
Lookin’ really good for CEH so far
— Adam Koffler (@AdamKoffler) September 11, 2022
With so much of the defensive attention on Travis Kelce, and rightfully so, expect CEH to have another large role in scoring position versus LA.
Mike Williams Over 79.5 Receiving Yards
If KC is playing from ahead, that means LA’s pass volume is likely to increase in catch-up mode. With Keenan Allen listed out in the Chargers vs Chiefs injury report, the door is open for a big Mike Williams performance.
Most 40+ yard receptions since 2018
Tyreek Hill 22
MIKE WILLIAMS 21
Stefon Diggs 19 pic.twitter.com/Q0kQpDZN2n— Pinhead Sports® (@_PinheadSports) September 7, 2022
Williams torched KC the last time he played in Arrowhead, catching seven of his nine targets for 122 yards and two scores. That was one of four 100+ receiving yard games for him last season, while he reached at least 80 yards on seven separate occasions.
Allen averages 10 targets per contest playing with Herbert, and the bulk of those targets aren’t going to go to Josh Palmer or Jalen Guyton in his absence if LA wants to stay competitive.
Claim a huge bonus for your TNF picks by checking out the best NFL betting sites for the top bonuses in the industry to use on tonight’s game.
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
