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NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Chargers vs Chiefs
By Chris Amberley in NFL Football
Updated:
- The Kansas City Chiefs, 4-point home favorites over the Los Angeles Chargers on Thursday Night Football in Week 2, are drawing 76% of the against the spread wagers
- Just 28% of the total bets are backing under 54 points, but those wagers make up 63% of the handle
- See all the Chargers vs Chiefs public betting and money percentages for TNF in the story below
Last September, the Los Angeles Chargers waltzed into Arrowhead and upset the Kansas City Chiefs on the strength of four Justin Herbert touchdown passes. 12 months later, the public isn’t betting on history repeating itself.
Money is pouring in on KC in the NFL public betting trends, and it has been since odds were first released.
Chargers vs Chiefs NFL Public Betting Splits
| Game | Spread | ATS Handle % | ATS Bet % | Total | O/U Handle % | O/U Bet % | Moneyline | ML Handle % | ML Bet % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Chargers | +4 | 22% | 24% | O 54 | 37% | 72% | +165 | 39% | 37% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -4 | 78% | 76% | U 54 | 63% | 28% | -195 | 61% | 63% |
Splits from DraftKings Sportsbook
Kansas City opened up as 3-point favorites in the Chargers vs Chiefs odds, but that number quickly shot up to -4 and then -4.5. There’s been a slight buyback on LA to move the line back down to -4, but any future movement appears to be heading in the Chiefs’ direction.
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Chargers vs Chiefs Against the Spread
As of Thursday morning, 76% of the against the spread wagers and 78% of the ATS money is backing KC. The Chiefs looked like juggernauts in Week 1, despite the loss of Tyreek Hill in the offseason.
No doubt ⏰ Congrats, @PatrickMahomes! pic.twitter.com/DxXVPFScWz
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) September 14, 2022
Patrick Mahomes and Co. hung 44 points on the Cardinals in a convincing 44-21 victory. Mahomes threw for 360 yards and 5 TD, while Travis Kelce, who’s featured in the Chargers vs Chiefs props this week, caught eight balls for 121 yards and a score.
KC easily covered the 6-point closing line, a number that rose 2.5 points in their favor throughout the course of the week. Dating back to last season, the Chiefs are 11-10 against the spread, but just 7-8 within the division.
As good as KC looked, LA was pretty impressive themselves. The Chargers took down the Raiders 24-19, thanks to three Herbert TD passes.
LA also covered in Week 1, and are 9-9 ATS since the start of last season. They’re 3-1 against the spread as a road dog during that stretch, but there’s a pair of clear reasons why this line has moved away from them.
Chargers ruled out WR Keenan Allen for Thursday night’s game vs. Chiefs due to his hamstring injury.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) September 14, 2022
First, Mahomes and the Chiefs were unstoppable in Week 1. Second, Keenan Allen, Herbert’s number one target is out with a hamstring injury.
Also potentially working against them is the status of JC Jackson. One of the Chargers’ top-two corners is still dealing with an ankle injury that forced him to miss the season opener.
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Chargers vs Chiefs Total
These two teams played to a pair of high-scoring games last year producing totals of 54 and 62 points. Thursday’s total opened at 52.5 but has since been bet up to 54. The public is banking on another shootout in their Chargers vs Chiefs picks, but they’re in clear disagreement with the sharps.
72% of the over/under tickets are currently on over 54, but those wagers make up only 37% of the handle. By contrast, just 28% of the over/under tickets are backing the under, but those bets make up for 63% of the total money wagered.
OUR HOUSE. PRIMETIME. TOMORROW 🔥 pic.twitter.com/4n8Bq222LL
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) September 15, 2022
Any time the handle is much greater than the percentage of tickets written it’s usually an indication of sharp money, as wise guys typically place much larger bets.
Chargers games are 10-8 to the over since the start of the 2021 season after their Week 1 game fell well short of the total. Chiefs contests meanwhile, are 12-8 to the over during the same timeframe, after their tilt last week with Arizona flew over the number.
Another injury to note if you’re planning on betting this game is the health of Harrison Butker. The Chiefs’ longtime, reliable field goal kicker is out with an ankle injury. His absence will force KC to rely on Matt Amendola, who’s made just 68% of his career field goal attempts.
The lack of a proven kicker may force Andy Reid to play more aggressively on fourth downs which could very easily have an impact on the total.
Chargers vs Chiefs Moneyline
As far as the moneyline goes, in the Chargers vs Chiefs public betting, we’ve seen a 40-cent move towards the Chiefs. It opened at -155, but currently sits at -195. 63% of bettors are comfortable laying that number, while their wagers make up 63% of the betting handle.
It’s worth noting, however, that LA not only upset KC as a road dog in 2021, but they also had them on the ropes as a home underdog as well, before falling in overtime.
Chris Amberley
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
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