Best Colts vs Broncos Same-Game Parlay for TNF
- Check out this three-leg Colts vs Broncos same-game parlay that features +310 odds for tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup
- Will the Broncos hold serve at home? How many passing yards will Russell Wilson rack up?
- Keep reading for the Week 5 Colts vs Broncos same-game parlay for TNF
Week 5 on the NFL calendar kicks off on Thursday Night Football with the Colts (1-2-1, 0-1-1 away) visiting the Broncos (2-2, 2-0 home). This matchup is far from must-see tv, that is until you create a Colts vs Broncos same-game parlay to sweat.
Luckily for you, we’ve taken care of the heavy lifting. We’ve scoured the oddsboard in search of some favorable bets to parlay together, built around a low-scoring Denver victory.
A massive 70% of the over/under bets in the Colts vs Broncos public betting splits are backing under 42, as is 73% of the money that’s been wagered on the total.
Colts vs Broncos Same-Game Parlay TNF Picks
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Denver Broncos Moneyline | -170 |
| Russell Wilson Over 219.5 Passing Yards | -140 |
| Indianapolis Colts Under 21.5 Points | -170 |
| PARLAY ODDS | +310 |
Odds as of October 6th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo where you can get up to a 100% profit boost on any SGP in Week 5, and a bonus bet if your TNF SGP doesn’t cash.
This Indianapolis-Denver same-game parlay features just three legs, but still offers juicy +310 odds. We’ll start by backing Denver at home on the moneyline, where they are undefeated so far this season.
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Denver Broncos Moneyline
The Broncos took down Houston at Empower Field at Mile High in Week 2 and squeaked past San Francisco there in Week 3. The Broncos are currently -3.5 point favorites on TNF, which gives them an implied win probability of 61.5%.
We believe their actual chances of winning this game are even higher, especially given the injuries that Indy is dealing with – more on that later.
The Colts rank dead last overall per DVOA, and have scored the fewest points in football. They’re averaging the seventh fewest yards per play, and have turned only 46% of their red zone trips into touchdowns.
In 2020, Philip Rivers took 19 sacks, losing 118 yards in 16 games.
In 2022, Matt Ryan has taken 15 sacks, losing 117 yards in four games.
— Jim Ayello (@jimayello) October 3, 2022
The Broncos are also off to an underwhelming start, but their offense showed signs of life last week. Denver put up 23 points on the road in Las Vegas, a full touchdown more than they’d scored in any of their three previous games. Indy is stout against the run but vulnerable against the pass. This should set up Russell Wilson for success, who threw for 237 yards and a season-high 2 TD last week.
Defensively, they took a step back against the Raiders, but this is still a very talented unit. Denver ranks eighth on that side of the ball per DVOA, and has surrendered the fifth fewest points in the NFL so far.
Russell Wilson Over 219.5 Passing Yards
Wilson’s passing yards over/under in the Colts vs Broncos player props is currently 230.5. We’re opting to take a slightly less aggressive line at 219.5, which Russ should have no problem clearing.
The Colts rank second in rush defense per DVOA but 27th versus the pass. They feature the league’s sixth lowest-graded coverage unit per Pro Football Focus, and a bottom-four pass rush.
Denver’s last handful of quarterbacks never would have converted this drive into a touchdown.
From 1st and 30 to 2nd and 7 that is absolutely why this team needs to let Russell Wilson cook. pic.twitter.com/1SQmnApane
— 𝘾𝙖𝙢𝙚𝙧𝙤𝙣 𝙋𝙖𝙧𝙠𝙚𝙧 (@CameronParkerPO) October 3, 2022
Wilson should have all day to throw and will likely take to the air more often than in previous games. That’s because lead RB Javonte Williams is done for the season, and the Broncos are sick of Melvin Gordon’s fumbling issues.
Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy give Wilson two above-average receiving weapons capable of running circles around Indy’s DBs.
Indianapolis Colts Under 21.5 Points
Jonathan Taylor, aka the number one or two pick in fantasy this season, is out for this game per the Colts vs Broncos injury report. That removes Indy’s number one skill position player from their lineup and places a much bigger emphasis on Matt Ryan’s arm.
Colts ruled out Jonathan Taylor for Thursday night’s game in Denver.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) October 5, 2022
That’s exactly what you want if you’re a Denver fan. The Broncos rank fourth in coverage and fifth in pass rush productivity per PFF, while Ryan has the fifth-worst passing grade among starting quarterbacks. The Colts have yet to exceed 20 points all season, while no team in football allows a lower touchdown rate in the red zone than Denver (33.3%).
It’s no surprise given the information above, that one of our NFL experts is hammering the under in the Colts vs Broncos picks.
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
