Best MNF Touchdown Bets for Week 4 – Anytime TD Picks for NYJ vs MIA and CIN vs DEN
By Sascha Paruk in NFL News
Published:
- See the first touchdown and anytime TD odds for today’s Monday Night Football doubleheader (Jets vs Dolphins, Bengals vs Broncos)
- Is JK Dobbins good value to score a touchdown at short odds?
- Get the best Monday Night Football touchdown bets for Jets vs Dolphins, and Bengals vs Broncos
Monday Night Football in Week 4 brings a rare doubleheader, starting with the New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins at 7:00 pm ET, followed shortly thereafter by the Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos.
Below, I have set out the Monday Night Football touchdown props and odds for both games, starting with Jets/Dolphins. Under each table, find my favorite MNF touchdown bets for the relevant game.
Jump to: NYJ vs MIA Touchdown Odds & Picks || CIN vs DEN Touchdown Odds & Picks
Jets vs Dolphins Touchdown Odds for MNF
Miami dual-threat running back Devon Achane has the best odds to score the first TD (+500) and the shortest odds to score an anytime touchdown (-120). No other player is shorter than +140 to find the end zone.
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Best Jets vs Dolphins Touchdown Bet: Breece Hall Anytime TD
Given the Dolphins’ league-worst run defense, which is allowing an average of 145 rushing yards per game and 4.53 yards per carry, NYJ RB1 Breece Hall presents excellent betting value for an anytime touchdown scorer at +160 odds (38.46% implied win probability).
Hall is the focal point of the Jets’ run-heavy offense, averaging 4.59 yards per carry, and is expected to receive a significant workload. His ability to break tackles and find the end zone against a struggling Miami front makes him a prime candidate to score, offering a strong return on investment for bettors.
Hall is also a prime candidate for regression to the mean; he had eight last year and nine the prior, but has yet to find the end zone in his fourth season in the league, despite his team-high 38 carries and 13 targets. He scored one touchdown in his lone game against Miami last season, a 32-20 Week 18 victory.
Check out SBD’s other Jets vs Dolphins bets to tail:
Bengals vs Broncos Touchdown Odds for Monday Night Football
Broncos RB1 is the favorite in the first-touchdown odds at +475 and the only player who’s an odds-on favorite to score an anytime touchdown (-125).
On the Cincinnati side, running back Chase Brown has the best anytime TD odds at +750. No other Bengal players is shorter than +1300 with Jake Browning piloting the offense.
Best Bengals vs Broncos Touchdown Pick: JK Dobbins First TD (+475)
Dobbins stands out as the best anytime touchdown bet for several reasons. The Broncos have clearly established Dobbins as their offensive centerpiece; his 41 carries are more than double any other player on the team, and he has another six targets as a receiver (four catches). His rushing-attempts prop of 14.5 is juiced to the over at -128, projecting more heavy volume for Denver’s lead back.
Dobbins also plays a crucial red-zone role for Denver, a team that converts 62.5% of its opportunities inside the 20-yard line. Dobbins has scored one touchdown in each game so far this season, and now faces arguably the worst rush defense he’s seen all year.
Check out SBD’s other Bengals vs Broncos bets to tail:
- Bengals vs Broncos Picks & Predictions
- Bengals vs Broncos Player Props to Bet
- Best CIN vs DEN Same-Game Parlay for MNF
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.