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Best Player Props & Anytime TD Picks for Commanders/Cowboys

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in NFL News

Published:


Best NFL Betting Promos for NFL Week 1. Dak Prescott.
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) throws a pass during the second quarter against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium. Credit: Vincent Carchietta / Imagn Images via Reuters Connect
  • The Washington Commanders square off with the Dallas Cowboys in Week 2 action Sunday
  • Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb are the focus for my favorite bets in this massive tilt
  • See the NFL player props odds and anytime touchdown scorer prices for this NFC East grudge match

Sunday afternoon, a hugely important NFC East clash features the Washington Commanders and Dallas Cowboys. Both squads lost their Week 1 games, so a victory is pertinent in this affair. It’ll take place at AT&T Stadium with a 4:25 PM ET / 1:25 PM PT kickoff on FOX with Dallas the favorite in the NFL odds.

I’m zeroing in on the player prop markets to find some intriguing bets, along with selections in the anytime TD scorer market for this Commanders vs Cowboys battle.

Commanders vs Cowboys Player Props

PlayerPassing YardsCompletionsPassing TDs
Dak Prescott (DAL)264.5 (O-115/U-115)22.5 (O-125/U-105)1.5 (O-200/U+150)
Jayden Daniels (WAS)221.5 (O-115/U-115)20.5 (O-105/U-125)1.5 (O+110/U-149)

Jayden Daniels has seen his passing yardage total climb from an opening 205.5 up to 221.5. His completions prop also ticked up to 20.5, hinting that the market expects Washington to abandon the ground and pound approach for a pass-heavy script. Dak Prescott’s yardage line saw a marginal bump to 264.5.

Rushing and Receiving Props

PlayerRushing YardsRush AttemptsReceiving YardsReceptions
Jayden Daniels (WAS)38.5 (O-115/U-115)7.5 (O-112/U-118)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (WAS)51.5 (O-115/U-115)13.5 (O-110/U-120)
Rachaad White (WAS)23.5 (O-111/U-120)12.5 (O-120/U-110)2.5 (O+145/U-200)
Stefon Diggs (WAS)47.5 (O-120/U-111)4.5 (O-125/U-105)
Javonte Williams (DAL)77.5 (O-115/U-115)17.5 (O-115/U-115)14.5 (O+100/U-133)2.5 (O+100/U-133)
Dak Prescott (DAL)7.5 (O-111/U-120)2.5 (O-162/U+126)
CeeDee Lamb (DAL)76.5 (O-115/U-115)5.5 (O-154/U+115)
George Pickens (DAL)66.5 (O-115/U-115)4.5 (O-133/U+100)

Early tickets pushed Stefon Diggs from 44.5 to 47.5 receiving yards. CeeDee Lamb’s receiving prop remains the highest on the board at 76.5. On the ground, Jacory Croskey-Merritt dropped from an opening 54.5 to 51.5 rushing yards. Javonte Williams saw his rushing total crawl up to 77.5, suggesting strong volume expectations.

WSH vs DAL Touchdown Props

PlayerAnytime TDFirst TD
Javonte Williams (DAL)-187+425
CeeDee Lamb (DAL)+122+750
Jacory Merritt (WAS)+138+750
Terry McLaurin (WAS)+222+1350
Jayden Daniels (WAS)+244+1300
Stefon Diggs (WAS)+270+1400
Rachaad White (WAS)+270+1250
Jake Ferguson (DAL)+284+1400

When hunting for players to find pay dirt, Kalshi offers vastly superior payouts for anytime touchdown scorers in this matchup compared to traditional books. Javonte Williams remains the favorite to find the end zone, but you can grab him at -150 on Kalshi instead of -187 elsewhere. CeeDee Lamb offers positive value at +122.

  • Dak Prescott: Dak Prescott has exceeded 33.5 passing attempts in six of his last eight games (34.0 passing attempts/game average).
  • Jayden Daniels: Jayden Daniels has not thrown an interception in four of his last five games on the road (0.2 interceptions/game average).
  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Jacory Croskey-Merritt has failed to exceed 51.5 rushing yards in nine of his last twelve games (43.7 rushing yards/game average).
  • Javonte Williams: Javonte Williams has failed to exceed 76.5 rushing yards in three of his last four games (55.5 rushing yards/game average).
  • CeeDee Lamb: CeeDee Lamb has exceeded 5.5 receptions in four of his last five games at home (6.0 receptions/game average).
  • Terry McLaurin: Terry McLaurin has failed to exceed 4.5 receptions in five straight games on the road (3.0 receptions/game average).
  • Jake Ferguson: Jake Ferguson has failed to exceed 27.5 receiving yards in five straight games (10.4 receiving yards/game average).

Best NFL Player Props to Bet: Commanders vs Cowboys

Finding true value on the NFL props board means isolating individual performance history rather than buying into broad team narratives. Let’s lock in the top sports betting picks for this divisional matchup.

Dak Prescott: Over 33.5 Pass Attempts (-125 at BetMGM)

I am bullish on Dak Prescott to clear 33.5 passing attempts. Prescott’s individual tendency to command pocket presence and air it out makes this a fantastic opportunity. He consistently relies on volume to move the chains, secure crucial third down conversions, and control the field position battle.

  • The Trend: Dak Prescott has exceeded 33.5 passing attempts in six of his last eight games (34.0 passing attempts/game average).

With a strong hit rate backing us up, taking the over on his NFL passing attempts props provides a mathematical edge.

CeeDee Lamb: Over 5.5 Receptions (-122 at Kalshi)

Prediction Markets
Lamb Receptions Prop
Learn more about Prediction Markets
Kalshi
Lamb Over 5.5 Catches
55%

If Prescott drops back frequently, his primary read will eat. CeeDee Lamb had just five receptions Week 1 vs the Giants, but he typically snags more catches at home.

  • The Trend: CeeDee Lamb has exceeded 5.5 receptions in four of his last five games at home (6.0 receptions/game average).

By locking in his NFL receptions props, I’m tailing a high-volume receiver who thrives in his home building.

Jake Ferguson Anytime Touchdown (+285 at Kalshi)

Prediction Markets
Ferguson TD Pick
Learn more about Prediction Markets
Kalshi
Ferguson Anytime TD
26%

Since 2025, Jake Ferguson leads the Dallas Cowboys with 24 red zone targets (averaging 1.33 RZ targets/game), surpassing even CeeDee Lamb (19 RZ targets). He has accounted for seven red zone touchdowns during that span. His +285 price has a 26% implied probability and he scored at least one TD in 35.3% of games in 2025 (six of 17 games, eight total rec TDs).

WSH vs DAL Injury Reports

TeamPlayer NamePositionInjuryStatus
DALDeMarvion OvershownLBHamstringDNP
DALMalik HookerSAFForearmDNP
WASJaylin LaneWRGroinLimited
WASCharles OmenihuDEAnkleLimited
WASJavon KinlawDTBackLimited
WASFrankie LuvuLBGroinDNP
WASChig OkonkwoTEHamstringDNP
WASOdafe OwehOLBCalfLimited
Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

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