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Bovada Favors Adam Thielen to Lead NFL in Receptions; Value in Michael Thomas?

Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Adam Thielen
Adam Thielen leads the NFL with 93 receptions this season. Photo by Keith Allison (flickr) [CC License].
  • Adam Thielen leads the league with 93 receptions 
  • Michael Thomas sits in 2nd with 86 receptions
  • See the odds to finish with the most

As we head into the final five weeks of the season there are two wide receivers that are standing out from the rest of the pack.

Adam Thielen is favored to lead the league in receptions in 2018, but Michael Thomas is right on his tail. Which one will prevail?

Odds to Lead the NFL in Receptions in 2018

Player Pos Team Odds to win 2018 NFL Recepetion Leader at Bovada
Adam Thielen WR MIN -300
Michael Thomas WR NO +400
Zach Ertz TE PHI +500
Julio Jones WR ATL +500
Stefon Diggs WR MIN +4000

Julio Jones, Zack Ertz, and, Thielen’s fellow teammate, Stefon Diggs round out the top five in Bovada’s odds.

Why You Should Bet on Thielen

For the first eight weeks of the season, Thielen was averaging over 100 yards per game.

A big reason for this was the addition of quarterback Kirk Cousins in the off-season. Cousins spent time training and working with Thielen and Diggs, and the work has certainly paid off. Both players are in the top five for receptions.

Just like he did in Philadelphia, new offensive coordinator John DeFilippo has found way to get his best targets involved. Thielen has yet to see less then seven targets a game and he is averaging 11.3 targets a game.

Even with defenses starting to game plan for him, he still makes big plays down the field. He has posted at least 100 yards in nine of 11 games this season.

NFL Reception Leaders

Player Pos Team Receptions
Adam Thielen WR MIN 93
Michael Thomas WR NO 86
Zach Ertz TE PHI 84
Julio Jones WR ATL 84
Stefon Diggs WR MIN 79

Thomas should keep it close

If there is one thing working to Thomas’ benefit, it’s that unlike in Minnesota where Cousins has Thielen and Diggs to throw to, Thomas is the guy in New Orleans. When there is a big play to be made, Thomas is usually the number one option.

However there are two factors that hurt Thomas’s chances: (1) the Saints are blowing teams out of the water, and (2) they can rely on Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram on the ground.

The last close game the Saints played was back in Week 7 against the Baltimore Ravens. Since then, Brees and company have been running up the score on teams and Thomas is less needed as the game goes on.

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Sam has done everything from writing, reporting, commentating, and broadcasting for CBC Sports, TSN 690, the Toronto Observer, Oshawa Generals Radio, and The Hockey Writers. His portfolio of game reports, analyses, and features demonstrate just how dedicated Sam is to the sports betting game.