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Chiefs vs Eagles Props – Best Player Props to Bet

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Updated Oct 2, 2021 · 4:00 PM PDT

Jalen Hurts rolling out with football in right hand
Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) scrambles against the Dallas Cowboys during an NFL football game in Arlington, Texas, Monday, Sept. 27, 2021. (AP Photo/Michael Ainsworth)
  • The Kansas City Chiefs visit the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 4 play
  • Last week’s prop picks: 4-1. Overall: 6-7, -1.165 units
  • See the odds, spread, analysis, and best prop bets below

Now that’s what we’re talking about. Save for Clyde Edwards-Helaire unexpectedly coming back to life, we would have run the table in our Week 3 prop bets.

Let’s keep the good times rolling, and stick with these same Chiefs, who are in Philadelphia, to take on an Eagles team that got dusted by the Cowboys on Monday night.

Kansas City is an overwhelming road favorite in this one. We’ve got you set with a preview for this 1pm ET kickoff Sunday from Lincoln Financial Field.

For now, let’s work on getting on the plus side with some player prop bets.

Chiefs vs Eagles Player Props

Passer Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 25.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 305.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 2.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 20.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) OFF 1.5 (Ov +110 / Un -145)
Rusher Rushing Attempts Rushing Yards Longest Rush
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) 13.5 (Ov -135 / Un +105) 57.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 14.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)
Miles Sanders (PHI) 12.5 (Ov -135 / Un +100) 59.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 14.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 8.5 (Ov +100/ Un -135) 50.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 15.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)
Patrick Mahomes (KC) OFF 13.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 9.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Clyde-Edwards-Helaire (KC) 2.5 (Ov +120 / Un -165) OFF 9.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130)
Travis Kelce (KC) 7.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) 92.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 25.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)
Demarcus Robinson (KC) 1.5 (Ov -170 / Un +125) OFF 13.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)
Tyreek Hill (KC) 5.5 (Ov -135 / Un +100) 73.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 25.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)
Mecole Hardman (KC) 3.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 37.5 ( Ov -120 / Un -110) 17.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)
Dallas Goedert (PHI) 2.5 (Ov -165 / Un +125) OFF 16.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Devonta Smith (PHI) 3.5 (Ov -160 / Un +120) 47.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)
Jalen Reagor (PHI) 3.5 (Ov -135 / Un +100) 44.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 19.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Miles Sanders (PHI) 2.5 (Ov -155 / Un +115) OFF 11.5 ( Ov -110 / Un -120)
Quez Watkins (PHI) 2.5 (Ov +135 / Un -180) 23.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 14.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)
Zach Ertz (PHI) 2.5 (Ov +105 / Un -140) OFF 14.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)

Odds taken Oct 2 from DraftKings

Hurts Hits Paydirt

Hard to believe, but since taking over as starter with five games to play last season until now, Jalen Hurts has only thrown more than two TD passes three times. Two of them, however, have come in three games this year, including a 3-TD day to whip the Falcons, and two TD tosses last time out in a loss to Dallas.

Everyone thinks the key to beating the Chiefs is to run the ball, but in truth, you’ve got to be able to score points. Not surprisingly, the 30-point threshold is where you’re going to need to get to. Justin Herbert is the first QB to throw for 2+ TDs in a game against KC this season, but the Chiefs were up against power run-heavy attacks in Baltimore and Cleveland to start.

There are throws to be made against this defense, which is surrendering 9.1 yards per attempt — tied for the fourth-worst mark in football.

While the emphasis will be to get Miles Sanders involved (a stinking two carries against Dallas), Hurts has to be able to stand in the pocket and pick apart the defense. I like the plus odds here.

Pick:

  • Hurts OVER 1.5 TD passes (1 unit to win 1.1 units)

Shadowing Hill

Part of the success of the Ravens and Chargers in back-to-back weeks was the emphasis on containing Tyreek Hill. He’s elite at taking the top of the defense, but he’s been held mostly in check since a Week 1 11-catch, 197-yard, 1 TD performance against the Browns.

Since that game, he’s been held to eight catches for 70 yards and no TD’s, as defenses continue to provide their defensive backs help over the top.

Obviously, the Chiefs would love to get their playmaker the ball more, but Patrick Mahomes really does operate in an equal opportunity offense, taking what the defense gives him. And while that means a steady diet of Travis Kelce and more involvement from Mecole Hardman and Demarcus Robinson, they seem fine with letting Hill garner that attention while they work the rest of the field.

I think Hill gets involved more, but again, loving the plus odds here.

Pick:

  • Hill UNDER 5.5 receptions (1 unit to win 1 unit)

Chiefs vs Eagles Scoring Props

Player First Touchdown Scorer Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Tyreek Hill (KC) +650 -140
Travis Kelce (KC) +650 -150
Clyde-Edwards-Helaire (KC)
+800 -110
Miles Sanders (PHI) +900 +120
Jalen Hurts (PHI) +1100 +140
Mecole Hardman (KC) +1400 +180
Devonta Smith (PHI) +1500 +200
Patrick Mahomes (KC) +1800 +250
Darrel Williams (KC) +1800 +250
Kenneth Gainwell (PHI) +1800 +225
Jalen Reagor (PHI) +1800 +225

Who Scores?

DraftKings tells us to keep an eye on the usual suspects, and they’re probably right.

Kelce has scored a TD in six of his last seven regular season games, though that one miss was last week against the Chargers. Hill has found paydirt in five of Kansas City’s last seven road games.

The Chiefs have surrendered a TD to a running back in every game this season, so a flier on Sanders at +120 isn’t a bad bargain, either.

  • Pick: Sanders to score anytime TD (1 unit to win 1.20 units)
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