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NFL Divisional Odds – Packers Still NFC North Favorites, 49ers Take Over in NFC West Despite Loss

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Sep 11, 2022 · 7:52 PM PDT

Trey Lance tackled into ground
Sep 11, 2022; Chicago, Illinois, USA; San Francisco 49ers quarterback Trey Lance (5) is tackled after a run by Chicago Bears inside linebacker Roquan Smith (58) in the fourth quarter at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Bartel-USA TODAY Sports
  • Green Bay Packers lose in Week 1, but maintain favorite status in NFC North
  • 49ers move past Rams in NFC West despite losing in Chicago
  • A look at all the division odds along with analysis can be found below

Week 1 of the NFL is just about in the books, and there were a plenty of divisional matchups scattered along the slate.

In the AFC East, Buffalo may be king, but the Miami Dolphins showed they may be the Bills’ chief combatants after beating up on the New England Patriots.

In the AFC North, the Cincinnati Bengals’ maiden voyage after losing in the Super Bowl last year wasn’t smooth sailing, as a hail of turnovers and missed kicks ended in a costly overtime loss to the Steelers.

And in what seemed like the wildest of showdowns, the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans looked as even as could be in a 20-20 tie, despite Indy favored to win the AFC South, and Houston expected to be among the worst teams in the league.

2022 NFL Divisional Odds

AFC East Odds
Buffalo Bills -300
Miami Dolphins +450
New England Patriots +900
New York Jets +5000
AFC North Odds
Baltimore Ravens +110
Cincinnati Bengals +300
Cleveland Browns +350
Pittsburgh Steelers +550
AFC South Odds
Indianapolis Colts -140
Tennessee Titans +225
Jacksonville Jaguars +700
Houston Texans +1800
AFC West Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +165
Los Angeles Chargers +200
Denver Broncos +275
Las Vegas Raiders +900
NFC East Odds
Philadelphia Eagles +130
Dallas Cowboys +140
Washington Football Team +675
New York Giants +850
NFC North Odds
Green Bay Packers +110
Minnesota Vikings +150
Detroit Lions +700
Chicago Bears +1100
NFC South Odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -280
New Orleans Saints +320
Carolina Panthers +1100
Atlanta Falcons +3500
NFC West Odds
San Francisco 49ers +110
Los Angeles Rams +160
Arizona Cardinals +500
Seattle Seahawks +1800

Odds as of September 11th at DraftKings

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Status Quo For Division Favorites

For the most part, the favorites in the 2023 NFL Divisional odds took care of business in Week 1 — we’ll discuss more of the the disappointments below.

Patrick Mahomes lived up to his billing as one of the favorites in the 2023 NFL MVP odds, as he eviscerated the Arizona Cardinals on the road to the tune of 44-21.

In the North, Baltimore shut down a limited New York Jets offense, but Lamar Jackson showed no ill effects of a contract impasse, throwing for three TD strikes in a 24-9 win.

And the Eagles showed they’re ready to battle for the top seed in the NFC East, as Jalen Hurts helped Philly put up 38 points in a three-point win over the Lions.

Packers Struggle, Still NFC North Favorite

Perhaps one of the biggest surprises on Sunday was the thorough beating the Minnesota Vikings put on the Green Bay Packers in a 23-7 win.

Expected to contend with the reigning division champs of the North, Minnesota showed a more explosive offense under new head coach Kevin O’ Connell, while restoring a defense that had been its bread and butter in the Mike Zimmer era.

Justin Jefferson might be the best receiver in the NFL not named Cooper Kupp, and he was unstoppable, catching nine passes for a career-high 184 yards and a pair of scores.

Aaron Rodgers looked out of sorts all day, throwing for just 195 yards and an interception, while getting sacked four times. The problem wasn’t the O-line, though, as Rodgers could not find receivers downfield. That was expected to be their weakness early on, as they dealt all-pro receiver Davante Adams to the Raiders, without much of a contingency plan.

Green Bay still holds favorite status, but the gap is closing. They entered Week 1 with -170 odds, and they now sit at +110 odds. Minnesota, meanwhile, shortened from +150 from +250.

This is a team that also looked awful in a blowout loss to the Saints in Week 1 a year ago, and all they did was roll to a division title. Getting them at plus odds is a great time to make a bet.


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49ers Fall But Take Top Spot in NFC West

How bad was the 49ers’ loss to the Bears? Somehow, oddsmakers felt it wasn’t as bad as the Rams getting blasted by the Buffalo Bills in the season opener.

The Rams dropped from their +120 perch atop the West down to +160 and into second place, ceding to San Francisco. The Niners, however, didn’t do much in their opener. In fact, they put up just 331 total yards in a 19-10 loss to the Bears, a sloppy affair that included two turnovers.

Trey Lance did make some notable plays, but also struggled in his debut as the undisputed number one pivot for San Fran, going 13-for-28 for 164 yards and an interception. The team also lost starting running back Elijah Mitchell to a knee injury.

Yet somehow, they climb from +160 to +110 odds.

I think the right bet here is the Rams. For now, LA at +160 seems like a great price. The Rams have star power at many key positions, particularly at pivot where Matt Stafford is leaps ahead of Lance.

The young QB must make significant strides if the 49ers plan on winning the division.

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