- The Eagles opened at +2000 to win Super Bowl 54
- Their odds have steadily improved through free agency and the draft
- Is there any betting value left with Philadelphia, or are other NFC heavyweights the better pick at this point?
A productive offseason continued for the Philadelphia Eagles at the 2019 NFL Draft. The Eagles built on a series of offseason signings at the Draft, addressing positional needs and adding depth.
The squad’s moves have not gone unnoticed, with Philadelphia making steady gains in Super Bowl futures betting. They now sit just shy of the favorites at +1400 to win the Lombardi Trophy in 2020.
Odds to Win Super Bowl LIV
|New England Patriots||+800|
|Los Angeles Rams||+900|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+1000|
|New Orleans Saints||+1000|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+1400|
*Odds taken on 05/03/19
Eagles Hampered by Inconsistency in 2018
The Eagles struggled to produce consistent results during the 2018 NFL season. The squad entered Thanksgiving Weekend with a middling 4-6 record, and were once again forced to turn to Super Bowl 52 hero Nick Foles late in the season after shutting down starting quarterback Carson Wentz with a back injury.
Carson Wentz Speaking for 1st time since being shut down:
"super frustrating. You want to play postseason football… I still have zero games of postseason football under my belt. I still have a lot to prove in that regard… the human side of it though is frustrating"@6abc pic.twitter.com/DIagZImUBA
— Jeff Skversky 6abc (@JeffSkversky) January 14, 2019
Of course, Foles did what he does best, rallying the Eagles to three straight victories to eke out a playoff berth and a subsequent victory on Wild Card Weekend.
But they bowed out of the postseason in the NFC Divisional Playoffs, and then Foles left in free agency. That led to the squad opening with lengthy +2000 Super Bowl odds.
A Busy Offseason in Philadelphia
However, with Wentz on the mend, the Eagles embarked on a signing spree, coming to terms with free agent defensive tackle Malik Jackson and extending center Jason Kelce, while pulling the trigger on a deal to re-acquire wide receiver DeSean Jackson from Tampa Bay.
QB: Carson Wentz
RB: Jordan Howard
WR: Alshon Jeffery
TE: Zach Ertz
— Bryce Zielinski (@zbryce21) April 27, 2019
Those moves helped lift Philadelphia to a +1600 bet going into the Draft, where they also made additions that could have immediate impact. Howie Roseman added offensive tackle Andre Dillard out of Washington State, running back Miles Sanders out of Penn State, and receiver JJ Arcega-Whiteside from Stanford.
But have the Eagles done enough to deserve serious consideration as the strongest Super Bowl bet in the NFC?
Wentz Key to Eagles Success in 2019
A lot of Philly’s success/failure will depend on Wentz. Taken second overall by the Eagles in 2016, Wentz has been plagued by injuries in each of the past two seasons, and now faces real concerns about his long-term durability. Should Wentz once again be sidelined by injury, the Eagles won’t have Foles to rescue them in 2019. Nate Sudfeld is #2 on the depth chart.
Should Wentz once again be sidelined by injury, the Eagles won’t have Foles to rescue them in 2019.
In addition, the Eagles are far from a lock to return to the top of the NFC East, despite currently sitting as -105 chalk in the divisional futures.
Last season’s division champions, the Dallas Cowboys, had a quiet winter, but have been largely successful in keeping the group together that won 10 games last season. They should also be getting Travis Frederick back from Guillain-Barré Syndrome, an autoimmune disease that cost the two-time All-Pro center the entire 2018 season.
— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) May 3, 2019
Then of course there are the NFC’s big three, the Chicago Bears, New Orleans Saints, and defending conference champion Los Angeles Rams.
While the Bears entered the winter in need of upgrades on offense, and were without a pick until the third round of the NFL Draft, they remain a formidable defensive force.
Rams, Saints Remain Teams to Beat in NFC
Both the Rams and Saints return to action with lots to prove. With Drew Brees under center, the Saints will once again be among the top scoring teams in the NFL, while the experience gained from last February’s trip to the Super Bowl will likely benefit the Rams.
The #LARams have overtaken the #Saints in the 2019 #NFC Championship odds. We take a closer look at just why that is and which teams are the best value in the latest 2019 #NFL futures. https://t.co/cySuoh3xbR
— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) May 3, 2019
In addition, both the Saints and Rams are likely to benefit from playing in weak divisions.
New Orleans is the only NFC South squad favored to win over 8.0 games, while the Seattle Seahawks, who are pegged as a -110 bet to win over 8.5 games, are once again the most likely team to pose any threat to the Rams in the NFC West.
A lot can change in a matter of weeks in the NFL, as the Eagles discovered last season. However, it is likely to take a number of breakthrough performances, the continued good health of Carson Wentz, and a little bad luck among the Eagles’ NFC rivals to bring the Super Bowl back to Philadelphia.
Pick: Saints to win Super Bowl LIV (+1000)
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