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Early NFL Props to Target for Conference Championships

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in NFL Football

Published:


Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen leaps over Kansas City Chiefs safety
Nov 17, 2024; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) leaps over Kansas City Chiefs safety Chamarri Conner (27) to get a first down at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-Imagn Images

 

  • NFL player props are available for the Conference Championships
  • I’m backing Josh Allen as an anytime TD scorer at plus odds
  • Read below for the best Early NFL Props to Target for Conference Championship Sunday

The NFL Playoffs are down to the final four teams, with the Chiefs, Bills, Eagles and Commanders set to battle it out on Conference Championship Sunday. Sportsbooks have released a slew of early prop betting lines for us to jump on before the public bettors get their hands on them.

Among the top NFL player props I’m targeting for the Conference Championships is Bills QB Josh Allen to score a touchdown at anytime at +115 odds. I also like Allen to go over his rushing attempts prop.

Let’s break down the NFL player props I’m locking in for the upcoming conference title games.

Conference Championship NFL Player Props

Prop Odds Sportsbook
Josh Allen anytime TD scorer +115 MGM
Josh Allen over 9.5 rushing attempts -102 FanDuel
Terry McLaurin 60+ receiving yards -135 DraftKings

NFL player prop odds as of Jan. 21, 2025. Browse the top NFL betting apps for player props.

Conference Championship TD Props – Josh Allen Anytime TD Scorer

I’m jumping all over Josh Allen to find the end zone at anytime as a +115 underdog in the AFC Championship. The Bills superstar QB had multiple touchdowns in seven games this season, including last week against the Ravens.

Allen doesn’t need to use his arm to score, as his 12 rushing TDs ranked second among all QBs. The Wyoming product had two rushing scores last week, and will be Buffalo’s top option in the red zone against a Chiefs defense that allowed the 8th-most rushing TDs to opposing QBs.

In three career playoff meetings with the Chiefs, Allen has amassed 802 passing yards, 7 touchdowns, and just 1 interception. He had a rushing TD in their regular-season meeting in Week 11.

At plus odds, I love the value on Allen to reach the painted area on Sunday. It’s the AFC Championship, and I expect the Bills to empty the playbook. Look for Allen to call his own number on a few carries, especially in scoring range against this vulnerable KC front.

  • NFL Player Prop Pick: Josh Allen anytime TD scorer (+115 at MGM); risk 1.35 units
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Conference Championship Rushing Props – Josh Allen Rushing Attempts

Sticking with the Bills’ dual-threat QB, I’m hammering the over on his rushing attempts prop of 9.5. Allen’s passing has been down lately, but he’s made up for it with his legs. He had 10 rushes last week vs Baltimore and 12 carries for 55 yards in the first meeting with KC.

While Allen only gained 20 yards on the ground against the Ravens, the attempts were there, and that’s what matters for this prop. The Bills seem content to use him as a runner to move the chains and keep drives alive.

I expect a close game with the total set at 47.5 points. If it comes down to the wire, there’s no doubt Buffalo will rely on Allen’s legs to make plays. Getting to double-digit carries is very attainable, especially with how much Buffalo will need to score to keep up.

The juice is heavy on the Under, so we will take this prop line any day. Allen has averaged 6.3 rushes per game this season, but has exceeded 9.5 attempts in his last two playoff games vs the Chiefs. I’m trusting the larger sample size and the magnitude of this game.

  • NFL Player Prop Pick: Josh Allen over 9.5 rushing attempts (-102 at FanDuel); risk 1 unit

Conference Championship Receiving Props – Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards

Rounding out my top NFL prop picks, I’m backing Commanders WR Terry McLaurin to go over 60 receiving yards against the Eagles. The 27-year-old is coming off a monster performance in the upset win over the Lions, hauling in 4 balls for 87 yards.

McLaurin has been on an absolute tear in the playoffs, topping 85 receiving yards in both games while finding the end zone once. He led the Commanders with 82 receptions and 1,096 yards in the regular-season, cementing his status as Jayden Daniels’ go-to target.

Philly has a stingy secondary, but McLaurin had no issues against them in December, recording 60 yards and a TD. With rookie CB Quinyon Mitchell banged up, the Eagles are a bit more vulnerable on the back-end, especially against an alpha like TMC.

At -135 odds, the juice is tolerable to lay for McLaurin to reach the 60-yard mark. He’s surpassed this total in 11 of 19 games, and will need to be heavily involved if the Commanders want to advance to their first Super Bowl since 1991.

  • NFL Player Prop Pick: Terry McLaurin 60+ receiving yards (-135 at DraftKings); risk 1 unit

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Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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