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Christian McCaffrey Listed as a Top-3 Contender for NFL MVP at +750 Odds

Jake Mitchell

by Jake Mitchell in NFL Football

Updated Apr 3, 2020 · 10:27 AM PDT

Christian McCaffrey running with the ball
Christian McCaffrey is looking to become the first RB to win MVP since Adrian Peterson in 2012. Photo by Leslie Plaza Johnson/Icon Sportswire.
  • Christian McCaffrey’s 2019 Most Valuable Player odds improved by nearly 500% after Week 5
  • The Panthers’ RB went from a distant +3900 longshot all the way to +750
  • Only two players – Patrick Mahomes and Russell Wilson – are ahead of him in the odds

Christian McCaffrey had a monster game on Sunday against Jacksonville, gashing the Jaguar defense, both on the ground and as a receiver, displaying the versatility that makes him so dangerous.

His 237-yard, three-touchdown masterpiece took him all the way to +750 in the updated odds to win NFL MVP. Prior to Sunday, he sat outside the top ten, way back at +3900.

Odds to Win 2019 NFL MVP

Player Odds
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs, QB) +125
Russell Wilson (Seahawks, QB) +275
Christian McCaffrey (Panthers, RB) +750
Deshaun Watson (Texans, QB) +750
Aaron Rodgers (Packers, QB) +1200
Tom Brady (Patriots, QB) +1200
Carson Wentz (Eagles, QB) +2000
Dak Prescott (Cowboys, QB) +2000
Jimmy Garoppolo (49ers, QB) +2500
Lamar Jackson (Ravens, QB) +3300

*Odds as of Oct. 8.

Is McCaffrey a Safe Bet?

There is no doubt that the Panther running back is playing at a high level. His numbers on Sunday were tremendous. Against the Jaguars, McCaffrey carried the ball 19 times for 176 yards, an average of 9.3 yards per carry. He found the end zone twice on the ground, and also added 61 yards on nine receptions with another score through the air.

When it comes to MVP, however, he still faces an uphill battle. A running back hasn’t taken home the award since 2012, and it took a historic season from Adrian Peterson to do so.

Recent NFL MVP Winners

Year NFL MVP Position
2018 Patrick Mahomes QB
2017 Tom Brady QB
2016 Matt Ryan QB
2015 Cam Newton QB
2014 Aaron Rodgers QB
2013 Peyton Manning QB
2012 Adrian Peterson RB

This league loves its quarterbacks, and again this year, there are plenty to choose from. McCaffrey has a shot at winning MVP, but by no means is it safe to bet against the likes of Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, and the other elite quarterbacks in the league.

Russell Wilson Makes a Jump

Much like McCaffrey, Russell Wilson has inserted himself into the top echelon of NFL MVP candidates. Similarly, Wilson’s jump also comes after a huge performance in Week 5. In a Thursday night thriller, the Seahawk quarterback completed 73.9 percent of his attempts, and found the end zone through the air on four separate occasions.

Even the non-scoring plays were electric.

Now sitting at second in MVP odds at +275, this improvement has many bettors kicking themselves. Prior to the regular season, Wilson’s odds to be the NFL’s MVP were as high as +2800. After Week 3, he still sat at +2700 to win the award, and before that huge game against the Rams, he was at +1800.

All it takes is one big game on national TV to make the league take notice. He had been hovering in the top ten, but after this weekend, Wilson has now entrenched himself as one of the favorites to take home the 2019 MVP award.

What’s The Best Bet?

Mahomes and Wilson are the two quarterbacks currently at the top of race, but it’s hard to ignore Aaron Rodgers at +1200 odds. The Packers didn’t have the cleanest start to the year with Rodgers and head coach Matt Lafleur learning to work together, but lately, they are trending upwards.

Against Philadelphia in Week 4, Rodgers threw for 422 yards, and also led the team in rushing. The Packers jumped out to a huge lead against Dallas, so they didn’t have to throw the ball much, but the offense was still clicking. With a Monday Night game against the Lions coming up, Rodgers is in prime position to insert his name into the MVP race.

For now, however, he still holds value at +1200.

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