- Odds to make the NFL Playoffs for the 2021 season have been posted for all 32 teams
- The Kansas City Chiefs are the biggest favorites to reach the postseason
- A look at the odds for all 32 teams along with analysis and wagering advice can be found below
On the same day that the league officially announced it is expanding the schedule from 16 to 17 games for the 2021 season, the NFL Playoffs odds were posted for the 32 teams Tuesday.
The Kansas City Chiefs are biggest favorites to reach the postseason at -1000. The Chiefs made it to the Super Bowl for the second straight season in 2020, losing to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The Buccaneers and Green Bay Packers have the best odds among NFC teams at -670. They met in the NFC championship game last season.
Odds to Make NFL Playoffs
|AFC||Odds to Make||Odds to Miss|
|Kansas City Chiefs||-1000||+625|
|New England Patriots||+137||-167|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+149||-182|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+275||-360|
|New York Jets||+440||-625|
|NFC||Odds to Make||Odds to Miss|
|Green Bay Packers||-670||+450|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||-670||+450|
|Los Angeles Rams||-182||+149|
|San Francisco 49ers||-167||+137|
|New Orleans Saints||-115||+106|
|Washington Football Team||+180||-225|
|New York Giants||+260||-335|
Odds as of March 30 from DraftKings
High on the Chiefs
Even though the Chiefs did not defend their Super Bowl title last season, it is not a surprise that they are given the best odds of making the playoffs. Any team that has Patrick Mahomes at quarterback already has a leg up on the competition.
And you know what they say about imitation being the sincerest form of flattery.
— NFL (@NFL) March 29, 2021
Mahomes will also be surrounded by familiar playmakers, including tight end Travis Kelce, wide receiver Tyreek Hill and running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire. The Chiefs led the NFL in total yardage with 358.3 a game while compiling a 14-2 record and finishing sixth in scoring with a 29.6 average.
The biggest question mark for the Chiefs is their offensive line, which was manhandled by the Buccaneers in the Super Bowl. Kansas City cut ties with tackles Eric Fisher and Mitchell Schwartz, and saw center Austin Reiter leave in free agency.
However, the Chiefs feel good about how they restocked the line in free agency by singings guards Kyle Long and Joe Thuney. Tackle Laurent Duvernay-Tardif is also expected back after sitting out the 2020 season to serve as a doctor during the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Chiefs not only had the NFL’s best regular-season record last year but won their fifth consecutive AFC West title.
NFC Finalists Strong Again
The Buccaneers are also big favorites to get back to the playoffs after re-signing almost all their key free agents from the Super Bowl-winning team. Tom Brady helped make it happen when he restructured his contract to free up salary cap space.
— Tom Brady (@TomBrady) March 12, 2021
The biggest contract was a four-year, $68-million contract to linebacker Shaq Barrett. Also brought back were linebacker Lavonte David, tight end Rob Gronkowski, running back Leonard Fournette, guard Aaron Stinnie, defensive lineman Ndamukong Suh and kicker Ryan Succop.
The Buccaneers placed the franchise tag on Chris Godwin and hope to sign the wide receiver to a long-term extension.
The Green Bay Packers had their 2020 season end on a sour note when they lost at home to the Buccaneers in the NFC title game. At 13-3, the Packers had the best record in the conference during the regular season.
The Packers’ big move in free agency was to retain one of their stars. Running back Aaron Jones was signed to a four-year, $48-million contract to help balance an offense led by the ageless Aaron Rodgers.
Turning nothing into something…
What Aaron Jones does 😤 pic.twitter.com/RwPLE1dhgG
— Eli Berkovits (@BookOfEli_NFL) March 24, 2021
The Packers, though, did lose Pro Bowl center Corey Linsley to the Los Angeles Chargers and reserve running back Jamaal Williams to the NFC Central rival Detroit Lions.
Lions’ Trade Doesn’t Impress
The addition of Williams was not nearly enough to help the Lions avoid a dubious distinction. At +575, they are the longest shot among the 32 teams to reach the postseason.
The Lions were involved in what has been the biggest offseason trade in the league, exchanging quarterbacks with the Los Angeles Rams. The oddsmakers do not seem to think the Lions got the better of the deal in shipping Matthew Stafford to the West Coast for Jared Goff, who was 23rd in the NFL in passer rating last season.
Goff, though, believes he has landed in the right place.
"I believe we do have the pieces in place… and I hope I can be another step in the right direction."@Lions quarterback Jared Goff is ready to help take his new franchise to the next level.#OnePride | @JimMiller_NFL pic.twitter.com/ffgTTy2mqi
— SiriusXM NFL Radio (@SiriusXMNFL) March 22, 2021
The Lions finished last in the division for a third straight season, going 5-11. Matt Patricia was fired as coach following a 41-25 loss to the lowly Houston Texans at home on Thanksgiving Day. Dan Campbell, who was the assistant head coach with the New Orleans Saints, is the new man in charge.
Speaking of the Texans, they are given the slimmest chance to make the playoffs from the AFC at +550.
Houston had a disastrous season last year, going 4-12, and coach Bill O’Brien was fired following an 0-4 start. Furthermore, quarterback Deshaun Watson asked for a trade in January after leading the league in passing.
Watson is embroiled in controversy as 19 women have filed civil suits against him claiming he sexually assaulted them. That has understandably torpedoed his trade value.
— SportsRadio 610 (@SportsRadio610) March 23, 2021
And don’t forget that defensive end J.J. Watt asked to be released from the final year of his contract and signed with the Arizona Cardinals as a free agent. He is only the most popular player in franchise history.
Looking for Value
The Arizona Cardinals seemed on their way to the playoffs last season when they got off to a 5-2 start. However, the Cardinals lost six of their last nine games to finish 8-8 and out of the postseason for a fifth straight year
The Cardinals looked poised to take a step forward in 2021. Kyler Murray now has two seasons of experience and one year working with dangerous wideout DeAndre Hopkins.
💥 HAIL MURRAY 💥
The Kyler Murray-DeAndre Hopkins game-winning TD was named the Clutch Performance Play of the Year!
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) February 7, 2021
The Cardinals are also in win-now mode as evidenced by the signing of Watt. They also got Murray another receiver by signing A.J. Green and strengthened one of their biggest weaknesses by adding Pro Bowl kicker Matt Prater.
At +200, the Cardinals are worth a wager to make the playoffs. So, too, are the Cleveland Browns to miss the postseason at +137.
The Browns were a great story last season and Kevin Stefanski was deserving of NFL Coach of the Year. He led Cleveland to an 11-5 record, its first playoff appearance since 2002 and a road win over the nemesis Pittsburgh Steelers, in the wild-card round.
"You have to BELIEVE! I believe in the men in this room."
Kevin Stefanski speaks to the team following our win over the Bengals ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/B93DV7vQYw
— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) October 26, 2020
However, the Browns’ awful history can’t be forgotten, including losing at least 10 games in 16 of 22 seasons since reentering the league in 1999. The Browns still have more to prove.
Let's have fun and keep it civil.