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Eagles Still Favored to Win NFC East After Losing Again in Week 11 – Who’s the Best Bet?

Bryan Thiel

by Bryan Thiel in NFL Football

Nov 22, 2020 · 6:40 PM PST

Andy Dalton, Dallas Cowboys QB
Could Andy Dalton and the Dallas Cowboys take control of the NFC East down the stretch? Image from @AroundTheNFL (Twitter).
  • Following Week 11, the Philadelphia Eagles continue to lead the NFC East at 3-6-1
  • The New York Giants, Washington and Dallas Cowboys are all a half game back at 3-7
  • See the latest odds for who will win the NFC East

When it comes to Week 11 and the NFC East odds, it was a good week for everyone except the Eagles.

Washington and the Cowboys both won, while the Eagles sputtered and stumbled against the Browns. By virtue of their bye week, the Giants gained grown with that Philadelphia loss.

So with six weeks to go in a division where the leader is three games under .500, what do the odds look like as we approach the stretch run of the 2020 season?

NFC East Odds

Team Record NFC East Odds
Philadelphia Eagles 3-6-1 +150
Dallas Cowboys 3-7 +300
New York Giants 3-7 +300
Washington Football Team 3-4 +375

Odds as of Nov. 22nd from BetMGM

On the NFL Divisional odds, the Eagles have been favorites for five-straight weeks now. The Cowboys’ QB conundrum and a 25-3 loss to Washington in Week 7 caused a freefall down the odds, which has been good news for the Giants and Washington.

But Thanksgiving has always been a big day in the NFC East and it could go a long way in determining the fate of two teams.

Washington, Dallas Face Must-Win on Thanksgiving

With both winning on Sunday, Washington and Dallas now face a pivotal Thanksgiving Day clash.

The Cowboys have played three divisional games and are 1-2, beating the Giants in Week 5. But with games against Philadelphia and New York to close the season out, Thursday is their last in-division game for three weeks, so it’s big.

Washington meanwhile, is 2-2 in the division, with wins over the Eagles and Cowboys, but they dropped both to the Giants.

If the Cowboys win on Thursday, their remaining schedule keeps them alive. The combined record of their final five opponents entering Week 12 is 18-30-1; including Thursday it’s the second-easiest remaining schedule.

Even if Washington beats Dallas, they’re facing an uphill climb as their remaining slate carries a record of 28-22-1.

Can Daniel Jones Keep the Giants Afloat?

Through the first five weeks of the season, it looked like Trevor Lawrence was headed to New York.

And while the Jets still haven’t won, the Giants have moved past their 0-5 start with a 3-2 record since. And while no one will call this five-game stretch an all-timer, we may be seeing Daniel Jones finding his footing at the NFL level.

Daniel Jones: Weeks 1-5 vs 6-10

Weeks 1-5
VS
Weeks 6-10

0-5 Record 3-2
111/182 Comp/Att 101/152
61.0% Comp% 66.5%
1,111  Passing Yards 1011
222.2 Passing YPG 202.2
2 Passing TD 6
5 Interceptions 4
130 Rushing Yards 254
26.0 Rushing YPG 50.8
0 Rushing TD 1

On top of that, Jones has looked, dare we say, very good the last two games. He’s completed passes at a 71% clip (44/62) for 456 yards and a touchdown. He’s also mixed in 68 rushing yards and a TD on the ground.

Before their Week 17 meeting with Dallas though, the schedule does New York no favors. After a date with the Bengals in Week 12, they fly to the Seahawks (7-3), host the Cardinals (6-4) and Browns (7-3) before heading to Baltimore to face the Ravens (6-4).

Eagles Must Pull Out of Tailspin

Within the confines on the NFC East, Philly looked like World beaters just over a month ago. After a 1-4-1 start, the Eagles knocked off the Giants and Cowboys, moving to 2-1 in the division. So you’d think, after a bye week, they’d only get better, right?

Wrong.

After a clunker against the Giants, it was another dud against the Browns. It started with a pick six and, after Philly tied it up, two field goals, a safety and a Kareem Hunt rushing TD did in the NFC East leaders.

The Eagles have struggled to get out of their own way all season long, and things don’t get any easier. They face the Seahawks, Packers, Saints and Cardinals before wrapping up against the Cowboys and Washington.

Fight to Win NFC East Won’t Be Pretty

The fight down the stretch to claim first place will not be a memorable one. But Dallas is in the driver’s seat.

Their in-division record isn’t great, but they have a chance to fix it, and they have the most favorable upcoming slate. As unlikely as it once sounded, the Cowboys will be back atop the NFC East.

The Pick: Dallas Cowboys (+300)

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