NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 13

• I went 2-1 last week in my NFL best bets for Week 12
• In NFL Week 13, I am targeting two underdogs and one favorite in my best bets
• Keep reading for SBD’s Week 13 expert NFL picks against the spread

Even with the Thanksgiving and Black Friday games this week, there are still 12 NFL games on Sunday and Monday in Week 13. There are some pivotal matchups including Steelers vs Bengals, Eagles vs Ravens, and 49ers vs Bills. In my NFL Week 13 best bets, I am targeting Sunday’s AFC North battle as well as two other intriguing games.

See below for all my NFL picks against the spread for Week 13.

NFL Week 13 Picks Against the Spread

Odds as of Friday, November 29 at bet365. Make sure you claim the best bet365 bonus code before locking in your NFL Week 13 bets.

Week 13 ATS Pick #1: Falcons +1 vs Chargers

These are two teams trending in different directions, but the NFL odds suggest that it should be a close game. The Chargers lost last week to the Ravens on Monday Night Football, but before that, they won five of their last six games. The Falcons on the other hand limped into their bye week with two straight losses.

Even though the last time we watched the Falcons play, they got lit up by the Broncos, their bye week was much needed. They were able to reset and get healthier, so they will be ready to go in this game. So while it is a good spot for the Falcons, it is a terrible situation for the Chargers. They just played in back-to-back primetime games and have the Chiefs on deck. To make matters worse, on a short week, they have to travel all the way from Los Angeles to Atlanta and play in the early window on Sunday.

With Kirk Cousins under center, the Falcons offense has looked great. While the Chargers defense has been good all year, over the past two weeks they have been extremely vulnerable to the pass. Atlanta gets the win at home.

• Pick: Falcons +1 (-110)

Week 13 ATS Pick #2: Steelers +3 vs Bengals

In Week 13, we have another AFC North matchup. Since 2018, underdogs in AFC North matchups are 49-31 (61.25%) against the spread. The Steelers were on the wrong side of that trend last Thursday night vs the Browns, but I like for Pittsburgh to get back on track vs the Bengals on Sunday. Mike Tomlin himself is great against the spread as an underdog as well. Tomlin is 61-31-3 (65.8%) ATS as a head coach.

Underdogs in AFC North matchups are now 49-31 (61.25%) against the spread since 2018 😳 https://t.co/3PeCr7m9tH

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) November 22, 2024

Pittsburgh’s defense is no joke. They held the Ravens to 16 points two weeks ago and now play another familiar foe. The Bengals offense has been tremendous through the air, so Pittsburgh will be tested, but they have the talent to limit Burrow and co.

While I trust the Steelers defense, it is Cincinnati’s defense that I am truly betting against. They have not been able to stop anyone, so even though Russell Wilson and the Pittsburgh offense have slowed over the last couple of weeks, they should have no issue scoring. The Bengals are off the bye week which should help them, but the Steelers last played on Thursday Night Football, so they are well rested as well coming off the mini-bye. This should be a typical AFC North showdown that comes down to the wire, so I will gladly bet the Steelers getting points.

• Pick: Steelers +3 (-110)

Week 13 ATS Pick #3: Broncos -5.5 vs Browns

The Broncos play the Browns on Monday Night Football in Week 13. Denver has won two in a row and is playing good football right now. Bo Nix’s NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds have improved greatly over the last two weeks. The Broncos are tied with the Lions for the best against-the-spread record in the NFL right now at 9-3. As a favorite, they are 5-0 ATS.

Cleveland got a huge win last Thursday night vs the Steelers, but I am not putting much stock into that win. It was a lot of fun to watch two AFC North teams play in the snow, and even though they won, the Browns were outgained in that game. Denver’s defense is one of the top units in the NFL, and I do not see the Browns having a lot of success moving the ball.

On the other side of the ball, the Browns’ once top-tier defense has been as inconsistent as possible this season. I BOlieve in Denver’s offense and think they make a statement against a subpar Cleveland team on Monday Night Football.

• Pick: Broncos -5.5 (-110)