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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Spread & Odds for Saturday

Robert Duff

By Robert Duff in NFL Football

Published:


Mason Rudolph and the Steelers are 4-point road favorites over the Ravens.
Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Mason Rudolph (2) throws in the third quarter during a Week 16 NFL football game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Pittsburgh Steelersl, Saturday, Dec. 23, 2023, at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pa.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers are 4-point road favorites at the Baltimore Ravens in their Week 18 NFL game on Saturday, January 6
  • With AFC home field advantage clinched, Baltimore is resting QB1 Lamar Jackson
  • Pittsburgh QB1 Kenny Pickett (ankle) won’t be playing. See our top Steelers vs Ravens picks here

With home field advantage in the AFC clinched, the Baltimore Ravens (13-3, 11-5 ATS) have nothing to play for in Week 18 other than to ensure that their arch-rivals the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7, 9-7 ATS) don’t make the NFL Playoffs. That situation has been priced into Saturday’s Steelers vs Ravens odds.

That may be all the incentive they need. Still, oddsmakers, noting that Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh is stting out QB1 Lamar Jackson and is likely to be resting some of his other starters, are setting Pittsburgh as 4-point road favorites in the Steelers vs Ravens odds. Pittsburgh is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings with Baltimore.

Steelers vs Ravens Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Pittsburgh Steelers -210 -4 (-110) Over 35.5 (-105)
Baltimore Ravens +150 +4 (-110) Under 35.5 (-115)

In the Pittsburgh vs Baltimore odds, the Steelers are -210 moneyline favorites, giving them an 67.74% implied win probability. The total is set at 35.5 points. Each of the last six Steelers vs Ravens games have gone under.

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Kickoff for this game at M&T Bank Stadium on Saturday, January 6, is set for 4:30 pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by ABC/ESPN.

Pittsburgh vs Baltimore Betting Trends

In the NFL public betting splits at the time of this writing, 85% of spread handle and 90% of moneyline handle was backing home underdog Baltimore. The Ravens are an NFL-best 3-0-1 as a home underdog since the start of the 2021 NFL season.

In fact, Baltimore owns a share of the NFL’s best ATS mark this season. At 11-5, the Ravens cover at a 68.8% success rate. The Steelers are 13-7 both straight up and ATS over their last 20 games. Batimore is 6-0 SU in the last six games.

This is the fourth successive Pittsburgh vs Baltimore game with a total of 38.5 points or less. Pittsburgh’s gone over in four of its past five games. It’s been the over that’s hit in five of the last seven games played by the Ravens.

The Ravens are the chalk to win the AFC in the NFL Conference odds at +140. The Steelers are the longest shot on the boards to wear the crown as AFC champions at a betting line of +10000.

Steelers Riding Rudolph

In two games as Pittsburgh’s starting QB, Mason Rudolph has gone 2-0 both SU and ATS. He’s thrown for two TDs and hasn’t been picked off while compiling 569 yards through the air and a 115.3 passer rating.

Starter Kenny Pickett, who’s missed the past four games following ankle surgery, returned to practice this week. However, Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin is deciding to ride with the hot hand under center. and is staying with Rudolph

Currently the ninth seed in the AFC playoff picture, there are several scenarios that could unfold in order to squeeze Pittsburgh into the postseason. Amazingly, there’s even one convoluted situation in which the Steelers could lose this game and still qualify for the playoffs.

Huntley Starts for Ravens

Harbaugh confirmed Wednesday that Jackson, currently the favorite in the NFL MVP odds, won’t be playing in this game. Tyler Huntley is getting the start at QB for the Ravens. He’s 3-5 as an NFL starter, including a 1-2 mark against the Steelers. Huntley has thrown for one TD against three interceptions when facing Pittsburgh. His passer rating is 60.6.

As for his other starters, Harbaugh indicated those decisions will be based on which of the club’s injured players prove to be available for the game.

It’s understandable why Harbaugh is sitting on the fence with his decision. He knows his club has a first-round bye, so does he really want his starters sitting without game action for two successive weeks? At the same time, he has to weigh the risk of injury.

Steelers vs Ravens Prediction

Baltimore can’t approach this as a meaningless game. The Steelers are playing for their playoff lives, so they’ll be arriving in a foul mood and ready to play.

Pittsburgh is 6-1 straight up and 5-2 against the spread in the last seven games against the Ravens. The Steelers are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six visits to Baltimore.

Steelers vs Ravens Picks: Baltimore Ravens +4 (-110)

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Robert Duff
Robert Duff

Sports Writer

An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.

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