- The Dallas Cowboys are 7.5-point favorites over Las Vegas Raiders on Thanksgiving Thursday
- Betting Record: 0-1 ML; 3-4 ATS; 1-1 O/U; -4.89 units
- Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction
Two teams that struggled badly in Week 11 are right back at it in Week 12, as the Las Vegas Raiders visit the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday, the second of the Thanksgiving Day tripleheader.
Dallas is coming off a humbling 19-9 loss on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs, while the Raiders were belted 32-13 by the Cincinnati Bengals — their third loss in a row.
While the Cowboys still sit comfortably atop the NFC East, the Raiders are in a logjam of teams fighting for a Wild Card in the AFC.
Kickoff is set for 4:30pm ET at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. The game can be seen live on CBS.
The Cowboys are hefty 7.5-point favorites in this matchup.
Raiders vs Cowboys Odds
|Las Vegas Raiders||+270||+7.5 (-110)||O 51 (-110)|
|Dallas Cowboys||-350||-7.5 (-110)||U 51 (-110)|
Odds as of November 24 at DraftKings.
The betting public is close to split on this, with 57% of the bets placed against the spread and the moneyline are on the Cowboys.
They’re expecting fall-like 55-degree weather at game start.
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Cowboys Contained in KC
The Cowboys, the highest-scoring team in the NFL, couldn’t post a touchdown against the Chiefs.
Charvarius Ward with the end zone INT! #ChiefsKingdom
— NFL (@NFL) November 21, 2021
Dallas was hampered by injuries in the Week 11 loss. Amari Cooper was out due to COVID protocols, and CeeDee Lamb didn’t return after suffering a head injury in the second quarter. Cooper is again out, but there is a chance Lamb clears concussion protocol and is back Thursday.
Ezekiel Elliott was also hampered with a knee injury, though he did make it back to practice this week, and looks like a go vs the Raiders.
CHRIS JONES. FOUR SACKS. WHAT 🤯
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) November 22, 2021
All of those losses put a dent in Dak Prescott’s effectiveness. The Dallas pivot was 28-for-43 for 216 yards, while throwing a pair of interceptions. He was also sacked five times.
There is some good news on the injury front, however, which could play a huge role Thursday. Tackle Tyron Smith, who’s been dealing with an ankle injury, could be back, giving the Cowboys their complete offensive line for the first time this season.
Las Vegas was once 5-2 and battling atop the AFC West, but a three-game losing streak has them battling for a Wild Card berth. Their latest struggle was against the Bengals, where they could only muster 13 points.
Raiders QB Derek Carr: ‘Being a Raiders fan for a long time, 20 years of this crap is enough. I’m fed up. I just want to be part of the moment it changes’ #vegas #raiders #RaiderNation 🎥 @raiders pic.twitter.com/lUYg7cyREN
— Mick Akers (@mickakers) November 22, 2021
The Derek Carr-led offense has now generated a paltry 43 points over the last three games. Carr has thrown four touchdowns, matching the four interceptions he’s thrown during that span. Conversely, their defense has been gashed, surrendering 96 points in those losses.
Joe Mixon extends for SIX. #RuleTheJungle
— NFL (@NFL) November 21, 2021
They’ve taken the beatings in multiple ways. Against Cincinnati, Joe Mixon ran wild, carrying 30 times for 123 yards a pair of scores. Vegas also collapsed in the fourth, surrendering two TD’s and a field goal after closing to within a 16-13 score.
Two weeks prior, the Raiders awoke Patrick Mahomes and the stagnant Chiefs’ offense. Mahomes threw for 406 yards and five touchdowns in a 41-14 blowout.
Las Vegas vs Dallas: What to Look For
Perhaps the key unit in this matchup is the Cowboys’ defense, who more than held their own against KC, and they have surrendered just 53 points in their last three home games. They are holding teams to 21.4 points per game, which is eighth-best in the NFL.
Micah Parsons single-handedly keeping the Cowboys alive in this game pic.twitter.com/AkR3uabQ78
— Joey Hayden (@_joeyhayden) November 21, 2021
The talented linebacker hounded Mahomes all game, sacking him twice and forcing a fumble. Parsons has been on fire, registering 5.5 of his eight sacks on the season during this stretch.
Both should have their turn at trying to contain all-world tight end Darren Waller and the Raiders’ 10th-ranked offense, which does churn out the third-most passing yards per game (289.6).
Darren Waller needs 49 receptions to become the first TE in NFL history with back-to-back 100 catch seasons.
A pace of 7 receptions per game the rest of the way would set the record. (he averages 5.67 per game this season)
— Raider Nation Boston (@RaiderNationBOS) November 24, 2021
On the other side of the ball, the Raiders are surrendering better than 26 points a game, which is 25th in the league. Perhaps this is a get-right game for the Prescott and the Cowboys, who could only muster three field goals a week ago.
Dallas may also want to feature Zeke Elliott and Tony Pollard plenty: the Raiders have the 4th-worst run defense in the league.
Raiders vs Cowboys Betting Prediction
Dallas has been one of the betting darlings on the season, running an 8-2 mark ATS on the year, a success rate second only to the Packers. The Raiders, meanwhile, are just 4-6 ATS, and 1-3 ATS following a loss. Dallas is 2-0 ATS following a loss.
Even with his top two receivers likely out, Prescott should be upright and able to pick apart a suspect Raiders’ defense. I think the Cowboys’ D is legit, and will continue to send the Raiders trending in the wrong direction.
Pick: Cowboys -7.5 (1.5 units to win 1.36 units)