Steelers vs Bills Props – Best Player Props to Bet for AFC Wild Card Playoff Game
- Steelers vs Bills props are available for the AFC Wild Card playoff game on Monday
- Value lies with Buffalo wide receiver Stefon Diggs in the NFL player props
- Read below for expert Steelers vs Bills player props to bet for the NFL Playoffs
Steelers vs Bills props have been released after the anticipated AFC Wild Card game was moved from Sunday to Monday due to weather concerns. With a new date and time locked in, bettors can wager on some updated NFL player props betting lines.
Among our selections in the Steelers vs Bills props is a play on the receiving yards total for Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs. We’ve also identified some value on Pittsburgh running back Najee Harris’ rushing yards total.
Let’s get into the Steelers vs Bills props as we break down our picks for Monday’s game.
Steelers vs Bills Player Props
| Passer | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen (BUF) | 19.5 (O -110 | U -110) | 221.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O -105 | U -125) |
| Mason Rudolph (PIT) | 16.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 170.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 0.5 (O -160 | U +130) |
| Rusher | Rushing Attempts | Rushing Yards | Rushing + Receiving Yards |
| James Cook (BUF) | 14.5 (O -130 | U EVEN) | 62.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 83.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Najee Harris (PIT) | 15.5 (O -135 | U +105) | 61.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 72.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Jaylen Warren (PIT) | 8.5 (O EVEN | U -130) | 35.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 59.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | 8.5 (O -135 | U +105) | 38.5 (O -120 | U -110) | OFF |
| Mason Rudolph (PIT) | OFF | 4.5 (O -115 | U -115) | OFF |
| Receiver | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
| Stefon Diggs (BUF) | 5.5 (O EVEN | U -130) | 65.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 23.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| George Pickens (PIT) | 3.5 (O EVEN | U -130) | 42.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 20.5 (O -105 | U -125) |
| Diontae Johnson (PIT) | 3.5 (O -105 | U -125) | 39.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 18.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| Khalil Shakir (BUF) | 2.5 (O -135 | U +105) | 35.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 18.5 (O -125 | U -105) |
| Dalton Kincaid (BUF) | 3.5 (O -110 | U -110) | 35.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 16.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| Pat Freiermuth (PIT) | 2.5 (O +105 | U -135) | 20.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 11.5 (O -125 | U -105) |
| Dawson Knox (BUF) | 1.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 15.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 11.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Trent Sherfield (BUF) | OFF | 13.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 10.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
In the Bills vs Steelers player props, Josh Allen has the higher passing yards total of the two quarterbacks at 221.5. Buffalo also has the top projected rusher in James Cook and the highest projected receiver in Stefon Diggs. The Bills are favored by 10 points and the over/under is 38.5 in the NFL odds.
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Steelers vs Bills Props #1: Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
The first player we are targeting in our Steeler vs Bills props is Buffalo Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs. ESPN Bet has set this number at 65.5, and we think there’s value on the over. Diggs is averaging 69.6 receiving yards per game this season and faces a Steelers secondary allowing 227 yards per contest through the air.
“Put the dagger in ‘em.” 😤#GoBills | #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/aTIgyphkuG
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) January 9, 2024
While Diggs has underperformed in recent playoff games, he’s been a monster against Pittsburgh of late. In his last three outings facing the Steelers defense, Diggs has averaged over 100 receiving yards. It certainly doesn’t help that Pittsburgh won’t have TJ Watt on Monday due to his knee injury.
The cold weather has us hesitant to hammer too many receiving overs in this game, but we do that Allen will get Diggs the ball enough for this one to cash. Diggs broke through with an 87-yard game vs Miami last weekend and will see increased volume with Gabe Davis ruled out due to injury.
- Steelers vs Bills Props Picks: Stefon Diggs Over 65.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Steelers vs Bills Props #2: Najee Harris Rushing Yards
A Pittsburgh player we like targeting in the Steelers vs Bills props is running back Najee Harris. He’s put together back-to-back 100-plus yards rushing games, and should be in for another monster day facing the Bills’ mediocre rushing defense.
The Steelers are heavily reliant on their rushing attack, passing the ball on just 39.8% of their snaps over the past three weeks. In that span, Harris has had 19-plus carries each of those games with over 300 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns.
We never lost the locker room, don’t care about a point spread. We believe. #Steelers Najee Harris pic.twitter.com/spFpkNbNKw
— 93.7 The Fan (@937theFan) January 12, 2024
We don’t expect the Steelers to stray away from the formula that enabled them to sneak into the postseason. Steelers QB Mason Rudolph will be starting his first playoff game since his senior year of high school on Monday, and we don’t think the team wants to put the game in his hands.
The Steelers will look to take advantage of a Bills rush defense that grades bottom-five in the entire league in efficiency per PFF. This means Harris should see 20-plus carries and get over his prop of 61.5 rush yards at ESPN Bet .
- Steelers vs Bills Props Picks: Najee Harris Over 61.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Steelers vs Bills Touchdown Scorer Props
| Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Any TD |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen (BUF) | +390 | -115 |
| James Cook (BUF) | +550 | +125 |
| Stefon Diggs (BUF) | +600 | +140 |
| Najee Harris (PIT) | +950 | +180 |
| Dalton Kincaid (BUF) | +1100 | +250 |
| Khalil Shakir (BUF) | +1100 | +240 |
| Trent Sherfield (PIT) | +1600 | +400 |
| Jaylen Warren (PIT) | +1600 | +300 |
| George Pickens PIT) | +1700 | +340 |
| Diontae Johnson (PIT) | +1700 | +340 |
| Leonard Fournette (BUF) | +1800 | +475 |
| Dawson Knox (BUF) | +1800 | +425 |
| BUF Bills D/ST | +1800 | +475 |
| Ty Johnson (BUF) | +2800 | +750 |
| Deonte Harty (BUF) | +2800 | +700 |
| Pat Freiermuth (PIT) | +3000 | +600 |
| PIT Steelers D/ST | +3500 | +750 |
In the Steelers vs Bills touchdown props, there is no heavy favorite to find the endzone. Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen has the best odds to find paydirt at -115, and he’s a player we’re targeting in this market.
Steelers vs Bills Props #3: Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown
For the Billvs vs Steelers touchdown props market, we’re keeping it simple with our recommended play. We like Bills quarterback Josh Allen to get into the endzone at -115 odds, and also expect that this line could shorten in the hours leading up to kickoff.
Allen found paydirt 15 times this season, and there may be a bit of overreaction to him not getting into the endzone last week vs Miami. However, that that the first time since Week 11 that Allen hasn’t scored a TD. He’s also rushed in eight TDs over his last six games.
Most touchdowns in the @NFL. 🙌@JoshAllenQB | #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/BsZzLVrztH
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) January 10, 2024
We already mentioned the TJ Watt injury negatively impacting the Steelers defense, but it also means Allen will have more time in the pocket. We expect the Bills’ signal caller to have several designed run plays as he aims to find holes in the Pittsburgh defense.
Allen simply excels in the Wild Card round, winning each of his last three Wild Card playoff games and sporting a career 4-1 playoff record at Orchard Park. Given the conditions forecasted, we project Allen puts on the Superman cape on a few occasions and finds his way into the endzone to wrap up our Steelers vs Bills picks.
- Steelers vs Bills Props Picks: Josh Allen Anytime TD (-115)
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Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
