Week 1 NFL Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Sunday, September 11

By Ryan Metivier in NFL Football
Updated: September 10, 2022 at 12:55 pm EDTPublished:

- NFL player props for Week 1 have opened at online sportsbooks
- Ryan Metivier has highlighted seven NFL props to bet for Sunday
- See all the passing, rushing, and receiving lines, as well as touchdown odds below
With one game in the books to the 2022/23 NFL season, we move our attention to the rest of the NFL Week 1 card. Specifically to the NFL prop markets as we dive into the vast world of passing, rushing, receiving and touchdown props for Sunday.
Read on for our prop picks below for NFL Week 1, as well as all the lines for each set of NFL player props.
Passing | Rushing | Receiving | Touchdown Props
NFL Passing Props
Quarterback | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
---|---|---|---|
Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 227.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Joe Flacco (NYJ) | 22.5 (Ov +102 | Un -136) | 233.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +145 | Un -200) |
Matt Ryan (IND) | 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 237.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) | 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) |
Davis Mills (HOU) | 20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 221.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +155 | Un -210) |
Trey Lance (SF) | 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 207.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +135 | Un -185) |
Justin Fields (CHI) | 17.5 (Ov -150 | Un +110) | 196.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 0.5 (Ov -250 | Un +180) |
Joe Burrow (CIN) | 23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 255.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -170 | Un +125) |
Mitchell Trubisky (PIT) | 20.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 227.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +140 | Un -185) |
Jalen Hurts (PHI) | 18.5 (Ov -129 | Un -106) | 227.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130) |
Jared Goff (DET) | 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 232.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) |
Jameis Winston (NO) | 19.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 224.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Marcus Mariota (ATL) | 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 217.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +165 | Un -225) |
Jacoby Brissett (CLE) | 18.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) | 204.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +185 | Un -260) |
Baker Mayfield (CAR) | 19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 217.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +135 | Un -180) |
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) | 21.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 237.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +125 | Un -170) |
Carson Wentz (WAS) | 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 230.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) |
Mac Jones (NE) | 20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 231.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +115 | Un -150) |
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) | 22.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) | 230.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) |
Daniel Jones (NYG) | 20.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) | 229.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +145 | Un -200) |
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) | 20.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) | 217.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +130 | Un -175) |
Aaron Rodgers (GB) | 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 259.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -210 | Un +155) |
Kirk Cousins (MIN) | 23.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) | 274.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115) |
Patrick Mahomes (KC) | 27.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 291.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 2.5 (Ov +125 | Un -165) |
Kyler Murray (ARI) | 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 259.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) |
Derek Carr (LV) | 25.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 266.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -150 | Un +110) |
Justin Herbert (LAC) | 25.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) | 282.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 2.5 (Ov +150 | Un -200) |
Tom Brady (TB) | 25.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 275.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 2.5 (Ov +160 | Un -220) |
Dak Prescott (DAL) | 24.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 274.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) |
All prop odds as of September 9
Only three quarterbacks have been lined at 2.5 in their passing touchdown odds for NFL props and they are Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert and Tom Brady.

Best Passing Props to Bet for Week 1
1) Derek Carr Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-150); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook
After Chiefs vs Cardinals, this Raiders vs Chargers game has the next highest total on Sunday at 52.5. If the final score comes anywhere near that, surely Carr, and likely both QBs will throw for at least two touchdowns. But Herbert’s total is listed at 2.5. Carr is the safer of the two options at just 1.5.
Last year’s regular season ended with these two teams playing into overtime in what eventually resulted in a 35-32 Raiders win. Carr was only 20/36 with 186 yards in that game, but he did hit the two TD mark, both of which went to Hunter Renfrow.
https://twitter.com/RaiderNationBOS/status/1565918816542101504?s=20&t=YOQOoJ1rG36j7QjnF0mx7w
Carr only passed for two touchdowns once in his final nine games, but he started the season with multiple touchdown games in 7/9 games. Along with Renfrow, he’ll have a healthy Darren Waller at his disposal at tight end, as well as the addition of Davante Adams at wide receiver. Adams had 1,553 yards and 11 touchdowns last season with Green Bay.
The man who could likely be in charge of keeping Adams in check would be cornerback JC Jackson. However, Jackson had offseason ankle surgery and looks set to miss out on Week 1.
NFL Rushing Props
Player | Rush Attempts | Rush Yards | Rushing + Receiving Yards |
---|---|---|---|
Lamar Jackson (BAL) | N/A | 59.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) | N/A |
Michael Carter (NYJ) | N/A | 33.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Breece Hall (NYJ) | N/A | 31.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 48.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) |
Jonathan Taylor (IND) | 19.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) | 96.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105) | 114.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Dameon Pierce (HOU) | 11.5 (Ov -165 | Un +120) | 47.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Elijah Mitchell (SF) | 15.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) | 61.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 73.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
David Montgomery (CHI) | 14.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 54.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 74.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) |
Joe Mixon (CIN) | 16.5 (Ov -157 | Un +114) | 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 89.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Najee Harris (PIT) | 15.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 58.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 86.5 (Ov +105 | Un -125) |
Miles Sanders (PHI) | 11.5 (Ov -125 | Un -109) | 47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | N/A |
Jalen Hurts (PHI) | N/A | 47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | N/A |
D’Andre Swift (DET) | 11.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) | 51.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 87.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Alvin Kamara (NO) | 14.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 93.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) | 10.5 (Ov +135 | Un -180) | 29.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Nick Chubb (CLE) | 16.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) | 74.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 86.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Kareem Hunt (CLE) | N/A | 32.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 52.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
Christian McCaffrey (CAR) | 15.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 67.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 117.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Travis Etienne (JAX) | 12.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 72.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Antonio Gibson (WAS) | N/A | 57.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | N/A |
Damien Harris (NE) | N/A | 48.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | N/A |
Chase Edmonds (MIA) | N/A | 38.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 60.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) |
Raheem Mostert (MIA) | N/A | 37.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | N/A |
Saquon Barkley (NYG) | 14.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 55.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 87.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) |
Derrick Henry (TEN) | 23.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) | 98.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 112.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Aaron Jones (GB) | 11.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 51.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 93.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
AJ Dillon (GB) | 10.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) | 50.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 68.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Dalvin Cook (MIN) | 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 93.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) | 11.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) | 44.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110) | 60.5 (Ov -120 | Un -105) |
James Connor (ARI) | 13.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 48.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 81.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Josh Jacobs (LV) | N/A | 49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 67.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Austin Ekeler (LAC) | 13.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) | 59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 99.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Leonard Fournette (TB) | N/A | 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 91.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) | 12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 45.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Tony Pollard (DAL) | N/A | 30.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 51.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Jonathan Taylor at 96.5 rushing yards, has the highest Over/Under total for his Week 1 NFL props. The Over is juiced to -130 odds.
Best Rushing Props to Bet for Week 1
1) Aaron Jones Over 11.5 Rushing Attempts (-110); risk 1 unit DraftKings Sportsbook
Let’s head to the NFC North for our rushing prop between the Packers and Vikings, where Green Bay are 1.5-point favorites.
The Packers are kicking off the post-Davante Adams era in Week 1 and those are big shoes to fill. Allen Lazard looked to be the most likely benefactor of the extra receptions to go around, however, he missed practice on Wednesday after being stepped on last week. He’s listed on the injury report with an ankle injury.
So where will the Packers’ offense come from on Sunday? In the air, it’s likely to be Randall Cobb and new signing Sammy Watkins. But with missing pieces and new faces, Aaron Rodgers may look to one of his most reliable options in Aaron Jones in the run game.
True or False? Aaron Jones & A.J. Dillion are a top 3 RB duo in the league. pic.twitter.com/DTJnPvjAwf
— DraftKings (@DraftKings) September 8, 2022
Jones will split time in the backfield with AJ Dhillon, as the two were nearly neck-and-neck in the rushing and receiving yards last season.
Jones had 799 yards on the ground on 171 attempts and four TDs. He caught 52 passes for 391 yards and six TDs as a receiver. That was actually fourth-best for team receiving yards after Adams, Lazard and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
If you want to bet Jones on the rushing yards NFL prop of 51.5, he went over the 50-yard mark in 9/15 regular season games last season.
But what may be the safer option is to bet on his attempts at 11.5. In 16 total games last season he went over that total nine times. With questions at receiver, Green Bay may lean on the run game and Jones.
NFL Receiving Props
Player | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
---|---|---|---|
Mark Andrews (BAL) | 5.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) | 64.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Rashod Bateman (BAL) | 3.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) | 46.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) | 19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Corey Davis (NYJ) | 3.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) | 40.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Elijah Moore (NYJ) | 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 52.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 21.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) |
Alec Pierce (IND) | 3.5 (Ov +140 | Un -185) | 37.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125) |
Parris Campbell (IND) | 2.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 30.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Brandin Cooks (HOU) | 5.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150) | 61.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Nico Collins (HOU) | 3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
Brandon Aiyuk (SF) | 3.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 49.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Deebo Samuel (SF) | 4.5 (Ov +125 | Un -170) | 58.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
Cole Kmet (CHI) | 3.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) | 34.5 (Ov -115 | Un -120) | 16.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Darnell Mooney (CHI) | 4.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115) | 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 21.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
Diontae Johnson (PIT) | N/A | 49.5 (Ov -119 | Un -115) | N/A |
Pat Freiermuth (PIT) | N/A | 27.5 (Ov -135 | Un -101) | N/A |
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) | 5.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 72.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Tee Higgins (CIN) | 5.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Tyler Boyd (CIN) | 4.5 (Ov -120 | Un -160) | 40.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
A.J. Brown (PHI) | 4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 65.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Dallas Goedert (PHI) | 3.5 (Ov -170 | Un +130) | 46.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 19.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
DeVonta Smith (PHI) | 3.5 (Ov +115 | Un -150) | 44.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | 5.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 19.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
T.J. Hockenson (DET) | 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 47.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125) | 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Amari Cooper (CLE) | 3.5 (Ov -155 | Un +115) | 49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
David Njoku (CLE) | 2.5 (Ov -130 | Un -102) | 34.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 16.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Christian McCaffrey (CAR) | 5.5 (Ov +125 | Un -175) | 44.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 16.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
DJ Moore (CAR) | 5.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) | 60.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Robby Anderson (CAR) | 2.5 (Ov -122 | Un -108) | 31.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Alvin Kamara (NO) | 3.5 (Ov +112 | Un -148) | 29.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 13.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) | 2.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115) | 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 12.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Kyle Pitts (ATL) | 4.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 57.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 21.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
Christian Kirk (JAX) | 4.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) | 55.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110) | 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Marvin Jones Jr (JAX) | 3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 42.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Terry McLaurin (WAS) | N/A | 59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | N/A |
Jahan Dotson (WAS) | N/A | 35.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125) |
Hunter Henry (NE) | 2.5 (Ov -172 | Un +128) | 31.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 16.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Jakobi Meyers (NE) | N/A | 45.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | N/A |
DeVante Parker (MIA) | N/A | 40.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105) | N/A |
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) | 5.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) | 59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Tyreek Hill (MIA) | 5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 63.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Kadarius Toney (NYG) | N/A | 39.5 (Ov -119 | Un -115) | 17.5 (Ov -111 | Un -123) |
Kenny Golladay (NYG) | N/A | 33.5 (Ov -115 | Un -119) | 17.5 (Ov -121 | Un -113) |
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (TEN) | 2.5 (Ov -123 | Un -111) | 28.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 16.5 (Ov -111 | Un -123) |
Robert Woods (TEN) | 4.5 (Ov -145 | Un -110) | 52.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125) | 19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
Aaron Jones (GB) | 4.5 (Ov -165 | Un +120) | 37.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 14.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
Randall Cobb (GB) | N/A | 39.5 (Ov -115 | Un -119) | N/A |
Sammy Watkins (GB) | N/A | 41.5 (Ov -113 | Un -121) | N/A |
Adam Thielen (MIN) | 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) | 37.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Justin Jefferson (MIN) | 6.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) | 80.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 25.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
K.J. Osborn (MIN) | 3.5 (Ov +135 | Un -185) | 38.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) | 4.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) | 44.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC) | 3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130) | 42.5 (Ov -120 | Un -115) | 19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
Travis Kelce (KC) | 6.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 75.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
James Conner (ARI) | 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) | 28.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 12.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105) |
Darren Waller (LV) | 4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
Davante Adams (LV) | 6.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 79.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Keenan Allen (LAC) | 5.5 (Ov -155 | Un +115) | 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Mike Williams (LAC) | 4.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) | 55.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
Leonard Fournette (TB) | 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110) | 30.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 12.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
Mike Evans (TB) | 4.5 (Ov -165 | Un +120) | 66.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | 5.5 (Ov -145 | Un +115) | 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
Dalton Schultz (DAL) | 4.5 (Ov -160 | Un +120) | 49.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
Minnesota’s Justin Jefferson is listed with the highest receiving total at 80.5 yards with the odds listed at -115 for both the Over and Under.
Best Receiving Props to Bet for Week 1
1) Adam Thielen Over 4.5 Receptions (+105); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook
You need look no further than the graphic below that shows Adam Thielen’s recent success against the Greem Bay Packers. In his last game with the Pack last November, Minnesota won 34-31 and Thielen caught 8/10 passes for 82 yards and one touchdown.
#Vikings WR Adam Thielen’s last 2 games at home vs GB
🔹14 rec
🔹192 yards
🔹3 TD’s— Matt Anderson (@MattAnderson_8) September 7, 2022
In the 13 games Thielen played in the 2021/22 season he was targeted seven or more times in ten games. In eight of those 13 games he caught five or more passes.
Touchdown Props
Team | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Any TD |
---|---|---|
Mark Andrews (BAL) | +650 | +105 |
Lamar Jackson (BAL) | +750 | +125 |
J.K. Dobbins (BAL) | +800 | +135 |
Michael Carter (NYJ) | +1500 | +215 |
Breece Hall (NYJ) | +1500 | +230 |
Elijah Moore (NYJ) | +1500 | +230 |
Jonathan Taylor (IND) | +320 | -230 |
Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) | +650 | +105 |
Mo Alie-Cox (IND) | +1100 | +195 |
Dameon Pierce (HOU) | +1300 | +160 |
Brandin Cooks (HOU) | +1300 | +180 |
Nico Collins (HOU) | +2200 | +300 |
Deebo Samuel (SF) | +550 | +100 |
Elijah Mitchell (SF) | +700 | +125 |
George Kittle (SF) | +900 | +170 |
David Montgomery (CHI) | +1000 | +175 |
Darnell Mooney (CHI) | +1300 | +230 |
Justin Fields (CHI) | +1400 | +265 |
Najee Harris (PIT) | +900 | +115 |
Diontae Johnson (PIT) | +1400 | +195 |
Chase Claypool (PIT) | +1600 | +230 |
Joe Mixon (CIN) | +425 | -155 |
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) | +650 | +105 |
Tee Higgins (CIN) | +700 | +120 |
Jalen Hurts (PHI) | – | +100 |
Miles Sanders (PHI) | – | +110 |
A.J. Brown (PHI) | – | +130 |
D’Andre Swift (DET) | – | +130 |
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | – | +155 |
T.J. Hockenson (DET) | – | +165 |
Nick Chubb (CLE) | +600 | +100 |
Kareem Hunt (CLE) | +1000 | +175 |
Amari Cooper (CLE) | +1100 | +195 |
Christian McCaffrey (CAR) | +550 | -115 |
DJ Moore (CAR) | +900 | +160 |
Robbie Anderson (CAR) | +1300 | +235 |
Alvin Kamara (NO) | +500 | -125 |
Michael Thomas (NO) | +900 | +155 |
Jarvis Landry (NO) | +1200 | +215 |
Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) | +950 | +145 |
Kyle Pitts (ATL) | +1100 | +170 |
Drake London (ATL) | +1500 | +250 |
Travis Etienne (JAX) | +900 | +140 |
Christian Kirk (JAX) | +1000 | +160 |
James Robinson (JAX) | +1400 | +220 |
Antonio Gibson (WAS) | +650 | +100 |
Terry McLaurin (WAS) | +850 | +140 |
J.D. McKissic (WAS) | +1200 | +220 |
Damien Harris (NE) | +850 | +125 |
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) | +1200 | +180 |
Hunter Henry (NE) | +1400 | +220 |
Tyreek Hill (MIA) | +800 | +125 |
Chase Edmonds (MIA) | +950 | +150 |
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) | +1000 | +160 |
Saquon Barkley (NYG) | +850 | +135 |
Kadarius Toney (NYG) | +1300 | +225 |
Kenny Golladay (NYG) | +1500 | +265 |
Derrick Henry (TEN) | +390 | -165 |
Robert Woods (TEN) | +850 | +150 |
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (TEN) | +1200 | +230 |
Aaron Jones (GB) | +700 | +105 |
AJ Dillon (GB) | +1000 | +160 |
Romeo Doubs (GB) | +1400 | +225 |
Dalvin Cook (MIN) | +550 | -135 |
Justin Jefferson (MIN) | +850 | +120 |
Adam Thielen (MIN) | +1200 | +185 |
Travis Kelce (KC) | +600 | -140 |
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) | +750 | -105 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) | +900 | +110 |
James Conner (ARI) | +850 | -110 |
Marquise Brown (ARI) | +1400 | +165 |
Kyler Murray (ARI) | +1500 | +180 |
Josh Jacobs (LV) | +900 | +100 |
Davante Adams (LV) | +1000 | +120 |
Hunter Renfrow (LV) | +1400 | +175 |
Austin Ekeler (LAC) | +600 | -135 |
Keenan Allen (LAC) | +850 | +115 |
Mike Williams (LAC) | +850 | +115 |
Leonard Fournette (TB) | +700 | -110 |
Mike Evans (TB) | +800 | +105 |
Chris Godwin (TB) | +950 | +135 |
Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) | +750 | -105 |
CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | +850 | +110 |
Dalton Schultz (DAL) | +1200 | +170 |
The Colts are big road favorites in Houston and Jonathan Taylor is a massive favorite to score an anytime touchdown at -230 odds.
Here’s who I like to find the endzone and why:
- Adam Thielen anytime touchdown (+185), risk 0.30 units: If we’re backing Thielen to rack up the catches, then it makes sense to back him in our NFL player props to find the endzone as well. He’s got three TDs in his last three two games against the Packers. He found the endzone ten times in 13 games and in eight separate games.
- Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown (-230), risk 1 unit: We’re not getting great value here on Taylor to score, so we’ll have to up our unit stake a little for touchdown scorers. Taylor lead the league in rushing yards last year, rushing for nearly 500 more yards than Nick Chubb who finished second. Taylor also led the league in rushing TDs with 18. He’ll face a Texans’ defense that ranked 31st in both rushing yards and touchdowns allowed last season.
- Travis Kelce anytime touchdown (-140), risk 1 unit: The highest total on the board Sunday is the Chiefs vs Cardinals at 54 points. If that total comes anywhere near that, there will be a few Chiefs finding the endzone. Kelce finished just behind Tyreek Hill in receiving yards last year and tied for the team lead with 9 TDs. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling are new additions, but Kelce, if he wasn’t already, is now Patrick Mahomes unquestioned most reliable target. The Cards have some injury concerns on defense with CB Trayvon Mullen out, and CB Byron Murhpy Jr questionable and DE JJ Watt also questionable.
- Keenan Allen anytime touchdown (+115), risk 0.50 units: Another game with a big total is the Raiders and Chargers at 52.5. In the same vein, there should be several players finding the endzone. Allen had the most targets for the Chargers last season with 157, catching 106 passes for six touchdowns.
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Sports Editor
Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com