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Week 1 NFL Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Sunday, September 11

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football

Sep 9, 2022 · 3:00 PM PDT

NFL props
Jul 29, 2022; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Adam Thielen (19) makes a catch during training camp at US Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports
  • NFL player props for Week 1 have opened at online sportsbooks
  • Ryan Metivier has highlighted seven NFL props to bet for Sunday
  • See all the passing, rushing, and receiving lines, as well as touchdown odds below

With one game in the books to the 2022/23 NFL season, we move our attention to the rest of the NFL Week 1 card. Specifically to the NFL prop markets as we dive into the vast world of passing, rushing, receiving and touchdown props for Sunday.

Read on for our prop picks below for NFL Week 1, as well as all the lines for each set of NFL player props.

Passing | Rushing | Receiving | Touchdown Props

NFL Passing Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Lamar Jackson (BAL) 19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 227.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Joe Flacco (NYJ) 22.5 (Ov +102 | Un -136) 233.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +145 | Un -200)
Matt Ryan (IND) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 237.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Davis Mills (HOU) 20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 221.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +155 | Un -210)
Trey Lance (SF) 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 207.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +135 | Un -185)
Justin Fields (CHI) 17.5 (Ov -150 | Un +110) 196.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 0.5 (Ov -250 | Un +180)
Joe Burrow (CIN) 23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 255.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -170 | Un +125)
Mitchell Trubisky (PIT) 20.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 227.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +140 | Un -185)
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 18.5 (Ov -129 | Un -106) 227.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130)
Jared Goff (DET) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 232.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135)
Jameis Winston (NO) 19.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 224.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Marcus Mariota (ATL) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 217.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +165 | Un -225)
Jacoby Brissett (CLE) 18.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 204.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +185 | Un -260)
Baker Mayfield (CAR) 19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 217.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +135 | Un -180)
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) 21.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 237.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +125 | Un -170)
Carson Wentz (WAS) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 230.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
Mac Jones (NE) 20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 231.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +115 | Un -150)
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) 22.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 230.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
Daniel Jones (NYG) 20.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) 229.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +145 | Un -200)
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) 20.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 217.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +130 | Un -175)
Aaron Rodgers (GB) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 259.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -210 | Un +155)
Kirk Cousins (MIN) 23.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 274.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115)
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 27.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 291.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +125 | Un -165)
Kyler Murray (ARI) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 259.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Derek Carr (LV) 25.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 266.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -150 | Un +110)
Justin Herbert (LAC) 25.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 282.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +150 | Un -200)
Tom Brady (TB) 25.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 275.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +160 | Un -220)
Dak Prescott (DAL) 24.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 274.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125)

All prop odds as of September 9

Only three quarterbacks have been lined at 2.5 in their passing touchdown odds for NFL props and they are Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert and Tom Brady.

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Best Passing Props to Bet for Week 1

1) Derek Carr Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-150); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

After Chiefs vs Cardinals, this Raiders vs Chargers game has the next highest total on Sunday at 52.5. If the final score comes anywhere near that, surely Carr, and likely both QBs will throw for at least two touchdowns. But Herbert’s total is listed at 2.5. Carr is the safer of the two options at just 1.5.

Last year’s regular season ended with these two teams playing into overtime in what eventually resulted in a 35-32 Raiders win. Carr was only 20/36 with 186 yards in that game, but he did hit the two TD mark, both of which went to Hunter Renfrow.

Carr only passed for two touchdowns once in his final nine games, but he started the season with multiple touchdown games in 7/9 games. Along with Renfrow, he’ll have a healthy Darren Waller at his disposal at tight end, as well as the addition of Davante Adams at wide receiver. Adams had 1,553 yards and 11 touchdowns last season with Green Bay.

The man who could likely be in charge of keeping Adams in check would be cornerback JC Jackson. However, Jackson had offseason ankle surgery and looks set to miss out on Week 1.

NFL Rushing Props

Player Rush Attempts Rush Yards Rushing + Receiving Yards
Lamar Jackson (BAL) N/A 59.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) N/A
Michael Carter (NYJ) N/A 33.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Breece Hall (NYJ) N/A 31.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 48.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)
Jonathan Taylor (IND) 19.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 96.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105) 114.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Dameon Pierce (HOU) 11.5 (Ov -165 | Un +120) 47.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Elijah Mitchell (SF) 15.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 61.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 73.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
David Montgomery (CHI) 14.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 54.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 74.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115)
Joe Mixon (CIN) 16.5 (Ov -157 | Un +114) 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 89.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Najee Harris (PIT) 15.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 58.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 86.5 (Ov +105 | Un -125)
Miles Sanders (PHI) 11.5 (Ov -125 | Un -109) 47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) N/A
Jalen Hurts (PHI) N/A 47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) N/A
D’Andre Swift (DET) 11.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 51.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 87.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Alvin Kamara (NO) 14.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 93.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) 10.5 (Ov +135 | Un -180) 29.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Nick Chubb (CLE) 16.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) 74.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 86.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Kareem Hunt (CLE) N/A 32.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 52.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Christian McCaffrey (CAR) 15.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 67.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 117.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Travis Etienne (JAX) 12.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 72.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Antonio Gibson (WAS) N/A 57.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) N/A
Damien Harris (NE) N/A 48.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) N/A
Chase Edmonds (MIA) N/A 38.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 60.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115)
Raheem Mostert (MIA) N/A 37.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) N/A
Saquon Barkley (NYG) 14.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 55.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 87.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
Derrick Henry (TEN) 23.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 98.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 112.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Aaron Jones (GB) 11.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 51.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 93.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
AJ Dillon (GB) 10.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 50.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 68.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Dalvin Cook (MIN) 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 93.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) 11.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 44.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110) 60.5 (Ov -120 | Un -105)
James Connor (ARI) 13.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 48.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 81.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Josh Jacobs (LV) N/A 49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 67.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Austin Ekeler (LAC) 13.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 99.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Leonard Fournette (TB) N/A 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 91.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) 12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 45.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Tony Pollard (DAL) N/A 30.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 51.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Jonathan Taylor at 96.5 rushing yards, has the highest Over/Under total for his Week 1 NFL props. The Over is juiced to -130 odds.

Best Rushing Props to Bet for Week 1

1) Aaron Jones Over 11.5 Rushing Attempts (-110); risk 1 unit DraftKings Sportsbook

Let’s head to the NFC North for our rushing prop between the Packers and Vikings, where Green Bay are 1.5-point favorites.

The Packers are kicking off the post-Davante Adams era in Week 1 and those are big shoes to fill. Allen Lazard looked to be the most likely benefactor of the extra receptions to go around, however, he missed practice on Wednesday after being stepped on last week. He’s listed on the injury report with an ankle injury.

So where will the Packers’ offense come from on Sunday? In the air, it’s likely to be Randall Cobb and new signing Sammy Watkins. But with missing pieces and new faces, Aaron Rodgers may look to one of his most reliable options in Aaron Jones in the run game.

Jones will split time in the backfield with AJ Dhillon, as the two were nearly neck-and-neck in the rushing and receiving yards last season.

Jones had 799 yards on the ground on 171 attempts and four TDs. He caught 52 passes for 391 yards and six TDs as a receiver. That was actually fourth-best for team receiving yards after Adams, Lazard and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.

If you want to bet Jones on the rushing yards NFL prop of 51.5, he went over the 50-yard mark in 9/15 regular season games last season.

But what may be the safer option is to bet on his attempts at 11.5. In 16 total games last season he went over that total nine times. With questions at receiver, Green Bay may lean on the run game and Jones.

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NFL Receiving Props

Player Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Mark Andrews (BAL) 5.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) 64.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Rashod Bateman (BAL) 3.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 46.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Corey Davis (NYJ) 3.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) 40.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Elijah Moore (NYJ) 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 52.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Alec Pierce (IND) 3.5 (Ov +140 | Un -185) 37.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125)
Parris Campbell (IND) 2.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 30.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Brandin Cooks (HOU) 5.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150) 61.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Nico Collins (HOU) 3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Brandon Aiyuk (SF) 3.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 49.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Deebo Samuel (SF) 4.5 (Ov +125 | Un -170) 58.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Cole Kmet (CHI) 3.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 34.5 (Ov -115 | Un -120) 16.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Darnell Mooney (CHI) 4.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115) 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Diontae Johnson (PIT) N/A 49.5 (Ov -119 | Un -115) N/A
Pat Freiermuth (PIT) N/A 27.5 (Ov -135 | Un -101) N/A
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) 5.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 72.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Tee Higgins (CIN) 5.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Tyler Boyd (CIN) 4.5 (Ov -120 | Un -160) 40.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
A.J. Brown (PHI) 4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 65.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Dallas Goedert (PHI) 3.5 (Ov -170 | Un +130) 46.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 19.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
DeVonta Smith (PHI) 3.5 (Ov +115 | Un -150) 44.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) 5.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
T.J. Hockenson (DET) 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 47.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125) 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Amari Cooper (CLE) 3.5 (Ov -155 | Un +115) 49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
David Njoku (CLE) 2.5 (Ov -130 | Un -102) 34.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 16.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Christian McCaffrey (CAR) 5.5 (Ov +125 | Un -175) 44.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 16.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
DJ Moore (CAR) 5.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) 60.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Robby Anderson (CAR) 2.5 (Ov -122 | Un -108) 31.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Alvin Kamara (NO) 3.5 (Ov +112 | Un -148) 29.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 13.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) 2.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 12.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Kyle Pitts (ATL) 4.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 57.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Christian Kirk (JAX) 4.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 55.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Marvin Jones Jr (JAX) 3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 42.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Terry McLaurin (WAS) N/A 59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) N/A
Jahan Dotson (WAS) N/A 35.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125)
Hunter Henry (NE) 2.5 (Ov -172 | Un +128) 31.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 16.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Jakobi Meyers (NE) N/A 45.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) N/A
DeVante Parker (MIA) N/A 40.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105) N/A
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) 5.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) 59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Tyreek Hill (MIA) 5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 63.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Kadarius Toney (NYG) N/A 39.5 (Ov -119 | Un -115) 17.5 (Ov -111 | Un -123)
Kenny Golladay (NYG) N/A 33.5 (Ov -115 | Un -119) 17.5 (Ov -121 | Un -113)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (TEN) 2.5 (Ov -123 | Un -111) 28.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 16.5 (Ov -111 | Un -123)
Robert Woods (TEN) 4.5 (Ov -145 | Un -110) 52.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125) 19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Aaron Jones (GB) 4.5 (Ov -165 | Un +120) 37.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 14.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Randall Cobb (GB) N/A 39.5 (Ov -115 | Un -119) N/A
Sammy Watkins (GB) N/A 41.5 (Ov -113 | Un -121) N/A
Adam Thielen (MIN) 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 37.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Justin Jefferson (MIN) 6.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 80.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 25.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
K.J. Osborn (MIN) 3.5 (Ov +135 | Un -185) 38.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) 4.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) 44.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC) 3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130) 42.5 (Ov -120 | Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Travis Kelce (KC) 6.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 75.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
James Conner (ARI) 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) 28.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 12.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105)
Darren Waller (LV) 4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Davante Adams (LV) 6.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 79.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Keenan Allen (LAC) 5.5 (Ov -155 | Un +115) 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Mike Williams (LAC) 4.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) 55.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Leonard Fournette (TB) 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110) 30.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 12.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Mike Evans (TB) 4.5 (Ov -165 | Un +120) 66.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
CeeDee Lamb (DAL) 5.5 (Ov -145 | Un +115) 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Dalton Schultz (DAL) 4.5 (Ov -160 | Un +120) 49.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)

Minnesota’s Justin Jefferson is listed with the highest receiving total at 80.5 yards with the odds listed at -115 for both the Over and Under.

Best Receiving Props to Bet for Week 1

1) Adam Thielen Over 4.5 Receptions (+105); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

You need look no further than the graphic below that shows Adam Thielen’s recent success against the Greem Bay Packers. In his last game with the Pack last November, Minnesota won 34-31 and Thielen caught 8/10 passes for 82 yards and one touchdown.

In the 13 games Thielen played in the 2021/22 season he was targeted seven or more times in ten games. In eight of those 13 games he caught five or more passes.

Touchdown Props

Team Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Mark Andrews (BAL) +650 +105
Lamar Jackson (BAL) +750 +125
J.K. Dobbins (BAL) +800 +135
Michael Carter (NYJ) +1500 +215
Breece Hall (NYJ) +1500 +230
Elijah Moore (NYJ) +1500 +230
Jonathan Taylor (IND) +320 -230
Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) +650 +105
Mo Alie-Cox (IND) +1100 +195
Dameon Pierce (HOU) +1300 +160
Brandin Cooks (HOU) +1300 +180
Nico Collins (HOU) +2200 +300
Deebo Samuel (SF) +550 +100
Elijah Mitchell (SF) +700 +125
George Kittle (SF) +900 +170
David Montgomery (CHI) +1000 +175
Darnell Mooney (CHI) +1300 +230
Justin Fields (CHI) +1400 +265
Najee Harris (PIT) +900 +115
Diontae Johnson (PIT) +1400 +195
Chase Claypool (PIT) +1600 +230
Joe Mixon (CIN) +425 -155
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) +650 +105
Tee Higgins (CIN) +700 +120
Jalen Hurts (PHI) +100
Miles Sanders (PHI) +110
A.J. Brown (PHI) +130
D’Andre Swift (DET) +130
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) +155
T.J. Hockenson (DET) +165
Nick Chubb (CLE) +600 +100
Kareem Hunt (CLE) +1000 +175
Amari Cooper (CLE) +1100 +195
Christian McCaffrey (CAR) +550 -115
DJ Moore (CAR) +900 +160
Robbie Anderson (CAR) +1300 +235
Alvin Kamara (NO) +500 -125
Michael Thomas (NO) +900 +155
Jarvis Landry (NO) +1200 +215
Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) +950 +145
Kyle Pitts (ATL) +1100 +170
Drake London (ATL) +1500 +250
Travis Etienne (JAX) +900 +140
Christian Kirk (JAX) +1000 +160
James Robinson (JAX) +1400 +220
Antonio Gibson (WAS) +650 +100
Terry McLaurin (WAS) +850 +140
J.D. McKissic (WAS) +1200 +220
Damien Harris (NE) +850 +125
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) +1200 +180
Hunter Henry (NE) +1400 +220
Tyreek Hill (MIA) +800 +125
Chase Edmonds (MIA) +950 +150
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) +1000 +160
Saquon Barkley (NYG) +850 +135
Kadarius Toney (NYG) +1300 +225
Kenny Golladay (NYG) +1500 +265
Derrick Henry (TEN) +390 -165
Robert Woods (TEN) +850 +150
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (TEN) +1200 +230
Aaron Jones (GB) +700 +105
AJ Dillon (GB) +1000 +160
Romeo Doubs (GB) +1400 +225
Dalvin Cook (MIN) +550 -135
Justin Jefferson (MIN) +850 +120
Adam Thielen (MIN) +1200 +185
Travis Kelce (KC) +600 -140
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) +750 -105
JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) +900 +110
James Conner (ARI) +850 -110
Marquise Brown (ARI) +1400 +165
Kyler Murray (ARI) +1500 +180
Josh Jacobs (LV) +900 +100
Davante Adams (LV) +1000 +120
Hunter Renfrow (LV) +1400 +175
Austin Ekeler (LAC) +600 -135
Keenan Allen (LAC) +850 +115
Mike Williams (LAC) +850 +115
Leonard Fournette (TB) +700 -110
Mike Evans (TB) +800 +105
Chris Godwin (TB) +950 +135
Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) +750 -105
CeeDee Lamb (DAL) +850 +110
Dalton Schultz (DAL) +1200 +170

The Colts are big road favorites in Houston and Jonathan Taylor is a massive favorite to score an anytime touchdown at -230 odds.

Here’s who I like to find the endzone and why:

  1. Adam Thielen anytime touchdown (+185), risk 0.30 units: If we’re backing Thielen to rack up the catches, then it makes sense to back him in our NFL player props to find the endzone as well. He’s got three TDs in his last three two games against the Packers. He found the endzone ten times in 13 games and in eight separate games.
  2. Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown (-230), risk 1 unit: We’re not getting great value here on Taylor to score, so we’ll have to up our unit stake a little for touchdown scorers. Taylor lead the league in rushing yards last year, rushing for nearly 500 more yards than Nick Chubb who finished second. Taylor also led the league in rushing TDs with 18. He’ll face a Texans’ defense that ranked 31st in both rushing yards and touchdowns allowed last season.
  3. Travis Kelce anytime touchdown (-140), risk 1 unit: The highest total on the board Sunday is the Chiefs vs Cardinals at 54 points. If that total comes anywhere near that, there will be a few Chiefs finding the endzone. Kelce finished just behind Tyreek Hill in receiving yards last year and tied for the team lead with 9 TDs. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling are new additions, but Kelce, if he wasn’t already, is now Patrick Mahomes unquestioned most reliable target. The Cards have some injury concerns on defense with CB Trayvon Mullen out, and CB Byron Murhpy Jr questionable and DE JJ Watt also questionable.
  4. Keenan Allen anytime touchdown (+115), risk 0.50 units: Another game with a big total is the Raiders and Chargers at 52.5. In the same vein, there should be several players finding the endzone. Allen had the most targets for the Chargers last season with 157, catching 106 passes for six touchdowns.
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