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Avalanche vs Lightning Game 4 Odds & Picks

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NHL Hockey

Jun 20, 2022 · 11:08 PM PDT

Avalanche vs Lightning Game 4 Odds
Jun 20, 2022; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Lightning right wing Corey Perry (10) reacts after scoring a gaol against the Colorado Avalanche during the second period in game three of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final at Amalie Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Colorado Avalanche are -112 road favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning for Game 4 of the Stanley Cup final on Wednesday, June 22
  • Bettors can access -107 odds should they choose to bet on the two-time defending champion Lightning
  • Below, see the Avalanche vs Lightning odds and best bets

The Tampa Bay Lightning got themselves back into the Stanley Cup final series with a solid 6-2 verdict over the Colorado Avalanche in Game 3 on Monday. However, it didn’t seem to impress oddsmakers all that much.

The Lightning are down 2-1 in the best-of-seven series and the betting line on Game 4 while tight, is still favoring the visiting Avalanche at -112. A wager on Tampa Bay comes with -107 odds. The Game 3 win by the Lightning dropped the Avalanche to 7-1 straight up on the road in the playoffs. Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU at home and has won eight in a row.

Avalanche vs Lightning Odds Game 4

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (+210) O 6 (-109) -112
Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 (-275) U 6 (-110) -107

Odds as of June 21st at Barstool Sportsbook. See available Barstool Sportsbook promo codes

 

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The puck is slated to drop for Game 4 at 8:00 pm ET at Amalie Arena on Wednesday, June 22. The broadcast is being provided by ABC in the US and by CBC in Canada. Colorado is a  -300 favorite in the Stanley Cup odds. Tampa Bay is at a betting line of +250 to win the Cup for the third year in a row.

At odds of -112, a wager on the Avalanche will deliver an implied probability of victory of 52.83%. A $10 wager on Colorado would return a payout of $18.90.

NHL betting trends are showing that the public is going with the Avalanche. In the puckline, 53% of bets are on Colorado. With the moneyline, 53% of bets are also backing the Avs. In regards to the total, 53% of bets like the under. The over is 3-0 so far in the series.

Tampa Bay vs Colorado Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Over/Under
10/23/2021 Tampa Bay 3 Colorado 4 (SO) COL COL Over
2/10/2022 Colorado 3 Tampa Bay 2 COL TB Under
6/16/2022 Colorado 4 Tampa Bay 3 (OT) COL TB Over
6/18/2022 Colorado 7 Tampa Bay 0 COL COL Over
6/20/2022 Tampa Bay 6 Colorado 2 TB TB Over

Colorado’s seven-game winning streak and perfect 7-0 mark on the road in the playoffs both came to a crashing halt in Game 3.  Avalanche defenseman Cale Makar, the favorite in the Conn Smythe Trophy odds and Norris Trophy odds, will find out if he’s won the latter award on Tuesday. He collected two assists in Game 3.

Colorado forward Mikko Rantanen has seven assists in the series. In Game 3, Tampa Bay forward Anthony Cirelli collected his first goal in 14 games and Ross Colton counted his first point in 10 games. Game 3 also marked the first time in the series that Tampa Bay has held a lead. Lightning forward Corey Perry has now scored Stanley Cup final goals for four teams  – the Lightning, Canadiens, Stars and Ducks. That’s an NHL first.

Tampa Bay vs Colorado Injury Report

Tampa Bay forward Brayden Point (lower-body injury) missed Game 3. Lightning forward Nikita Kucherov (lower-body injury) left the game late in Game 3. Both are listed as questionable for Game 4. Defenseman Brent Seabrook (shoulder) is out for the Lightning.

Colorado center Nazem Kadri (finger surgery) and continues to skate but hasn’t played in the series. Forward Andre Burakovsky ( thumb injury) didn’t play Game 3 and is questionable for Game 4. The Avs are without defenseman Samuel Girard (broken sternum). Defenseman Ryan Murray (broken hand) is also out.

Do the Avalanche Have a Goaltending Controversy?

Darcy Kuemper went from finishing Game 2 allowing no goals to not finishing Game 3 at all. The Lightning snapped Kuemper’s 100:47 shutout sequence and just kept on scoring.

Kuemper was hooked after allowing five goals on 22 shots. Backup Pavel Francouz blocked nine of the 10 shots he faced. Francouz is 6-0 with a 2.81 GAA and .906 save percentage. Look for Colorado coach Jared Bednar to come back with Kuemper for Game 4. But if there’s another lopsided loss for the Avalanche, Bednar might face a tough decision prior to Game 5.

Avalanche vs Lightning Projected Starting Goalies

Team Goalie Record SV% GAA
Avalanche Darcy Kuemper 8-3 .892 2.76
Lightning Andrei Vasilevskiy 13-7 .920 2.57

Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy bounced back with a strong game, making 37 saves. He looked like the guy who’s won two Stanley Cups, as well as Vezina and Conn Smythe Trophies.

Vasilevskiy is 14-1 in his last 15 home playoff starts. He’s 4-0 in his last four Stanley Cup final games at home.

Avalanche vs Lightning Game 4 Prediction

The Lightning are down 2-1 for the third time in four series. Tampa Bay won Game 4 in each of these previous scenarios.

With their backs against the wall, Tampa Bay came out and played its best game of the series, showing the team’s Stanley Cup pedigree. Now it’s Colorado facing the first bit of adversity since the Stanley Cup final began. How will the Avalanche respond in Game 4?

 Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning ML (-107) 

 

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